GermanyAugsburg - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Benito Sanchez Martinez #847Germany2Alec Beckley #5600

Sets 6-2 · 6-2Sun 23 Aug 2026, 10:30 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions0–60%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAlec Beckley · 287 places

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Germany

German left-hander, born 30 April 2002. Public player profiles report a career-high singles ranking of No. 839 on 25 August 2025 and list hard as his preferred surface; no clearly sourced current injury or decline narrative appeared in the specified searches.

Current ranking: #847
Peak ranking: #839 · 2025
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Left handed
Height: —

Alec Beckley

Structured player data lists him at No. 560 with a right-handed, two-handed-backhand game and 183 cm height. Reliable public profile and current availability detail was limited in the specified search.

Current ranking: #560
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Aug 2026, 10:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Alec Beckley is a slight favorite over Benito Sanchez Martinez based on overall form and ranking, but Sanchez Martinez's better clay record makes this close.

The best value is on Beckley to win at 2.00 odds, with an estimated 58% probability. Expect a competitive match with potential for over 21.5 total games and at least one tiebreak.

Context

Sanchez Martinez last 11 clay matches: 7 wins, 4 losses (63.6% win rate).
- Beckley last 9 clay matches: 4 wins, 5 losses (44.4% win rate).
- The tournament surface is clay, making this recent surface form directly relevant.
Beckley lost to Nerman Fatic (rank 417), Daniel Salazar Martinez (779), Andrej Martin (402), Vincent Dullinger (unranked), and Tom Sickenberger (unranked).
- His wins in the same period came against unranked players or those ranked 504 and 851.
- Sanchez Martinez's recent opponents include Alan Wazny (845), Marvin Moeller (327), and Oleksii Krutykh (526).
On 27 June 2026, he won 7-6(1) 3-0 ret. against Daniel Salazar Martinez.
- On 26 June 2026, he won 6-4 ret. against Jakub Filip.
- No current injury or fitness concern is reported for Sanchez Martinez.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Beckley's superior overall recent games/sets won and higher ranking give him a slight edge, though Sanchez Martinez's better clay-specific record keeps this close.
- Alec Beckley last 15 overall: 53.3% win rate, 57.1% sets won, 53.6% games won.
- Benito Sanchez Martinez last 15 overall: 53.3% win rate, 51.5% sets won, 49.7% games won.
- Beckley clay last 9: 44.4% win rate, 53.2% games won; Sanchez Martinez clay last 11: 63.6% win rate, 52.1% games won.
- Beckley ranking 560 vs Sanchez Martinez ranking 847.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAlec BeckleyEstimated chance58%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combined recent match game averages and the presence of three-setters support a total above 21.5 games.
- Sanchez Martinez last 15 average games per match: 20.3 (304 games / 15 matches).
- Beckley last 15 average games per match: 22.4 (336 games / 15 matches).
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent form.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The mix of competitive first sets and tiebreak potential makes over 9.5 games in set 1 plausible.
- Sanchez Martinez recent first sets include 7-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-1.
- Beckley recent first sets include 7-5, 6-4, 6-3, 6-1.
- Both players have tiebreak experience in first sets.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Beckley's slightly better return points won and comparable serve stats suggest a marginal edge in the opening set.
- Beckley first set win conversion career: 90%; Sanchez Martinez first set win conversion career: 94%.
- Beckley last 15 first serve points won: 67.3%; Sanchez Martinez: 67.2%.
- Beckley last 15 return points won: 43.3%; Sanchez Martinez: 41.8%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostAlec BeckleyEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates, making under 7.5 total aces likely.
- Sanchez Martinez last 15 aces per match: 2.8.
- Beckley last 15 aces per match: 1.7.
- Combined average aces per match: 4.5.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault averages slightly exceed 5.5, supporting an over.
- Sanchez Martinez last 15 double faults per match: 3.1.
- Beckley last 15 double faults per match: 2.7.
- Combined average double faults per match: 5.8.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive matchups and both players' tiebreak experience make at least one tiebreak likely.
- Sanchez Martinez career tiebreak win percentage: 64%.
- Beckley career tiebreak win percentage: 58%.
- Both players have recent matches with tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance52%

Benito Sanchez Martinez

8W 7L

7-6(5) 6-1#845Alan Wazny

0-6 6-3 7-6(6)#327Marvin Moeller

6-1 6-3#526Oleksii Krutykh

7-6(1) 3-0 ret.#779Daniel Salazar Martinez

6-4 ret.#861Jakub Filip

6-3 6-3—Jannik Soetebier

4-6 6-4 7-5—Oliver Majdandzic

7-5 6-2#183Roberto Bautista Agut

6-1 3-6 7-6(4)#761Adhithya Ganesan

6-2 3-6 6-2—Romain Gales

6-3 6-2#401Andrew Fenty

6-1 6-1#156Zdenek Kolar

6-3 7-6(6)#230Gilles Arnaud Bailly

6-3 7-5#397Daniel Masur

6-1 6-3#697Nikolai Barsukov

Alec Beckley

8W 7L

6-7(4) 6-4 6-2#417Nerman Fatic

7-5 7-6(6)#779Daniel Salazar Martinez

6-4 6-2—Gregor Hausberger

7-5 6-3—Noel Larwig

6-1 6-1—Milosz Szczypka

7-5 1-6 7-6(11)#402Andrej Martin

6-3 7-5—Jakub Kusy

3-6 7-5 6-4—Vincent Dullinger

6-1 3-6 6-3—Tom Sickenberger

6-3 6-4#635Tuncay Duran

6-3 6-3#504Dominik Palan

6-2 6-3—Thando Longwe-Smit

6-4 6-4#851Alexander Zgirovsky

6-4 6-2#229Stefano Napolitano

3-6 6-1 6-4#429Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BMBenito Sanchez MartinezMartinez

Last 15

2–6

9 core stats · 1 even

Alec BeckleyBeckleyAB

Alec Beckley carries the stronger recent form — Benito Sanchez Martinez's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In61.4%+0.9pp62.3%

1st Serve Won67.2%—67.3%

2nd Serve Won48.9%+2.2pp51.1%

Aces / Match2.8+1.11.7

Double Faults / Match3.10.4 fewer2.7

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won41.8%+1.5pp43.3%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted45.5%+3.5pp42.0%

Break Pts Saved51.1%+9.3pp60.4%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won50.9%+1.2pp52.1%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

61.4%1st Serve In+0.9pp62.3%

67.2%1st Serve Won—67.3%

48.9%2nd Serve Won+2.2pp51.1%

2.8Aces / Match+1.11.7

3.1Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer2.7

Return · 0–1

41.8%Return Pts Won+1.5pp43.3%

Pressure · 1–1

45.5%Break Pts Converted+3.5pp42.0%

51.1%Break Pts Saved+9.3pp60.4%

Points · 0–1

50.9%Total Pts Won+1.2pp52.1%