SwitzerlandWTA MontreuxFinished

Predictions graded

Alice Tubello #209France1Barbora Palicova #200Czechia2

Sets 6-3 · 4-6 · 1-6Tue 8 Sept 2026, 13:10 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions4–450%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageBarbora Palicova · 9 places

Alice Tubello

France

Current ranking No. 209 is supplied in the structured match data. No reliable current public profile detail was established for the remaining display fields.

Current ranking: #209
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Barbora Palicova

Czechia

Palicova, 22, is right-handed and lists hard as her preferred surface. She reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 171 in June 2025.

Current ranking: #200
Peak ranking: #171 · 2025
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 168 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Sep 2026, 03:51 · Europe/Bucharest

Barbora Palicova's dominant clay form (14-1 last 15) and superior return game make her a strong favorite over Alice Tubello, but the match winner odds offer no value.

Better angles include under 4.5 total aces and over 9.5 games in set 1, with Tubello likely to keep it competitive.

Context

Palicova, ranked 200, has been the more consistent clay-court player recently, with a 93.3% win rate in her last 15 matches.
Palicova's current form is stronger than Tubello's, especially on clay, where she has won 14 of 15 matches. Tubello has a solid 72.7% clay win rate but lost her last match, suggesting Palicova enters with more momentum.
- Palicova's last 15 matches: 14 wins, 1 loss, all on clay.
- Tubello's last 15 matches: 9 wins, 6 losses, with an 8-3 record on clay.
- Tubello lost her most recent match to Francesca Pace (7-6(7), 6-4) on clay.
Alice Tubello and Barbora Palicova meet in the first round of the WTA 125 event in Montreux, played on clay.
The clay surface shapes the match conditions for both players. The WTA 125 setting means a best-of-three format with standard tour rules, and both are active entrants with no reported surface-related issues.
- The event is designated WTA 125 on clay and includes Alice Tubello and Barbora Palicova on the active player list.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Sep 2026, 03:50 · Europe/BucharestMontreux Nestlé Open 2026 Player Listwww.wtatennis.com · 7 Sep 2026
The two players met once before, on clay, and Palicova won in straight sets.
Palicova's previous win over Tubello on the same surface gives her a psychological edge, though it was over two years ago and both players have evolved since.
- H2H: Palicova defeated Tubello 6-4, 6-3 on clay in 2024.
- Palicova won 61% of first-serve points and 36% of second-serve points in that match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Barbora Palicova

1.44fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Palicova's dominant recent clay form and superior return game give her a clear edge over Tubello.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Palicova's dominant recent clay form and superior return game give her a clear edge over Tubello.
- Palicova last 15 on clay: 14-1 record, 85.3% sets won, 64.1% games won
- Tubello last 15 on clay: 8-3 record, 72% sets won, 55.5% games won
- H2H 2024 clay: Palicova won 6-4 6-3
- Palicova return points won 53.4% vs Tubello 45.2% on clay
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBarbora PalicovaEstimated chance68%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tubello's competitive first sets on clay suggest a close opening set.
- Tubello recent clay first sets often tight: 7-6, 7-6, 6-4
- Palicova first sets often 6-4, 6-3, 6-2
- H2H first set 6-4
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have competitive clay matches, and Tubello's resilience could extend the total games.
- Tubello clay matches average 120.8 minutes, Palicova 113.3 minutes
- Tubello last 15 games won 52.8%, Palicova 64.1%
- H2H total games: 19 (6-4 6-3)
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Palicova's strong recent form and higher set win percentage make her likely to take the opening set.
- Palicova first set win conversion career 83% vs Tubello 88%
- Palicova last 15 sets won 85.3% overall
- Tubello first set win conversion 88% but recent clay first set struggles
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostBarbora PalicovaEstimated chance62%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace counts on clay, making under 4.5 aces likely.
- Tubello aces per match 1.5 on clay
- Palicova aces per match 0.7 on clay
- Combined average aces per match 2.2
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 2.5-3 double faults per match, making over 5.5 plausible.
- Tubello double faults per match 2.5 on clay
- Palicova double faults per match 2.9 on clay
- Combined average double faults per match 5.4
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-4 6-3Alice Tubello#222vBarbora Palicova#200Jun 14, 2024

1 total meetings

Alice Tubello

9W 6L

7-6(7) 6-4#324Francesca Pace

7-6(6) 6-2#475Loes Ebeling Koning

7-6(8) 6-3#776Sarah Iliev

6-4 4-6 6-2#156Priscilla Hon

4-6 5-3 ret.#450Emily Appleton

7-6(3) 6-2#488Angella Okutoyi

3-6 6-3 6-4#127Leolia Jeanjean

6-3 6-3#286Caroline Werner

2-6 7-5 6-4#313Yufei Ren

3-6 7-6(5) 6-2#194Anastasiia Sobolieva

6-3 7-5#130Lisa Pigato

7-6(7) 6-2#337Tessa Johanna Brockmann

7-6(3) 7-6(8)#218Julie Struplova

6-1 6-3#503Andreea Prisacariu

6-2 6-0#186Elena Pridankina

Barbora Palicova

14W 1L

3-6 7-5 6-4#482Denisa Zoldakova

6-1 6-2#275Mina Hodzic

6-1 6-1#230Xinyu Gao

6-2 7-5#648Daria Kuczer

6-4 6-2#892Irina Fetecau

2-6 7-5 7-5#267Noemi Basiletti

6-3 6-4#440Tatiana Pieri

6-2 6-3#256Elena Ruxandra Bertea

6-4 6-2#270Sofya Lansere

6-2 6-0#430Lucie Nguyen Tan

5-7 7-5 6-4#141Fiona Ferro

7-5 6-3#189Nuria Brancaccio

6-1 6-3#394Katerina Tsygourova

6-3 2-6 6-2#274Federica Urgesi

6-2 6-1—Francesca Parcelli

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ATAlice TubelloTubello

Last 15

1–5

9 core stats · 3 even

Barbora PalicovaPalicovaBP

Barbora Palicova carries the stronger recent form — Alice Tubello's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–1 · 3 even

1st Serve In70.6%+1.4pp72.0%

1st Serve Won60.7%—61.3%

2nd Serve Won49.0%—48.6%

Aces / Match1.5+0.80.7

Double Faults / Match2.7—2.9

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won44.3%+9.1pp53.4%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted39.1%+11.2pp50.3%

Break Pts Saved53.3%+3.6pp56.9%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won50.7%+4.8pp55.5%

Serve · 1–1 · 3 even

70.6%1st Serve In+1.4pp72.0%

60.7%1st Serve Won—61.3%

49.0%2nd Serve Won—48.6%

1.5Aces / Match+0.80.7

2.7Double Faults / Match—2.9

Return · 0–1

44.3%Return Pts Won+9.1pp53.4%

Pressure · 0–2

39.1%Break Pts Converted+11.2pp50.3%

53.3%Break Pts Saved+3.6pp56.9%

Points · 0–1

50.7%Total Pts Won+4.8pp55.5%