United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Alec Deckers #577Netherlands0Patrick Brady #812United Kingdom2

Sets 4-6 · 6-7Tue 18 Aug 2026, 11:30 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions4–267%

Edges2–250%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAlec Deckers · 235 places

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

Dutch right-hander, born 2 May 2000, with a career-best ATP ranking of No. 483 in August 2023. No verified current injury, withdrawal, or return-from-absence report was located in the requested searches.

Current ranking: #577
Peak ranking: #483 · 2023
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 193 cm

Patrick Brady

United Kingdom

British right-hander, born 14 November 2004. Public profile sources list a career-best singles ranking of No. 728 in February 2024; no reliable preferred-surface or current injury trajectory source was found.

Current ranking: #812
Peak ranking: #728 · 2024
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 188 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 03:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Deckers is the likely winner due to his superior serve and recent form, with value on his moneyline at 2.30.

The over 21.5 total games and over 12.5 total aces are also solid angles. Avoid Brady +3.5 game handicap and Brady 2-0 set betting.

Context

Deckers averages 10.3 aces per match in his last 15, compared to Brady's 2.7.
- Deckers wins 78.7% of first-serve points, while Brady wins 69.4%.
- Brady has saved only 41.4% of break points in his last 15 matches.
Brady beat Alafia Ayeni (ranked 460) 6-1 6-4 and Jesse Delaney (ranked 898) 6-1 6-0.
- Deckers is ranked 585, higher than both of Brady's recent opponents.
- Brady's hard-court games won percentage is 60.1% in his last 8 hard-court matches, but his overall games won percentage is 54.4%.
Deckers' last 15 matches average 24.5 total games.
- Brady's last 15 matches average 21.1 total games.
- Deckers' average match duration is 119.2 minutes, compared to Brady's 108.3 minutes.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Deckers has a stronger recent overall and hard-court record plus a significant serve advantage, making him the likely winner.
- Deckers last 15 overall record 9-6 (60%) vs Brady 8-7 (53.3%)
- Deckers last 15 hard-court record 9-5 (64.3%) vs Brady 5-3 (62.5%)
- Deckers ranking 585 vs Brady 812
- Deckers last 15 aces per match 10.3 vs Brady 2.7
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAlec DeckersEstimated chance58%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches average above 21.5 total games, and Deckers' matches tend to be longer, supporting an over.
- Deckers last 15 average games per match 24.5 (368 games / 15 matches)
- Brady last 15 average games per match 21.1 (316 games / 15 matches)
- Deckers last 15 average duration 119.2 minutes vs Brady 108.3 minutes
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both players' recent first sets average around 9-10 games, and close opening sets are common in their matches.
- Deckers last 15 first set average 9.9 games (based on recent form parsed sets)
- Brady last 15 first set average 9.3 games
- Deckers last 15 tiebreak win percentage 58% career
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Brady's recent hard-court game-winning percentage is higher than Deckers', making the +3.5 game handicap a reasonable cover.
- Deckers last 15 games won percentage 52.7%
- Brady last 15 games won percentage 54.4%
- Brady last 15 hard-court games won percentage 60.1%
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonPatrick Brady +3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20
The read
Deckers' superior first-serve effectiveness and break-point saving in recent matches give him an edge in the opening set.
- Deckers first set win conversion career 86% vs Brady 83%
- Deckers last 15 first serve points won 78.7% vs Brady 69.4%
- Deckers last 15 break points saved 67.1% vs Brady 41.4%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostAlec DeckersEstimated chance56%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Deckers' high ace rate alone nearly covers the line, and Brady adds a few aces, making over 12.5 likely.
- Deckers last 15 aces per match 10.3
- Brady last 15 aces per match 2.7
- Combined expected aces per match 13.0
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 12.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Deckers' high double fault rate pushes the combined total above the line, though Brady's low rate adds uncertainty.
- Deckers last 15 double faults per match 3.6
- Brady last 15 double faults per match 1.5
- Combined expected double faults per match 5.1
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L7-5 6-3Alec Deckers#585vPatrick Brady#812May 2, 2023

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Alec Deckers

9W 6L

3-6 6-3 6-2—Ali Habib 7-6(1) 6-7(4) 6-4#824Conor Gannon

6-3 2-6 6-3#629Aziz Dougaz

7-6(3) 7-5#693Egor Agafonov

7-6(3) 6-2—Danial Rakhmatullayev

4-6 7-5 7-5—Kerem Yilmaz

6-2 6-4—Samim Filiz

6-4 2-6 6-1#891Charlie Robertson

6-0 6-7(1) 6-1—Andreas Timini

7-5 6-3—Udit Kamboj

6-0 7-6(10)#738Devin Badenhorst

7-6(6) 6-2—Kriish Tyagi

6-7(8) 6-2 6-4#891Charlie Robertson

6-3 7-6(4)#323Carl Emil Overbeck

6-2 6-3#164Bernard Tomic

Patrick Brady

8W 7L

6-1 6-4#460Alafia Ayeni 6-1 6-0#898Jesse Delaney

7-6(6) 6-4#475Emile Hudd

7-6(5) 6-4#816Toby Martin

6-3 6-2#965Alexis Canter

6-1 6-1#270Alastair Gray

6-3 7-5#736Herman Hoeyeraal

7-6(4) 6-3#659Ryan Seggerman

6-2 6-1—James Mackinlay

7-5 6-4#276Giles Hussey

6-7(5) 6-1 6-3#213Rio Noguchi

7-5 7-6(4)#158Zhizhen Zhang

6-4 4-6 6-3#431Cyril Vandermeersch

6-3 6-0—Raghav Jaisinghani

7-6(1) 0-6 7-5#562Dimitris Sakellaridis

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ADAlec DeckersDeckers

Last 15

4–4

9 core stats · 1 even

Patrick BradyBradyPB

Dead-even recent form — the edges are in serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In53.4%+17.0pp70.4%

1st Serve Won78.7%+9.3pp69.4%

2nd Serve Won52.5%+1.0pp53.5%

Aces / Match10.3+7.62.7

Double Faults / Match3.62.1 fewer1.5

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won36.7%+3.1pp39.8%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted43.3%+3.7pp39.6%

Break Pts Saved67.1%+25.7pp41.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won51.4%—52.0%

Serve · 2–3

53.4%1st Serve In+17.0pp70.4%

78.7%1st Serve Won+9.3pp69.4%

52.5%2nd Serve Won+1.0pp53.5%

10.3Aces / Match+7.62.7

3.6Double Faults / Match2.1 fewer1.5

Return · 0–1

36.7%Return Pts Won+3.1pp39.8%

Pressure · 2–0

43.3%Break Pts Converted+3.7pp39.6%

67.1%Break Pts Saved+25.7pp41.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

51.4%Total Pts Won—52.0%