Maria Sakkari vs Yuliia Starodubtseva: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Sakkari's stronger recent hard-court record and return game give her the edge in this Bo3 match.
- Sakkari last 15 overall record 9-6 (60%), Starodubtseva 6-9 (40%)
- Sakkari hard-court last 15 record 7-3 (70%), Starodubtseva 3-4 (42.9%)
- Sakkari return points won 41.8% overall, 46% on hard; Starodubtseva 44% overall, 42.2% on hard
- Sakkari ranking 35 vs Starodubtseva 58
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMaria SakkariEstimated chance62%

Games3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive baseline stats and long average match durations point to a match with at least 22 games.
- Sakkari average match duration 101 min, Starodubtseva 131.7 min
- Sakkari games won 52% overall, Starodubtseva 48.6%
- Both players have similar break point conversion rates (Sakkari 46.5%, Starodubtseva 42.4%)
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Starodubtseva's competitive baseline stats suggest she can stay within 3.5 games of Sakkari.
- Sakkari games won 52% overall, Starodubtseva 48.6%
- Sakkari hard-court games won 56%, Starodubtseva 48.6%
- Starodubtseva has kept matches close against higher-ranked opponents
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonYuliia Starodubtseva +3.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player dominates serve or return enough to expect a quick first set, making over 9.5 games plausible.
- Sakkari first serve points won 69.6% overall, Starodubtseva 58%
- Sakkari return points won 41.8%, Starodubtseva 44%
- Both players have break point save rates around 54%
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Similar second-serve and break-point numbers suggest a tight second set with at least 10 games.
- Sakkari second serve points won 49.2%, Starodubtseva 49.8%
- Sakkari break points converted 46.5%, Starodubtseva 42.4%
- Both players have similar games won percentages (52% vs 48.6%)
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Sakkari's superior recent set-winning rate on hard courts suggests she is more likely to take the opening set.
- Sakkari first set win conversion 87% career, Starodubtseva 87%
- Sakkari last 15 sets won 57.1%, Starodubtseva 45.9%
- Sakkari hard-court sets won 65.2%, Starodubtseva 50%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMaria SakkariEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sakkari's ace rate plus Starodubtseva's modest ace count makes over 5.5 total aces likely in a competitive match.
- Sakkari aces per match 3.6 overall, 3.3 on hard
- Starodubtseva aces per match 1.8 overall, 2.1 on hard
- Combined average aces per match ~5.4
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over two double faults per match, making over 4.5 total double faults a reasonable expectation.
- Sakkari double faults per match 2.9 overall, 2.3 on hard
- Starodubtseva double faults per match 2.3 overall, 2.0 on hard
- Combined average double faults per match ~5.2
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Maria Sakkari #33Greece1Yuliia Starodubtseva #65Ukraine2

Player Profiles

Maria Sakkari

Yuliia Starodubtseva

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Maria Sakkari

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Result0 of 1 landed

Games3 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Maria Sakkari

Yuliia Starodubtseva

Stat Battle