United StatesWTA US OpenFinished

Predictions graded

Lola Radivojevic #154Serbia2Kajsa Rinaldo Persson #228Sweden0

Sets 6-4 · 6-3Tue 25 Aug 2026, 18:51 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions1–517%

Edges1–325%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLola Radivojevic · 74 places

Lola Radivojevic

Serbia

Reliable public profile information beyond the supplied current ranking and handedness was limited in this search.

Current ranking: #154
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

Sweden

A Swedish tennis report identifies her as 28 and describes the 2026 US Open qualifying event as her Grand Slam debut. No verified current injury issue was found in the requested searches.

Current ranking: #228
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Aug 2026, 16:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is favored to win her Grand Slam qualifying debut against Lola Radivojevic, thanks to a 2-0 H2H edge and superior first-serve consistency.

Back Rinaldo Persson on the moneyline and over 21.5 total games, but avoid Radivojevic -4.5 games.

Context

Rinaldo Persson retired at 5-7 7-5 5-2 against Eva Bennemann on July 30, 2026.
- The retirement came in the third set, suggesting a possible physical issue.
- No further information is available about the nature or severity of the injury.
Rinaldo Persson won 3-6 6-4 6-1 on April 10, 2026.
- She also won 6-3 6-1 on August 1, 2023.
- Both matches were on clay, but the recent win shows she can handle Radivojevic's game.
Radivojevic's first-serve percentage over the last 15 matches is 56.4%.
- She wins only 45.1% of second-serve points, leaving her vulnerable.
- Rinaldo Persson wins 47.1% of return points, which could exploit this weakness.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.75
The read
Rinaldo Persson's superior first-serve consistency and 2-0 H2H edge, combined with better recent form, give her the edge on hard court.
- H2H: Rinaldo Persson leads 2-0, both on clay, most recent 2026-04-10 3-6 6-4 6-1
- Last 15 overall: Rinaldo Persson 53.3% win rate vs Radivojevic 46.7%
- Career hard-court wins: Rinaldo Persson 60 vs Radivojevic 30
- Rinaldo Persson first serve in 74.4% last 15 vs Radivojevic 56.4%
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKajsa Rinaldo PerssonEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches average over 21.5 games, and their similar return stats point to a closely contested match.
- Radivojevic last 15 average 23.3 games per match
- Rinaldo Persson last 15 average 21.9 games per match
- Both players have 50%+ deciding set rates, suggesting competitive matches
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent first sets average near or above 9.5 games, indicating a likely competitive opening set.
- Radivojevic last 15 first set average 9.8 games
- Rinaldo Persson last 15 first set average 9.5 games
- H2H 2026 first set had 9 games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.38
The read
Despite Radivojevic's higher first-serve points won, Rinaldo Persson's overall consistency and H2H mental edge make her slightly favored to take the opening set.
- Rinaldo Persson first set win conversion career 85% vs Radivojevic 87%
- Rinaldo Persson first serve points won 58.2% last 15 vs Radivojevic 65.9%
- H2H 2026: Rinaldo Persson lost first set 3-6 but won match
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostKajsa Rinaldo PerssonEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 3 double faults per match, making a combined total over 6.5 likely.
- Radivojevic averages 3.7 double faults per match last 15
- Rinaldo Persson averages 3.0 double faults per match last 15
- Combined average 6.7 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radivojevic's ace rate alone nearly reaches the line, and Rinaldo Persson's occasional aces push the combined total over 4.5.
- Radivojevic averages 3.7 aces per match last 15
- Rinaldo Persson averages 0.3 aces per match last 15
- Combined average 4.0 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Radivojevic's recent form and surface struggles make a -4.5 game handicap too aggressive.

Head-to-Head

0-2 (2 meetings)

L3-6 6-4 6-1Lola Radivojevic#154vKajsa Rinaldo Persson#228Apr 10, 2026

L6-3 6-1Lola Radivojevic#154vKajsa Rinaldo Persson#228Aug 1, 2023

2 total meetings

Lola Radivojevic

7W 8L

0-6 6-3 7-6(4)#338Margaux Rouvroy

7-5 4-6 6-4#215Jennifer Ruggeri

6-1 3-6 6-1#262Sofya Lansere

6-2 6-2#330Deborah Chiesa

6-4 6-0#332Yufei Ren

6-4 7-5#81Yulia Putintseva

6-4 6-2#208Mona Barthel

6-7(10) 6-2 7-6(7)#134Marina Bassols Ribera

7-5 6-3#236Francesca Curmi

6-3 6-2#503Isabella Maria Serban

7-6(4) 0-6 7-5#219Mia Ristic

6-2 6-4#205Sara Sorribes Tormo

6-3 3-6 7-5#122Laura Samson

4-6 6-3 6-1#302Martha Matoula

6-4 6-2#425Elena Milovanovic

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

8W 7L

5-7 7-5 5-2 ret.#303Eva Bennemann

7-5 6-2#561Ida Wobker

6-2 1-6 6-4#453Beatrise Zeltina

6-4 6-4#712Marta Lombardini

6-3 6-1#231Darya Astakhova

7-6(5) 3-6 6-3#110Kaitlin Quevedo

6-4 7-6(4)#156Dalma Galfi

6-2 4-6 6-3#146Fiona Ferro

6-1 6-3#161Elina Avanesyan

4-6 6-3 6-2#251Anna-Lena Friedsam

6-2 6-0#432Laura Mair

6-2 6-1#804Eszter Meri

6-3 6-3#310Weronika Falkowska

6-2 7-5#141Noma Akugue Noha

6-1 4-6 6-3#117Leolia Jeanjean

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

LRLola RadivojevicRadivojevic

Last 15

3–4

9 core stats · 2 even

Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonPerssonKP

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson carries the stronger recent form — Lola Radivojevic's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In56.4%+18.0pp74.4%

1st Serve Won65.9%+7.7pp58.2%

2nd Serve Won45.1%—45.1%

Aces / Match3.7+3.40.3

Double Faults / Match3.70.7 fewer3.0

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won44.9%+2.2pp47.1%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted44.4%+3.0pp47.4%

Break Pts Saved58.1%+3.4pp54.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won50.8%—50.9%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

56.4%1st Serve In+18.0pp74.4%

65.9%1st Serve Won+7.7pp58.2%

45.1%2nd Serve Won—45.1%

3.7Aces / Match+3.40.3

3.7Double Faults / Match0.7 fewer3.0

Return · 0–1

44.9%Return Pts Won+2.2pp47.1%

Pressure · 1–1

44.4%Break Pts Converted+3.0pp47.4%

58.1%Break Pts Saved+3.4pp54.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

50.8%Total Pts Won—50.9%