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Predictions graded

Lucie Havlickova #230Czechia2Lola Radivojevic #154Serbia0

Sets 7-6 · 6-1Tue 8 Sept 2026, 11:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions6–275%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLola Radivojevic · 76 places

Lucie Havlickova

Czechia

Havlickova is a 21-year-old Czech right-hander. Official WTA and ITF profiles list hard court as her favourite surface and a career-high singles ranking of No. 196, reached in July 2023.

Current ranking: #230
Peak ranking: #196 · 2023
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Lola Radivojevic

Serbia

Reliable public profile information beyond the supplied current ranking and handedness was limited in this search.

Current ranking: #154
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Sep 2026, 06:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Havlickova holds a clear edge with better recent form, a superior clay record, and a head-to-head win.

The match winner market offers strong value at 2.10, with a 14.4-point edge over the implied probability. Radivojevic's serve is a threat, but Havlickova's return game and resilience make her the smart pick.

Context

Havlickova, ranked 226, has a 50% win rate on hard courts over her last 10 matches, with a 56.8% first-serve percentage and 67.6% first-serve points won.
Radivojevic has played only two hard-court matches in her last 15, winning one and losing one, with a 51.6% first-serve percentage and 63.4% first-serve points won. Havlickova's larger sample and recent wins suggest she may be more comfortable on this surface, but the small sample for Radivojevic limits confidence.
- Havlickova's last 15 overall record is 8-7 (53.3%), while Radivojevic's is 6-9 (40%).
- On hard courts, Havlickova is 5-5 in her last 10 matches, while Radivojevic is 1-1 in her last 2.
- Havlickova's recent hard-court wins include victories over Nao Hibino and Moyuka Uchijima, while Radivojevic lost to Kristina Liutova in her most recent hard-court match.
Radivojevic, ranked 150, has a career clay-court win percentage of 59.3%, but her recent clay form has been below that level.
In her last 12 clay matches, she has won only 5, including losses to players ranked 333, 346, and 239. Her first-serve points won on clay is 66.7%, but her break point conversion is only 40.8%, which may hurt her in close matches.
- Radivojevic's last 15 clay record is 5-7 (41.7%).
- She lost to Deborah Chiesa (ranked 333) and Margaux Rouvroy (ranked 346) in recent clay matches.
- Her clay break point conversion rate is 40.8% over the last 12 matches.
The two players met once before, in March 2026 on indoor hard court, with Havlickova winning in three sets.
That match showed Havlickova's ability to win key points, as she saved 60% of break points and won 81% of first-serve points. However, this match is on clay, a surface where Radivojevic has more career success, so the H2H may not translate directly.
- Havlickova won 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 on 2026-03-05.
- In that match, Havlickova had a 64% first-serve percentage and won 81% of first-serve points.
- Radivojevic's first-serve percentage was 57% and she won 66% of first-serve points.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Havlickova's superior recent form, clay-specific record, and H2H win give her a clear edge.
- Havlickova won the only H2H meeting 6-3 1-6 6-1 on I.hard in March 2026.
- Havlickova's last 15 overall record is 8-7 (53.3%) vs Radivojevic's 6-9 (40%).
- Havlickova has a 75% clay record in last 15 (3-1) vs Radivojevic's 41.7% (5-7).
- Havlickova's return points won is 46.1% overall vs Radivojevic's 43.6%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLucie HavlickovaEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches tend to be competitive and lengthy, suggesting a higher total games count.
- Havlickova's last 15 average match duration is 107.4 minutes, Radivojevic's is 116.8.
- Havlickova's clay matches average 105.7 minutes, Radivojevic's 112.8.
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 50% in recent matches.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First sets between these players often exceed 9 games, with several close scores.
- Havlickova's recent first sets have included 6-3, 6-0, 6-2, 7-5, 6-4.
- Radivojevic's recent first sets have included 6-2, 6-4, 0-6, 7-5, 6-2.
- H2H first set was 6-3, totaling 9 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Havlickova's strong first-set conversion and H2H first-set win support her taking the opener.
- Havlickova's first-set win conversion is 88% career, Radivojevic's is 87%.
- Havlickova won the first set in the H2H 6-3.
- Havlickova's clay first-serve points won is 69.8% vs Radivojevic's 66.7%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLucie HavlickovaEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tiebreaks are relatively rare in their recent matches, making 'No' more likely.
- Havlickova's tiebreak win percentage is 50%, Radivojevic's is 59%.
- In their last 15 matches, Havlickova played 2 tiebreaks, Radivojevic played 3.
- H2H match had no tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Havlickova's high double fault rate drives the combined total above 9.5.
- Havlickova averages 6.5 double faults per match in last 15, Radivojevic averages 4.1.
- Combined average double faults per match is 10.6.
- Havlickova's clay double fault average is 5.0, Radivojevic's is 3.7.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Radivojevic's higher ace rate pushes the combined total above 5.5 in most matches.
- Havlickova averages 2.4 aces per match in last 15, Radivojevic averages 3.9.
- Combined average aces per match is 6.3.
- Havlickova's clay ace average is 2.0, Radivojevic's is 3.3.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

