GermanyAugsburg - GermanyRET

Predictions graded

Maximilian Marterer #746Germany1Benjamin Hassan #5142

Sets 5-7 · 7-6 · 1-4Sun 23 Aug 2026, 13:20 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions3–350%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageBenjamin Hassan · 232 places

Maximilian Marterer

Germany

Current ranking and playing style are taken from the supplied structured match data.

Current ranking: #746
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 188 cm

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #514
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Aug 2026, 10:06 · Europe/Bucharest

Marterer's 2-0 clay H2H edge and slightly better recent clay games won percentage give him a narrow edge over Hassan despite the ranking gap.

The match is expected to be close, with over 21.5 total games and over 6.5 total aces as solid angles. Marterer to win at 2.10 offers value with a 7.4-point edge.

Context

Marterer leads H2H 2-0, with wins in 2024 (6-3 7-6) and 2016 (7-5 6-1).
- Both wins came on clay, the same surface as this match.
- Hassan has never taken a set off Marterer.
Hassan clay record last 15: 8-6 (57.1% win rate).
- Marterer clay record last 15: 6-5 (54.5% win rate).
- Hassan's recent wins include victories over players ranked 195, 280, and 365.
Hassan clay aces per match: 4.6 (14 matches tracked).
- Marterer clay aces per match: 2.6 (10 matches tracked).
- Hassan also has a higher first-serve points won percentage on clay (70.6% vs 69.0%).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Marterer's 2-0 clay H2H edge and slightly better recent clay games won percentage give him a narrow edge over Hassan despite the ranking gap.
- H2H: Marterer leads 2-0, both on clay (2024, 2016)
- Marterer clay last 15: 6-5 record, 51.2% games won
- Hassan clay last 15: 8-6 record, 49.4% games won
- Marterer ranking 746 vs Hassan 514, but H2H and surface edge
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMaximilian MartererEstimated chance55%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have competitive clay stats and similar game totals, suggesting a match likely to exceed 21.5 games.
- Marterer clay matches average 102.3 minutes, 22.5 games per match
- Hassan clay matches average 102.9 minutes, 23.4 games per match
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 49-51%
- H2H 2024: 19 games, 2016: 19 games
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent clay first sets for both players average near 10 games, supporting an over on 9.5 games.
- Marterer clay first set average: 9.8 games
- Hassan clay first set average: 9.6 games
- Both players have close first-set stats
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Marterer's strong first-set conversion rate and H2H dominance give him a slight edge in the opening set.
- Marterer first set win conversion career: 88%
- Hassan first set win conversion career: 86%
- Marterer clay first serve points won: 69%
- Hassan clay first serve points won: 70.6%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostMaximilian MartererEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's higher ace rate on clay pushes the combined total above 6.5.
- Marterer clay aces per match: 2.6
- Hassan clay aces per match: 4.6
- Combined expected aces: 7.2
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 2.5 double faults per clay match, making over 5.5 likely.
- Marterer clay double faults per match: 2.5
- Hassan clay double faults per match: 3.5
- Combined expected double faults: 6.0
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

2-0 (2 meetings)

W6-3 7-6(3)Maximilian Marterer#746vBenjamin Hassan#514Aug 10, 2024

W7-5 6-1Maximilian Marterer#746vBenjamin Hassan#514Jul 13, 2016

2 total meetings

Previous match context available

Maximilian Marterer

7W 8L

7-6(7) 6-3#397Daniel Masur

7-6(3) 7-6(4)#530Louis Wessels

2-6 6-0 6-3—Aaron Funk

6-2 1-6 6-3—Lars Goran Verwerft

4-6 3-0 ret.#854Sidane Pontjodikromo

6-4 6-4#540Michael Bassem Sobhy

6-3 4-6 6-2#544Christoph Negritu

6-1 6-7(5) 6-1#119Kyrian Jacquet

6-1 6-1#287Pierre-Hugues Herbert

7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 2-6 6-2#98Adam Walton

6-4 6-1#523Federico Arnaboldi

5-1#839Federico Coria

6-3 7-6(5)#204Edas Butvilas

6-2 5-7 6-4#860Yshai Oliel

6-4 5-7 6-1#204Edas Butvilas

Benjamin Hassan

8W 7L

6-1 2-6 6-2#336Dominic Stricker 3-6 3-2 ret.#195Lorenzo Giustino

7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(2)#365Geoffrey Blancaneaux

3-6 6-1 6-4#280Sandro Kopp

7-6(4) 6-3#617Oleksandr Ovcharenko

6-3 2-6 7-5#665Leo Raquillet

4-0 ret.—Flynn Thomas

6-3 6-4#512Radu Albot

1-6 6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 3-6 7-6(3)#302Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-2#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 6-2#524Alex Marti Pujolras

6-2 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-3 5-7 7-5#330Daniel Michalski

6-4 6-2#284Filip Cristian Jianu

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MMMaximilian MartererMarterer

Last 15

3–5

9 core stats · 1 even

Benjamin HassanHassanBH

Benjamin Hassan carries the stronger recent form — Maximilian Marterer's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In13/15 · 15/1566.3%+14.2pp52.1%

1st Serve Won13/15 · 15/1567.8%+2.5pp70.3%

2nd Serve Won13/15 · 15/1549.4%+2.5pp51.9%

Aces / Match13/15 · 15/152.4+2.14.5

Double Faults / Match13/15 · 15/152.71.0 fewer3.7

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won13/15 · 15/1534.7%+0.8pp35.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted13/15 · 15/1538.8%+11.9pp50.7%

Break Pts Saved13/15 · 15/1560.9%+4.6pp56.3%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won13/15 · 15/1548.4%—48.7%

Serve · 2–3

66.3%1st Serve In13/15 · 15/15+14.2pp52.1%

67.8%1st Serve Won13/15 · 15/15+2.5pp70.3%

49.4%2nd Serve Won13/15 · 15/15+2.5pp51.9%

2.4Aces / Match13/15 · 15/15+2.14.5

2.7Double Faults / Match13/15 · 15/151.0 fewer3.7

Return · 0–1

34.7%Return Pts Won13/15 · 15/15+0.8pp35.5%

Pressure · 1–1

38.8%Break Pts Converted13/15 · 15/15+11.9pp50.7%

60.9%Break Pts Saved13/15 · 15/15+4.6pp56.3%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

48.4%Total Pts Won13/15 · 15/15—48.7%