SwitzerlandWTA MontreuxFinished

Predictions graded

Noma Akugue Noha #142Germany2Guiomar Zuleta De Reales #209Spain0

Sets 7-6 · 6-3Sat 12 Sept 2026, 12:30 Predictions gradedSemi-FinalClay

Predictions5–271%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageNoma Akugue Noha · 67 places

Noma Akugue Noha

Germany

Twenty-two-year-old left-hander from Reinbek, Germany. Her Roland-Garros profile lists a best singles ranking of No. 137; the supplied current ranking is No. 142.

Current ranking: #142
Peak ranking: #137
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 170 cm

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

Spain

The supplied structured profile lists her at No. 209 and right-handed. No additional reliable player-profile facts were established.

Current ranking: #209
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 11 Sep 2026, 22:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Noma Akugue Noha holds a slight edge over Guiomar Zuleta De Reales on clay, backed by superior recent clay form and a prior H2H win.

Betting value exists on Noma to win at 1.85, with additional angles on over 21.5 total games and under 5.5 total aces. The match is expected to be competitive, with potential for extended sets and a tiebreak.

Context

Akugue Noha, 22, is a left-hander ranked 137 and has built her career on clay, with 135 career wins on the surface. Zuleta De Reales, 27, is a right-hander ranked 210 and has 255 career clay wins.
Both enter the semi-final with momentum from three consecutive clay wins in Montreux. Akugue Noha's victories came against lower-ranked opponents, while Zuleta De Reales beat world No. 133 Marina Bassols Ribera in straight sets, suggesting her form may be slightly more tested.
- Akugue Noha's last three matches: W vs Sobolieva (194), W vs Granwehr (317), W vs Zoldakova (482).
- Zuleta De Reales' last three matches: W vs Burel (416), W vs Trevisan (325), W vs Bassols Ribera (133).
- Both players have won 6 of their last 9 clay matches.
Akugue Noha's first serve percentage is 61.5% and she wins 62.9% of first-serve points, but her second serve is weaker at 45% points won.
Zuleta De Reales wins 46.5% of return points overall and 47.4% on clay, so she can pressure Akugue Noha's second serve. If Akugue Noha falls behind in games, her below-average break point save rate may allow Zuleta De Reales to extend leads.
- Akugue Noha break points saved: 56% (84/150) in last 15 matches.
- Akugue Noha second serve points won: 45% overall, 45% on clay.
- Zuleta De Reales return points won: 46.5% overall, 47.4% on clay.
Zuleta De Reales has won 61.5% of her last 13 clay matches compared to Akugue Noha's 66.7% in 9 matches, but Zuleta De Reales has played more clay matches in the window.
Zuleta De Reales wins 51.7% of total points on clay versus Akugue Noha's 50.7%, and she converts break points at a similar rate. However, Akugue Noha's higher win percentage in fewer matches suggests she may be peaking at the right time, making this a close contest.
- Zuleta De Reales clay record: 8-5 (61.5%) in 13 matches.
- Akugue Noha clay record: 6-3 (66.7%) in 9 matches.
- Zuleta De Reales clay total points won: 51.7%; Akugue Noha: 50.7%.
The two players met once before, in August 2022, with Akugue Noha winning 6-7(6), 6-1, 6-2.
That result gives Akugue Noha a psychological edge, but both players have evolved since then. The 2022 match is not a strong predictor for this semi-final, though it confirms Akugue Noha can handle Zuleta De Reales' game on clay.
- H2H: Akugue Noha leads 1-0, with the win on clay in 2022.
- In that match, Akugue Noha won 67% of first-serve points and converted 67% of break points.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Noma's superior clay-specific recent form and prior H2H win give her a slight edge despite slightly lower overall recent record.
- Last 15 overall record: 8-7 (53.3%) vs opponent 9-6 (60%)
- Clay last 15: 6-3 (66.7%) with 58.2% break point conversion
- H2H: won only meeting 6-7(6) 6-1 6-2 on clay in 2022
- Current tournament: three straight clay wins, including over #194 Sobolieva
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNoma Akugue NohaEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players show competitive clay matches with extended sets, making a longer total games line likely.
- Noma clay last 15 average duration: 120.5 minutes
- Opponent clay last 15 average duration: 109.4 minutes
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in current tournament
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Close clay matchup and prior tiebreak first set suggest a competitive opening set with at least 10 games.
- Noma clay last 15 games won percentage: 53.7%
- Opponent clay last 15 games won percentage: 55.2%
- H2H first set went to tiebreak
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Even second-set dynamics with solid break point saving on both sides point to a longer second set.
- Both players have similar second serve points won on clay (45% vs 43%)
- Noma clay break point saved: 57.3%
- Opponent clay break point saved: 59.8%
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Noma's strong first-set conversion and clay form suggest she can edge the opener, but opponent's similar conversion rate keeps confidence low.
- Noma first set win conversion career: 87%
- Opponent first set win conversion career: 88%
- Noma clay last 15 first serve points won: 60%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonNoma Akugue NohaEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates on clay, making under 5.5 total aces likely.
- Noma clay last 15 aces per match: 2.1
- Opponent clay last 15 aces per match: 1.0
- Combined clay ace average: 3.1 per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 4 double faults per clay match, supporting a total above 7.5.
- Noma clay last 15 double faults per match: 4.3
- Opponent clay last 15 double faults per match: 4.2
- Combined average: 8.5 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

