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Predictions graded

Savannah Broadus #306United States0Tyra Caterina Grant #423Italy2

Sets 2-6 · 4-6Mon 24 Aug 2026, 21:01 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions4–267%

Edges1–150%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageSavannah Broadus · 117 places

Savannah Broadus

United States

American player aged 23. Reliable public sources from the requested search did not establish a preferred surface or a verified career-high date.

Current ranking: #306
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Mika Brunold

Italy

Swiss player born 2 October 2004. ITF lists clay as his preferred surface; his career-high ATP singles ranking was No. 289 in August 2025.

Current ranking: #423
Peak ranking: #289 · 2025
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Aug 2026, 15:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Tyra Caterina Grant is favored over Savannah Broadus based on ranking and recent form, but her hard-court struggles and high double-fault rate make her vulnerable.

The best betting value is on over 20.5 total games and over 7.5 double faults, while the match winner and game handicap markets on Grant offer no value.

Context

Grant's last 15 matches include 10 on clay and 5 on grass, with no hard-court matches in that window.
- Her 2026 surface record shows 20-7 on clay, 4-1 on grass, and 3-1 on indoor hard, but no outdoor hard-court wins.
- In 2025, Grant went 3-6 on hard courts, suggesting a longer-term struggle on the surface.
Grant has 80 double faults in her last 15 matches, including 7.0 per match on grass and 4.5 on clay.
- Broadus has only 41 double faults in the same span, showing better second-serve control.
- Grant's second-serve points won is just 44.1%, meaning she often loses points after a fault.
Broadus's last 15 matches are all on hard courts, with a 66.7% win rate.
- Her first-serve points won on hard is 68.8%, slightly better than Grant's overall 67.7%.
- Broadus has a career hard-court record of 61-24, showing comfort on the surface.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Tyra Caterina Grant

1.44fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Grant's ranking and recent record are stronger, but the model estimate is below the implied probability, so there is no value at this price.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Grant has a stronger recent record and ranking, and her higher first-serve percentage gives her a structural edge on hard court.
- Tyra Caterina Grant last15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%) vs Savannah Broadus 10-5 (66.7%)
- Grant ranking 153 vs Broadus ranking 306
- Grant career win% 67.2% vs Broadus 65.9%
- Grant last15 first serve in 60.4% vs Broadus 54.9%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTyra Caterina GrantEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players have comparable return stats and similar games won percentages, suggesting a competitive match likely to exceed 20.5 total games.
- Broadus last15 average match duration 89.2 minutes, Grant 98.9 minutes
- Broadus last15 games won 55.7%, Grant 55.7%
- Both players have similar return points won: Broadus 45.3%, Grant 45.4%
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be closely contested given both players' similar recent form and return abilities.
- Broadus last15 first set average games: 9.4 (from recent form)
- Grant last15 first set average games: 9.3 (from recent form)
- Both players have similar first set competitiveness
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Grant's slightly better recent set-winning percentage and serve consistency make her a marginal favorite in the opening set.
- Grant last15 first set win conversion 89% career vs Broadus 95% career
- Grant last15 sets won 67.6% vs Broadus 62.5%
- Grant last15 first serve points won 67.7% vs Broadus 68.8%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonTyra Caterina GrantEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Grant's 5.3 double faults per match combined with Broadus's 2.7 gives a combined average of 8.0, supporting over 7.5.
- Broadus last15 double faults per match 2.7, Grant 5.3
- Combined average double faults per match: 8.0
- Grant's high double fault rate is a significant factor
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages suggest a total around 6.8, making over 6.5 a coin flip.
- Broadus last15 aces per match 3.9, Grant 2.9
- Combined average aces per match: 6.8
- Hard court surface typically produces more aces
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Savannah Broadus

10W 5L

6-1 6-2#246Caroline Dolehide

6-3 7-6(6)#646Ekaterina Ovcharenko

6-0 6-1—Elena Ecker

6-4 7-5#309Anastasia Kulikova

6-4 6-2—Unknown Player

6-3 6-3—Rachael Smith

6-4 6-3#246Caroline Dolehide

6-7(6) 6-2 6-3#101Taylah Preston

6-3 6-2#142Lucrezia Stefanini

7-6(4) 6-3#326Ena Koike

7-6(3) 7-6(6)#288Lea Ma

2-6 6-3 7-5#257Fangran Tian

6-3 6-2#242Katrina Scott

6-2 6-2#753Peangtarn Plipuech

6-0 6-0#899Brandy Walker

Tyra Caterina Grant

11W 4L

6-0 6-3#323Martina Trevisan

7-5 6-3#27Marie Bouzkova

6-4 6-2#71Katie Boulter

6-4 7-6(5)#207Harmony Tan

6-4 6-4#203Joanna Garland

6-1 2-6 6-4#101Taylah Preston

7-5 0-6 6-2#149Leyre Romero Gormaz

6-2 6-3#231Darya Astakhova

6-4 6-1#383Tatiana Pieri

7-6(3) 2-6 6-2#184Varvara Lepchenko

3-6 6-3 6-3#339Lisa Zaar

6-4 6-3#147Andrea Lazaro Garcia

6-3 6-1#233Irene Burillo

6-3 6-3#287Caroline Werner

6-2 6-4#183Martyna Kubka

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SBSavannah BroadusBroadus

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Tyra Caterina GrantGrantTG

Savannah Broadus carries the stronger recent form — Tyra Caterina Grant's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In54.9%+5.5pp60.4%

1st Serve Won68.8%+1.1pp67.7%

2nd Serve Won51.4%+7.3pp44.1%

Aces / Match14/15 · 15/153.9+1.02.9

Double Faults / Match2.72.6 fewer5.3

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won45.3%—45.4%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted44.8%+2.6pp47.4%

Break Pts Saved53.0%+1.1pp54.1%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.2%+1.4pp51.8%

Serve · 4–1

54.9%1st Serve In+5.5pp60.4%

68.8%1st Serve Won+1.1pp67.7%

51.4%2nd Serve Won+7.3pp44.1%

3.9Aces / Match14/15 · 15/15+1.02.9

2.7Double Faults / Match2.6 fewer5.3

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

45.3%Return Pts Won—45.4%

Pressure · 0–2

44.8%Break Pts Converted+2.6pp47.4%

53.0%Break Pts Saved+1.1pp54.1%

Points · 1–0

53.2%Total Pts Won+1.4pp51.8%