Max Basing #248United Kingdom22 – 0Mert Alkaya #299Türkiye0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Basing's stronger serve efficiency and tiebreak record give him a slight edge in a close match.

• Basing has a 68% career tiebreak win rate vs Alkaya's 56%.
• Basing's last-15 first-serve points won is 72.1% vs Alkaya's 68.6%.
• Basing's last-15 break point save rate is 58.8% vs Alkaya's 65.4%.
• Basing's career first-set win conversion is 90% vs Alkaya's 87%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

The close overall stats and moderate match durations suggest a competitive match likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Basing's last-15 average match duration is 104.4 minutes.
• Alkaya's last-15 average match duration is 97.5 minutes.
• Both players have similar games-won percentages (Basing 51.7%, Alkaya 52.0%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The balanced serve and return stats point to a tight first set with a good chance of reaching 10 games.

• Basing's last-15 first-serve points won is 72.1%.
• Alkaya's last-15 first-serve points won is 68.6%.
• Both players have similar return points won percentages (Basing 38.0%, Alkaya 38.3%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Basing's slightly better serve and first-set conversion support a narrow edge in the opening set.

• Basing's last-15 first-serve points won is 72.1% vs Alkaya's 68.6%.
• Basing's career first-set win conversion is 90% vs Alkaya's 87%.
• Basing's last-15 return points won is 38.0% vs Alkaya's 38.3%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Alkaya's higher ace rate pushes the combined total near the over line, but Basing's low ace count adds uncertainty.

• Alkaya averages 4.5 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
• Basing averages 1.3 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
• Combined average aces per match is 5.8.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined double fault average is right at the line, making the over a coin flip.

• Basing averages 3.1 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
• Alkaya averages 2.5 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
• Combined average double faults per match is 5.6.