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Predictions graded

Thijmen Loof #1507Netherlands2Uisung Park #753South Korea0

Sets 6-3 · 6-4Sun 6 Sept 2026, 07:10 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions1–614%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageUisung Park · 754 places

Thijmen Loof

Netherlands

Loof, 24, is the 196 cm right-hander in this matchup. His singles career-high is No. 961, reached in October 2024.

Current ranking: #1507
Peak ranking: #961 · 2024
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Uisung Park

South Korea

South Korean right-hander, born 27 September 2000. Public profile sources place his career-best singles ranking at No. 546; no current injury or comeback report surfaced in the specified search.

Current ranking: #753
Peak ranking: #546 · 2023
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 175 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Sep 2026, 15:03 · Europe/Bucharest

Uisung Park holds a clear edge over Thijmen Loof based on superior recent form, return game, and hard-court experience.

Park is a value bet at 2.40 with a 20-point edge, and the match is likely to be decided in straight sets, though Loof's serve could keep it competitive.

Context

Park, 763rd, is a hard-court specialist with 160 career wins on the surface. Loof, unranked, has only 28 hard-court wins and a 41.2% career win rate.
Park's last 15 hard-court matches show a 44.4% win rate and 80.6% first-serve points won, while Loof's hard-court sample is 22.2% wins and 63% first-serve points won. Park's superior serve and return numbers give him a clear edge on this surface.
- Park's career hard-court record: 160 wins, 62.6% win rate.
- Loof's career hard-court record: 28 wins, 41.2% win rate.
- Park's last 15 hard-court matches: 44.4% win rate, 80.6% first-serve points won.
- Loof's last 15 hard-court matches: 22.2% win rate, 63% first-serve points won.
Loof, 25, has a career win rate of 41.2% and has never been ranked inside the top 500.
Loof's last 15 matches show a 20% win rate, with only three wins. He has lost his last two matches and has not won back-to-back matches since March 2026. This poor form makes him vulnerable against Park.
- Loof's last 15 matches: 3 wins, 12 losses.
- Loof's last two matches: losses to Ficovich and Marrero Curbelo.
- Loof's last consecutive wins: March 29 and November 15, 2025.
Park, 26, has a career win rate of 62.6% and has been ranked as high as 763.
Park retired from a match on June 12, 2026, but has played six matches since then without another retirement. His recent form is mixed, with three wins and three losses. The retirement is not a current concern, but it adds some uncertainty.
- Park retired from a match on June 12, 2026, against Chan-Yeong Oh.
- Park has played six matches since then without another retirement.
- Park's recent form: 3 wins, 3 losses in last six matches.
This match is part of the Shanghai Challenger 100, played on outdoor hard courts during the September Asian swing. The surface and event level are confirmed, but they do not change the preparation or fitness picture for either player.
- The event is listed as a Challenger 100 played on outdoor hard courts in Shanghai during the September Asian swing.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Sep 2026, 15:02 · Europe/BucharestEntry List ATP Challenger Shanghái 2026canaltenis.com · 5 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40
The read
Park's superior recent form and return game on hard courts give him a clear edge over Loof, whose last-15 record is poor.
- Uisung Park last 15 overall record 7-8 (46.7%), Thijmen Loof 3-12 (20%)
- Park total points won 51.8% vs Loof 46.8% in last 15
- Park return points won 39.6% vs Loof 34.8% in last 15
- Park career hard-court wins 160 vs Loof 28
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUisung ParkEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Loof's tendency to extend matches and Park's moderate dominance suggest a competitive total games count.
- Loof average match duration 104.7 min, Park 75.5 min in last 15
- Loof games won 42% vs Park 52.2% in last 15
- Loof has played several three-set matches recently
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set could be close given Loof's occasional strong starts and Park's solid but not overwhelming edge.
- Loof first set games won 42% overall in last 15
- Park first set games won 52.2% overall in last 15
- Both players have had tiebreaks in recent sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Park's strong first-serve performance on hard courts and better recent form make him likely to take the opening set.
- Park first set win rate implied by 94% first-set win conversion career
- Loof first set win conversion 87% but overall recent form weak
- Park hard-court first serve points won 80.6% in last 9 hard matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostUisung ParkEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 4-5 aces per match, making over 8.5 total aces plausible.
- Loof aces per match 4.3, Park 4.7 in last 15
- Combined average aces per match 9.0
- Loof height 196 cm aids serve
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault average is around 5, making over 4.5 a reasonable line.
- Loof double faults per match 2.4, Park 2.6 in last 15
- Combined average double faults per match 5.0
- Both have moderate double fault rates
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Previous match context available

Thijmen Loof

3W 12L

7-6(3) 4-6 6-2#379Juan Pablo Ficovich

5-7 6-3 7-5#350Ivan Marrero Curbelo

7-6(2) 6-4#867Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios

6-3 6-3#714Michael Vrbensky

6-7(4) 6-2 6-4#900Shunsuke Nakagawa

6-1 7-6(5)#470Cannon Kingsley

7-6(6) 6-2#533Aziz Ouakaa

6-7(5) 6-3 7-6(3)—Tanguy Genier

6-1 6-3#796Gabriele Pennaforti

6-3 6-4#885Facundo Juarez

6-3 6-0#895Matthew Summers

6-3 6-2—Blake Bayldon

6-3 5-7 6-3—Mikal Statham

6-2 ret.—Harry Pugh

6-3 6-4#725Aleksandre Bakshi

Uisung Park

7W 8L

7-5 6-4#539Kokoro Isomura

7-5 6-2#1581Zhao Zhao

6-2 6-2#539Kokoro Isomura

6-0 6-4—Yua Taka

6-2 6-1#518Hiroki Moriya

6-1 6-4#1330Thantub Suksumrarn

7-5 ret.#898Chan-Yeong Oh

6-1 6-2—Stefan Storch

7-5 7-6(2)#851Shintaro Imai

3-1 ret.#293Matthew Dellavedova

6-1 6-1#874Yeongseok Jeong

6-2 6-1#877Makoto Ochi

7-5 6-4#365Jake Delaney

6-3 6-2—Yuta Tomida

6-1 6-2#892Yuta Kikuchi

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

TLThijmen LoofLoof

Last 15

2–6

9 core stats · 1 even

Uisung ParkParkUP

Uisung Park carries the stronger recent form — Thijmen Loof's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In59.9%+2.9pp57.0%

1st Serve Won65.5%+8.0pp73.5%

2nd Serve Won49.6%+1.4pp48.2%

Aces / Match4.3+0.44.7

Double Faults / Match2.4—2.6

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won34.8%+4.8pp39.6%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted35.1%+13.4pp48.5%

Break Pts Saved55.4%+7.1pp62.5%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won46.8%+5.0pp51.8%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

59.9%1st Serve In+2.9pp57.0%

65.5%1st Serve Won+8.0pp73.5%

49.6%2nd Serve Won+1.4pp48.2%

4.3Aces / Match+0.44.7

2.4Double Faults / Match—2.6

Return · 0–1

34.8%Return Pts Won+4.8pp39.6%

Pressure · 0–2

35.1%Break Pts Converted+13.4pp48.5%

55.4%Break Pts Saved+7.1pp62.5%

Points · 0–1

46.8%Total Pts Won+5.0pp51.8%