United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Filip Peliwo #555Canada2Giulio Perego #883Italy0

Sets 6-4 · 6-2Sun 16 Aug 2026, 09:40 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions1–517%

Edges0–20%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageFilip Peliwo · 328 places

Filip Peliwo

Canada

Peliwo reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 161 in May 2018. The ITF lists hard as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #555
Peak ranking: #161 · 2018
Current age: 32
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Giulio Perego

Italy

Limited reliable public profile information found. Use the structured form and match data as the main player context.

Current ranking: #883
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 08:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Perego's superior recent hard-court form and return numbers give him a slight edge over Peliwo.

The match is likely to be competitive, with value on Perego to win and over 21.5 total games.

Context

Perego's last 15 hard-court record is 6-5, with 49.4% games won.
- Peliwo's last 15 hard-court record is 5-10, with 45.8% games won.
- Perego's return points won on hard is 39.5%, slightly better than Peliwo's 37.7%.
Lost to Luc Fomba (rank 1765) 6-3 6-4 on 13 Aug.
- Lost to Ronald Hohmann (rank 1391) 6-3 6-0 on 28 Jul.
- Lost to Zsombor Velcz (rank 889) 6-1 6-3 on 16 Jul.
Perego's last 15 hard-court average duration is 126 minutes.
- Peliwo's last 15 hard-court average duration is 93.2 minutes.
- Perego's matches average 22.1 total games, Peliwo's 20.5.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Perego's superior recent hard-court form and return numbers give him a slight edge over Peliwo, whose last 15 matches show a 33% win rate.
- Perego last 15 on hard: 6-5 record, 49.4% games won, 39.5% return points won
- Peliwo last 15 on hard: 5-10 record, 45.8% games won, 37.7% return points won
- Perego career hard win% 59.7 vs Peliwo 55.9 overall, but recent form favors Perego
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGiulio PeregoEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players have competitive recent matches with close game totals, and Perego's longer average match duration suggests a higher likelihood of exceeding 21.5 games.
- Peliwo last 15 average 20.5 games per match, Perego 22.1
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 45-46% in recent matches
- Perego's last 15 matches average 118 minutes, indicating longer matches
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be closely contested given both players' recent first-set game averages near 9.5.
- Peliwo first set average 9.3 games in last 15, Perego 9.7
- Both players have similar first-set competitiveness
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Perego's higher first-serve percentage and slightly better first-set conversion rate support a marginal edge in the opening set.
- Perego first set win conversion 86% career, Peliwo 84%
- Perego last 15 first serve in 69.9% vs Peliwo 60.1%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostGiulio PeregoEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates, making under 5.5 total aces highly likely.
- Peliwo averages 1.7 aces per match, Perego 1.2 in last 15
- Combined average aces per match is 2.9, well below 5.5
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Peliwo's higher double fault rate pushes the combined total above the 4.5 line.
- Peliwo averages 3.2 double faults per match, Perego 2.1
- Combined average double faults is 5.3, slightly above 4.5
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Filip Peliwo

5W 10L

6-3 6-4#1765Luc Fomba

6-1 6-1—Filip Kiryllo

6-1 3-6 6-3#354Ivan Marrero Curbelo

6-3 6-0#1391Ronald Hohmann

6-1 6-3#889Zsombor Velcz

6-4 6-2—Andreas Scott

4-6 6-1 6-3#890Chirag Duhan

6-2 6-4#725Khololwam Montsi

3-6 6-3 7-5#784Matt Ponchet

6-4 7-5#606Guillaume Dalmasso

6-3 6-2—Rafael Ymer

7-6(5) 6-1#880Kristjan Tamm

6-3 6-1#334Eliakim Coulibaly

4-6 6-4 6-3#842Arda Azkara

6-4 7-6(5)#862Kody Pearson

Giulio Perego

6W 9L

6-2 6-2#488George Loffhagen

3-6 7-6(4) 6-1#676Tiago Cacao

6-7(2) 6-4 6-2—James Beaven

6-3 6-2#705Orel Kimhi

6-3 4-6 7-6(3)—Andreas Timini

6-4 6-4#1854Hugo Pierre

6-1 6-2—James Beaven

7-6(6) 6-3#853Kris Van Wyk

6-2 6-4—Matteo Sciahbasi

6-3 6-1#351Oriol Roca Batalla

7-6(3) 6-4#882Alexandre Reco

6-0 6-1#427Massimo Giunta

7-5 6-1#560Alec Beckley

7-6(3) 6-3—Stefan Cooper

3-6 7-6(7) 10-6#635Tuncay Duran

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

FPFilip PeliwoPeliwo

Last 15

3–4

9 core stats · 2 even

Giulio PeregoPeregoGP

Giulio Perego carries the stronger recent form — Filip Peliwo's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In60.1%+9.8pp69.9%

1st Serve Won61.6%+1.1pp60.5%

2nd Serve Won49.7%+1.4pp48.3%

Aces / Match1.7+0.51.2

Double Faults / Match3.21.1 fewer2.1

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won37.7%—38.1%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted35.6%+8.6pp44.2%

Break Pts Saved56.8%+4.9pp61.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won47.2%—47.6%

Serve · 3–2

60.1%1st Serve In+9.8pp69.9%

61.6%1st Serve Won+1.1pp60.5%

49.7%2nd Serve Won+1.4pp48.3%

1.7Aces / Match+0.51.2

3.2Double Faults / Match1.1 fewer2.1

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

37.7%Return Pts Won—38.1%

Pressure · 0–2

35.6%Break Pts Converted+8.6pp44.2%

56.8%Break Pts Saved+4.9pp61.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

47.2%Total Pts Won—47.6%