United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished
Predictions gradedATP lists a career-high singles ranking of No. 432, reached in June 2025. Reliable public sources from the targeted search did not establish a preferred surface or an active injury context.
British left-hander who reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 212 in October 2025. The targeted search did not identify a current injury, withdrawal, or return-from-absence signal.
Pre-match view
Johannus Monday is the clear favorite over Iliyan Radulov due to superior serve metrics and better recent hard-court form, but the moneyline odds of 1.25 imply an 80% win probability, far above the model's 62% estimate, offering no value.
The best betting angles are the total aces over 7.5 and total games over 21.5, where the lines are closer to the model's projections.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 62% · Market 80%
Monday's superior serve metrics and better recent hard-court form give him a clear edge over Radulov, but the odds imply a much higher probability than the model estimate.
BetBugs 60% · Market 76.9%
Monday's strong serving should allow him to control the opening set against Radulov's weaker serve.
BetBugs 42% · Market 57.8%
Monday's superior serve and Radulov's straight-set losses on hard courts support a 2-0 victory, but the model estimate is below the implied probability, indicating no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Monday's recent form and surface metrics do not justify such a heavy favorite price against Radulov.
Johannus Monday has fulfilled 4 of 5 recent win projections, with an average estimated probability of 68.8% compared to an expected 3.4 fulfilled predictions. The only miss came against Aidan Mayo at 65% probability, while all four wins occurred at probabilities between 58% and 78%. The current 62% probability sits within the historical range of 58% to 78%.
Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.
Last 15
9 core stats · 1 even
Johannus Monday carries the stronger recent form — Iliyan Radulov's route runs through return.