1-0 (1 meetings)

W6-3 1-6 6-1Lucie Havlickova#226vLola Radivojevic#150Mar 5, 2026

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Lucie Havlickova

8W 7L

6-3 6-3#73Anna Bondar 6-0 6-4#228Nao Hibino

6-2 2-6 7-6(6)#99Moyuka Uchijima

6-2 7-5#166Elizara Yaneva

3-6 6-4 6-3#551Valeriya Strakhova

6-4 6-1#899Victoria Bervid

6-4 6-2#29Barbora Krejcikova

6-2 6-4#79Alycia Parks

6-7(3) 6-3 6-3#216Harmony Tan

6-0 6-4#228Nao Hibino

7-5 7-5#388Stephanie Judith Visscher

6-0 6-2—Maria Garcia

7-5 5-7 6-4#220Maria Lourdes Carle

4-6 7-6(3) 6-1#243Caijsa Wilda Hennemann

6-1 6-7(5) 6-4#428Jana Kovackova

Lola Radivojevic

6W 9L

6-2 5-7 6-4#125Kristina Liutova

6-4 6-3#233Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

0-6 6-3 7-6(4)#346Margaux Rouvroy

7-5 4-6 6-4#217Jennifer Ruggeri

6-1 3-6 6-1#270Sofya Lansere

6-2 6-2#333Deborah Chiesa

6-4 6-0#313Yufei Ren

6-4 7-5#84Yulia Putintseva

6-4 6-2#205Mona Barthel

6-7(10) 6-2 7-6(7)#133Marina Bassols Ribera

7-5 6-3#239Francesca Curmi

6-3 6-2#511Isabella Maria Serban

6-2 6-4#203Sara Sorribes Tormo

7-6(4) 0-6 7-5#195Mia Ristic

6-3 3-6 7-5#116Laura Samson

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

LHLucie HavlickovaHavlickova

Last 15

6–3

9 core stats · 0 even

Lola RadivojevicRadivojevicLR

Lucie Havlickova carries the stronger recent form — Lola Radivojevic's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In56.1%+0.9pp55.2%

1st Serve Won67.8%+1.1pp66.7%

2nd Serve Won42.7%+1.5pp44.2%

Aces / Match2.4+1.53.9

Double Faults / Match6.52.4 fewer4.1

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won46.1%+2.5pp43.6%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted43.9%+1.2pp42.7%

Break Pts Saved63.2%+6.2pp57.0%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won51.6%+1.6pp50.0%

Serve · 2–3

56.1%1st Serve In+0.9pp55.2%

67.8%1st Serve Won+1.1pp66.7%

42.7%2nd Serve Won+1.5pp44.2%

2.4Aces / Match+1.53.9

6.5Double Faults / Match2.4 fewer4.1

Return · 1–0

46.1%Return Pts Won+2.5pp43.6%

Pressure · 2–0

43.9%Break Pts Converted+1.2pp42.7%

63.2%Break Pts Saved+6.2pp57.0%

Points · 1–0

51.6%Total Pts Won+1.6pp50.0%