Kimmer Coppejans #218Belgium00 – 2Jurij Rodionov #134Austria2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Rodionov's stronger hard-court surface fit and superior serve metrics give him the edge in this Bo3 qualifying match.

• Rodionov has a 2026 hard-court record of 5-3, while Coppejans is 5-5 on hard in 2026.
• Rodionov's last-15 overall first-serve points won is 73.9% vs Coppejans' 69.6%.
• Rodionov's last-15 overall aces per match is 6.9 vs Coppejans' 2.4.
• Coppejans' only last-15 hard-court match was a 6-2 6-0 loss to Martin Damm.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83

The read

The competitive nature of qualifying matches and both players' moderate return stats suggest a match with at least 22 games.

• Coppejans' last-15 overall average match duration is 88.1 minutes, Rodionov's is 92.6 minutes.
• Rodionov's last-15 overall games won percentage is 51.4%, Coppejans' is 57.2%.
• Both players have similar break-point save rates: Rodionov 64.3%, Coppejans 55.4%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62

The read

Coppejans' superior recent return stats and Rodionov's inconsistent first serve should keep the match close, making +3.5 games a solid handicap.

• Coppejans' last-15 overall games won percentage is 57.2%, Rodionov's is 51.4%.
• Coppejans' last-15 overall return points won is 44.7%, above Rodionov's 36.6%.
• Rodionov's last-15 overall break-point save rate is 64.3%, but his first-serve in is only 58.5%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Rodionov's serve advantage and Coppejans' poor recent hard-court serving make Rodionov more likely to take the opening set.

• Rodionov's last-15 overall first-serve points won is 73.9% vs Coppejans' 69.6%.
• Coppejans' last-15 hard-court first-serve points won was only 54.5% in one match.
• Rodionov's career first-set win conversion is 83%, similar to Coppejans' 84%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Rodionov's high ace rate alone should push the combined ace total over 8.5 in a Bo3 match.

• Rodionov's last-15 overall aces per match is 6.9, Coppejans' is 2.4.
• Rodionov's last-15 hard-court aces per match was 3.0 in one match, but his overall serve is strong.
• Coppejans' last-15 overall aces per match is 2.4, with a first-serve in of 66%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have shown elevated double-fault rates on hard courts, making over 5.5 total double faults plausible.

• Rodionov's last-15 overall double faults per match is 3.3, Coppejans' is 2.5.
• Rodionov's last-15 hard-court double faults per match was 5.0 in one match.
• Coppejans' last-15 hard-court double faults per match was 4.0 in one match.