United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Christian Langmo #464United States0Adrian Boitan #441Romania2

Sets 3-6 · 6-7Mon 17 Aug 2026, 13:40 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions2–433%

Edges1–325%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGabi Adrian Boitan · 23 places

Christian Langmo

United States

American, born 1 June 1996. Available profile records list a career-high singles ranking of No. 318; his match history is predominantly on hard courts, but no official preferred-surface designation was located.

Current ranking: #464
Peak ranking: #318
Current age: 30
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

Romanian, born 11 July 1999. The ITF lists a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 284 on 23 February 2026 and names hard as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #441
Peak ranking: #284 · 2026
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 22:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Langmo's superior hard-court form and positive H2H give him the edge, but Boitan's competitiveness suggests a close match.

Back Langmo to win, over 21.5 total games, and Boitan +3.5 games.

Context

Langmo is 2-8 in his last 10 matches, including losses to Aidan Mayo (ranked 616) and Evan Zhu (ranked 600).
- His last 15 hard-court record is 6-9, with only 48.7% of sets won.
- He has lost three of his last four matches, all on hard courts.
Boitan's career surface wins: 192 on clay, 35 on hard, 0 on grass.
- In 2026, he is 0-2 on hard courts, losing to Ilia Simakin and Gabriel Debru.
- His last 15 hard-court stats show 0 wins in 2 matches, with only 42.1% of games won.
Langmo won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in September 2024 and 5-7 6-3 7-5 in March 2024.
- Boitan won their only 2023 meeting 6-3 6-4.
- The H2H surface split is 1-1 on hard and 1-1 on clay, so no clear surface edge in their history.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Langmo's superior hard-court form and positive H2H give him the edge, while Boitan's recent hard-court struggles are a major concern.
- Langmo leads H2H 2-1, winning both 2024 meetings in three sets.
- Langmo's last 15 hard-court record is 6-9, but he has played exclusively on hard courts recently.
- Boitan is 0-2 on hard courts in 2026 and 0-2 in his last 15 hard-court matches.
- Langmo's return points won is 32.6% vs Boitan's 31.9% on hard in recent window.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostChristian LangmoEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Competitive match expected with both players having similar recent game percentages and a history of long H2H battles.
- Both 2024 H2H matches went three sets with 20+ games.
- Langmo's recent matches average 25.7 games per match.
- Boitan's recent matches average 22.7 games per match.
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 49-52%.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Boitan's competitive recent form and Langmo's tendency for close matches make the +3.5 game handicap a solid value.
- Boitan's recent games won percentage is 51.6%, Langmo's is 48.7%.
- Boitan has won at least 10 games in 12 of his last 15 matches.
- Langmo's recent matches have been close, with many three-setters.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonAdrian Boitan +3.5Estimated chance60%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Langmo's tendency to start strong in H2H and Boitan's recent slow starts support a Langmo first-set win.
- Langmo won first set in both 2024 H2H wins.
- Langmo's first-set win conversion career is 85%, Boitan's is 84%.
- Boitan lost first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostChristian LangmoEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent ace rates suggest a combined total around 10, making over 9.5 likely.
- Langmo averages 6.4 aces per match in last 15.
- Boitan averages 3.3 aces per match in last 15.
- Combined average is 9.7 aces per match.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have high double fault rates, and their combined average exceeds the line.
- Langmo averages 4.1 double faults per match in last 15.
- Boitan averages 5.3 double faults per match in last 15.
- Combined average is 9.4 double faults per match.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The quoted 2-1 Langmo price looks tempting but surface evidence argues against backing it.

Head-to-Head

2-1 (3 meetings)

W6-2 3-6 6-3Christian Langmo#464vAdrian Boitan#441Sep 30, 2024

W5-7 6-3 7-5Christian Langmo#464vAdrian Boitan#441Mar 25, 2024

L6-3 6-4Christian Langmo#464vAdrian Boitan#441Feb 19, 2023

3 total meetings

Christian Langmo

6W 9L

6-7(6) 6-3 7-5#616Aidan Mayo

6-2 4-6 6-3#600Evan Zhu

6-4 7-5#527Pavle Marinkov

4-6 7-5 6-2#616Aidan Mayo

6-1 6-4#118Yibing Wu

6-3 6-7(2) 7-5#661Joshua Sheehy

7-6(6) 6-3#1755Alex Kobelt

7-6(7) 6-4#494Samir Banerjee

6-2 4-6 6-4#285Jeff Wolf

6-2 6-4#720Nicolas Arseneault

6-2 6-0#527Pavle Marinkov

6-7(3) 6-4 6-1#495Kenta Miyoshi

4-6 6-3 6-4#310Daniel Milavsky

4-6 6-3 7-6(6)#655Ryan Colby

6-2 3-6 6-3#312Johannus Monday

Adrian Boitan

7W 8L

5-7 6-3 6-4#267Ilia Simakin

4-6 6-2 6-2#690Gabriel Debru

6-4 6-7(4) 6-3#236Juan Pablo Varillas

2-6 7-5 6-2—Semen Aginskiy

6-0 7-5—Vlad Cristian Breazu

4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.#829Dan Alexandru Tomescu

7-5 6-4—Cezar Gabriel Papoe

3-6 6-4 6-4#649Radu David Turcanu

6-2 6-1#880Mihai Razvan Marinescu

7-6(2) 6-1—David - Ioan Morega

6-3 ret.—Pablo Perez Navarro

6-2 6-3#880Mihai Razvan Marinescu

6-3 3-6 7-5#595Nathaniel Lammons

6-4 6-4#257Buvaysar Gadamauri

6-4 7-5#405Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

CLChristian LangmoLangmo

Last 15

4–4

9 core stats · 1 even

Adrian BoitanBoitanAB

Dead-even recent form — the edges are in serve.

Serve · 4–0 · 1 even

1st Serve In14/15 · 15/1562.0%+0.8pp61.2%

1st Serve Won14/15 · 15/1575.4%+5.6pp69.8%

2nd Serve Won14/15 · 15/1550.8%—50.1%

Aces / Match14/15 · 15/156.4+3.13.3

Double Faults / Match14/15 · 15/154.11.2 fewer5.3

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won14/15 · 15/1532.6%+6.7pp39.3%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted14/15 · 15/1537.0%+3.4pp40.4%

Break Pts Saved14/15 · 15/1565.6%+1.1pp66.7%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won14/15 · 15/1549.5%+1.3pp50.8%

Serve · 4–0 · 1 even

62.0%1st Serve In14/15 · 15/15+0.8pp61.2%

75.4%1st Serve Won14/15 · 15/15+5.6pp69.8%

50.8%2nd Serve Won14/15 · 15/15—50.1%

6.4Aces / Match14/15 · 15/15+3.13.3

4.1Double Faults / Match14/15 · 15/151.2 fewer5.3

Return · 0–1

32.6%Return Pts Won14/15 · 15/15+6.7pp39.3%

Pressure · 0–2

37.0%Break Pts Converted14/15 · 15/15+3.4pp40.4%

65.6%Break Pts Saved14/15 · 15/15+1.1pp66.7%

Points · 0–1

49.5%Total Pts Won14/15 · 15/15+1.3pp50.8%