United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Emile Hudd #475United Kingdom1Alastair Gray #270United Kingdom2

Sets 6-4 · 3-6 · 2-6Mon 17 Aug 2026, 16:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions4–267%

Edges1–150%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAlastair Gray · 205 places

Emile Hudd

United Kingdom

Public profile data lists Hudd as born in May 2000. Available career results show most of his recorded matches have been on hard courts; no current injury or withdrawal report was returned in the specified searches.

Current ranking: #475
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 193 cm

Alastair Gray

United Kingdom

Gray reached his singles career high of No. 237 in September 2022. The LTA lists hard and grass as his preferred surfaces; its background bio notes a past extended injury absence, not a current fitness concern.

Current ranking: #270
Peak ranking: #237 · 2022
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: Hard / Grass
Hand: Right handed
Height: 193 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 15:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Hudd's superior recent hard-court form and return numbers make him a strong value underdog against Gray, despite the ranking gap.

The best betting angles are Hudd on the moneyline and set 1 winner, while Gray +3.5 games is also worth considering. Avoid Gray at short odds due to his poor hard-court record.

Context

Hudd last 15 hard-court record: 10-4 (71.4%)
- Gray last 15 hard-court record: 2-3 (40%)
- Hudd's recent hard-court wins include opponents ranked 357, 380, and 812
- Gray's recent hard-court losses include opponents ranked 290 and 532
Hudd hard-court return points won: 41.3% (432/1045)
- Gray hard-court return points won: 35.2% (142/403)
- Gray's hard-court break points saved: 62.2% vs Hudd's 57.8%
- Hudd's overall return points won: 40.5% vs Gray's 38.6%
Gray lost to Santillan (rank 290) 2-6 6-2 6-3 on 21 July
- Gray lost to Almazan Valiente (rank 532) 7-6(4) 6-2 on 14 July
- Gray's hard-court return points won: 35.2% vs grass-court 40.5%
- Gray's hard-court record in last 15: 2-3, but grass-court record: 6-4

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 3.50
The read
Hudd's stronger recent hard-court form and return numbers outweigh Gray's ranking edge, making him the more likely winner.
- Emile Hudd last 15 overall record 10-5 (66.7%), Alastair Gray 8-7 (53.3%)
- Hudd last 15 hard-court record 10-4 (71.4%), Gray last 15 hard-court record 2-3 (40%)
- Hudd last 15 return points won 40.5%, Gray 38.6%
- Hudd ranking 475, Gray ranking 270
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostEmile HuddEstimated chance58%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches average over 22 games, and their comparable serve/return profiles suggest a competitive match likely to exceed 21.5 games.
- Hudd last 15 average games per match 23.3 (349 games / 15 matches)
- Gray last 15 average games per match 22.4 (336 games / 15 matches)
- Hudd last 15 average duration 124.8 minutes, Gray 103.1 minutes
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 51-53%
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Hudd's better recent hard-court record, Gray's overall recent stats and higher ranking suggest he can keep the match close, making +3.5 games a solid play.
- Gray last 15 games won percentage 53.3%, Hudd 51%
- Gray last 15 total points won 51.6%, Hudd 50.9%
- Gray ranking 270, Hudd 475
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonAlastair Gray +3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average close to 10 games in the first set, and their similar serve stats make a tight opening set likely.
- Hudd last 15 first-set average games 9.7 (145 games / 15 matches)
- Gray last 15 first-set average games 9.5 (142 games / 15 matches)
- Hudd last 15 tiebreak win percentage 48%, Gray 52%
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.75
The read
Hudd's superior recent hard-court results and high first-set conversion rate give him a slight edge in the opening set.
- Hudd last 15 first-set win conversion 92% career, Gray 89% career
- Hudd last 15 hard-court record 10-4, Gray 2-3
- Hudd last 15 total points won 50.9%, Gray 51.6%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonEmile HuddEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The players' similar serve/return profiles and high first-set game averages increase the likelihood of at least one tiebreak.
- Hudd last 15 tiebreak win percentage 48%, Gray 52%
- Hudd last 15 first-set average games 9.7, Gray 9.5
- Both players have similar serve and return stats, leading to close sets
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined recent ace averages are just above 9.5, and both players have strong serve numbers, making over 9.5 a reasonable but low-confidence play.
- Hudd last 15 aces per match 4.3, Gray 5.3
- Combined average aces per match 9.6
- Hudd career aces 1201 in 236 matches (5.1 per match), Gray 2005 in 383 matches (5.2 per match)
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined recent double fault averages are just above 6.5, but the low confidence reflects the variability of double faults in any given match.
- Hudd last 15 double faults per match 3.6, Gray 3.2
- Combined average double faults per match 6.8
- Hudd career double faults 547 in 236 matches (2.3 per match), Gray 1041 in 383 matches (2.7 per match)
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Gray's short price ignores his poor recent hard-court form and Hudd's strong surface-specific results.

Emile Hudd

10W 5L

7-5 7-6(4)#886Iiro Vasa

6-3 6-4#357Anton Matusevich

6-3 6-4—Hugo Coquelin

7-6(4) 6-3#965Alexis Canter

6-1 6-3#380Oliver Tarvet

6-4 2-6 6-4—Billy Blaydes

7-6(6) 6-4#812Patrick Brady

6-2 6-2—Ali Habib

4-6 6-1 7-6(4)#868Albert Pedrico Kravtsov

7-6(6) 6-4#593Daniel De Jonge

6-2 7-6(7)—Goncalo Marques

6-3 3-6 7-5#817Francisco Rocha

7-6(5) 6-2#580Paul Inchauspe

0-6 6-3 6-3—Roberto Perez Socas

6-2 5-7 7-5—Pablo Roche Alcaya

Alastair Gray

8W 7L

2-6 6-2 6-3#290Akira Santillan

7-6(4) 6-2#532Izan Almazan Valiente

7-5 6-3#205Clement Chidekh

6-3 6-4#244Yi Zhou

6-1 6-1#812Patrick Brady

6-2 6-4#692Oscar Weightman

7-6(3) 7-6(4)#34Matteo Arnaldi

6-4 7-5#226August Holmgren

6-1 6-1#889James Watt

6-3 6-4—Henry Jefferson

6-2 7-6(7)#306Filippo Romano

4-6 6-3 6-4#355Edward Winter

3-6 6-4 7-6(5)#273Petr Bar Biryukov

6-2 5-7 7-6(3)#586Mukund Sasikumar

6-3 7-6(2)#504Dominik Palan

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

EHEmile HuddHudd

Last 15

1–6

9 core stats · 2 even

Alastair GrayGrayAG

Alastair Gray carries the stronger recent form — Emile Hudd's route runs through return.

Serve · 0–4 · 1 even

1st Serve In65.2%—65.1%

1st Serve Won67.5%+4.1pp71.6%

2nd Serve Won50.4%+1.9pp52.3%

Aces / Match4.3+1.05.3

Double Faults / Match3.60.4 fewer3.2

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won40.5%+1.9pp38.6%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted41.8%+1.5pp43.3%

Break Pts Saved57.3%+11.2pp68.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won50.9%—51.6%

Serve · 0–4 · 1 even

65.2%1st Serve In—65.1%

67.5%1st Serve Won+4.1pp71.6%

50.4%2nd Serve Won+1.9pp52.3%

4.3Aces / Match+1.05.3

3.6Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer3.2

Return · 1–0

40.5%Return Pts Won+1.9pp38.6%

Pressure · 0–2

41.8%Break Pts Converted+1.5pp43.3%

57.3%Break Pts Saved+11.2pp68.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

50.9%Total Pts Won—51.6%