1-0 (1 meetings)

W6-7(6) 6-1 6-2Noma Akugue Noha#137vGuiomar Zuleta De Reales#210Aug 30, 2022

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Noma Akugue Noha

8W 7L

6-1 7-6(7)#194Anastasiia Sobolieva

7-5 6-3#317Alina Granwehr

5-7 6-2 6-4#482Denisa Zoldakova

1-6 6-4 7-5#208Anna Siskova

3-6 7-6(6) 7-5#316Weronika Falkowska

6-2 6-3#185Julia Avdeeva

6-1 3-6 7-5#73Anna Bondar

6-3 2-6 6-2#427Valentina Steiner

6-3 6-1#104Francesca Jones

5-7 6-2 6-3#227Darya Astakhova

6-1 7-5#247Alice Rame

7-5 2-6 6-2#235Irene Burillo

6-4 5-7 7-5#214Katherine Sebov

7-6(2) 6-3#130Lisa Pigato

4-6 6-1 6-2#180Rebeka Masarova

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

9W 6L

6-3 1-6 6-1#416Clara Burel

6-2 4-6 7-6(4)#325Martina Trevisan

6-2 6-1#133Marina Bassols Ribera

7-5 6-3#146Tamara Zidansek

7-6(1) 6-4#674Jodie Anna Burrage

6-4 6-3#301Alicia Herrero Linana

6-2 6-2#356Jenny Lim

7-5 6-4#217Jennifer Ruggeri

7-5 6-0#170Elizabeth Mandlik

6-1 6-0#362Aran Teixido Garcia

6-2 6-4#262Anastasia Tikhonova

3-6 6-4 6-3#107Kaitlin Quevedo

6-4 6-4#168Kaja Juvan

6-4 6-1#397Julie Belgraver

6-4 6-3#39Donna Vekic

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

NNNoma Akugue NohaNoha

Last 15

2–4

9 core stats · 3 even

Guiomar Zuleta De RealesRealesGR

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales carries the stronger recent form — Noma Akugue Noha's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

1st Serve In61.5%+2.5pp64.0%

1st Serve Won62.9%—62.6%

2nd Serve Won45.0%+1.7pp43.3%

Aces / Match2.5+1.21.3

Double Faults / Match4.1—4.0

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won44.4%+2.1pp46.5%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted49.7%—50.0%

Break Pts Saved56.0%+3.6pp59.6%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won50.5%+0.9pp51.4%

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

61.5%1st Serve In+2.5pp64.0%

62.9%1st Serve Won—62.6%

45.0%2nd Serve Won+1.7pp43.3%

2.5Aces / Match+1.21.3

4.1Double Faults / Match—4.0

Return · 0–1

44.4%Return Pts Won+2.1pp46.5%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

49.7%Break Pts Converted—50.0%

56.0%Break Pts Saved+3.6pp59.6%

Points · 0–1

50.5%Total Pts Won+0.9pp51.4%