Diane Parry #64France22 – 1Donna Vekic #34Croatia1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Evenly matched players with solid serve stats and competitive H2H history point to a match likely exceeding 21.5 games.

• Parry last15 average duration 109.3 min, Vekic 104.3 min
• Parry last15 games won 50.5%, Vekic 52.8%
• Both players have 53.3% win rate in last 15, suggesting competitive matches
• H2H matches: 6-4 6-4 and 2-6 6-4 6-1, both over 21.5 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Parry's recent hard-court form and competitive stats suggest she can keep the match close, making +2.5 games a solid play.

• Parry last15 games won 50.5%, Vekic 52.8%
• Parry last15 hard-court record 3-3, Vekic 0-2
• Parry recent hard-court wins over Mertens and Dolehide

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Strong first-serve numbers from both players should lead to a tight opening set with at least 10 games.

• Parry last15 first serve points won 71.3%, Vekic 67.6%
• Parry last15 break points saved 64.9%, Vekic 51.9%
• Both players have first serve percentages around 56-58%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in their matchups have often been competitive, and neither player has a dominant second-serve edge.

• Parry last15 second serve points won 45.4%, Vekic 46.4%
• Both players have similar break point conversion rates (Parry 39.8%, Vekic 42.5%)
• Recent H2H sets: 6-4, 6-4, 6-4, 6-1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Vekic's stronger return game should help her start fast, though Parry's recent hard-court form makes this close.

• Vekic last15 first set win rate not directly available, but overall sets won 55.9% vs Parry 52.9%
• Vekic career first set win conversion 84%, Parry 85%
• Vekic last15 return points won 44.9% vs Parry 38.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 3.5 aces per match, making over 7.5 total aces likely.

• Parry last15 aces per match 4.3, Vekic 3.6
• Combined average aces per match 7.9
• Parry career aces 1177, Vekic 2324

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 3 double faults per match, but variance is high, making this a borderline over.

• Parry last15 double faults per match 4.0, Vekic 3.1
• Combined average double faults per match 7.1
• Parry career double faults 1054, Vekic 3165