United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Billy BlaydesUnited Kingdom2Alexis Gautier #800France0

Sets 7-6 · 6-4Sun 16 Aug 2026, 11:40 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions8–0100%

Edges5–0100%

Player Profiles

Billy Blaydes

United Kingdom

Limited reliable public profile information found. Use the structured form section as the main player context.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Alexis Gautier

France

Structured data lists Gautier at No. 800 and 198 cm. Limited additional reliable public profile information was identified.

Current ranking: #800
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 198 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 08:46 · Europe/Bucharest

Billy Blaydes is the clear favorite based on superior recent form and return game, with a 72% win probability.

The best betting value is on Blaydes to win and under 2.5 sets, as his straight-set potential is underrated by the market.

Context

Blaydes last 15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%), Gautier 6-9 (40%).
- Blaydes last 15 games won 57.6% vs Gautier 46.3%.
- Blaydes has won 8 of his last 15 matches in straight sets.
- Gautier's recent form includes losses to players ranked outside the top 500.
Gautier last 15 return points won 35.2% vs Blaydes 41.9%.
- Gautier last 15 break points converted 37.3% vs Blaydes 48.9%.
- Gautier's return points won on hard courts in last 15 is only 38.8% (3 matches tracked).
Gautier last 15 hard-court record 2-1 (66.7%) but only 3 matches tracked.
- Blaydes last 15 hard-court record 11-4 (73.3%) with all 15 matches on hard.
- Gautier's recent matches have been mostly on indoor hard and carpet, not outdoor hard.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Blaydes has a clear recent form and return-structure edge over Gautier, making him the likely winner.
- Billy Blaydes last 15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%), Alexis Gautier 6-9 (40%)
- Blaydes last 15 games won 57.6% vs Gautier 46.3%
- Blaydes last 15 return points won 41.9% vs Gautier 35.2%
- Blaydes last 15 break points converted 48.9% vs Gautier 37.3%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBilly BlaydesEstimated chance72%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches average over 21.5 games, and their serve stats suggest competitive sets.
- Blaydes last 15 average 22.0 games per match
- Gautier last 15 average 22.6 games per match
- Both players have similar first serve points won percentages (70.3% vs 71.6%)
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Recent first-set game averages for both players are above 9.5, indicating a likely close opening set.
- Blaydes last 15 first set average 9.8 games
- Gautier last 15 first set average 9.7 games
- Both players have first serve points won around 70%
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blaydes's superior recent form and return game support a comfortable margin of victory.
- Blaydes last 15 games won 57.6% vs Gautier 46.3%
- Blaydes last 15 record 73.3% vs Gautier 40%
- Blaydes last 15 return points won 41.9% vs Gautier 35.2%
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonBilly Blaydes -3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Blaydes's strong first-set conversion and superior return game give him the edge in set 1.
- Blaydes career first set win conversion 92%
- Blaydes last 15 first serve points won 70.3%
- Gautier last 15 first serve points won 71.6% but return points won only 35.2%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonBilly BlaydesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Blaydes's dominance in sets and Gautier's struggles suggest the match will end in two sets.
- Blaydes last 15 sets won 71.4%
- Gautier last 15 sets won 47.2%
- Blaydes has won 8 of last 15 matches in straight sets
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.10
The read
Blaydes's strong set win percentage and Gautier's weaker recent form make a straight-set win likely.
- Blaydes last 15 sets won 71.4%
- Gautier last 15 sets won 47.2%
- Blaydes last 15 record 73.3% with many straight-set wins
BetBugs · Set BettingwonBilly Blaydes 2-0Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gautier's high ace rate combined with Blaydes's moderate ace count pushes the total over 10.5.
- Gautier last 15 aces per match 7.0
- Blaydes last 15 aces per match 3.4
- Combined average aces per match 10.4
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 10.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 2.9 double faults per match, making over 5.5 likely.
- Gautier last 15 double faults per match 3.3
- Blaydes last 15 double faults per match 2.9
- Combined average double faults per match 6.2
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

Billy Blaydes

11W 4L

7-5 6-2#507Alex Rybakov

6-2 7-6(7)—Anuj Watane

6-4 2-6 6-4#475Emile Hudd

6-2 6-3#676Tiago Cacao

6-3 5-7 6-4—William Jansen

6-3 3-6 7-6(3)#403Lui Maxted

6-1 2-1 ret.—Freddie Ridout

7-5 6-3—Anuj Watane

4-6 6-4 6-4#500Aziz Ouakaa

7-6(4) 6-1—Gawad El Feky

6-1 6-4—Florent Limani

6-0 7-6(1)—Gabriel Sardo

6-3 4-6 7-5#510Cesar Bouchelaghem

6-3 6-2#1664Yash Chaurasia

6-3 6-2—Youssef Labbene

Alexis Gautier

6W 9L

6-3 6-1#739Loann Massard

7-5 6-3#369Lucas Poullain

6-3 6-7(6) 6-2—Nicolas Ifi

6-1 6-0#519Tibo Colson

6-4 3-6 7-6(9)#868Adan Freire Da Silva

3-6 6-4 6-3#348Michael Geerts

6-4 6-4#538Sidharth Rawat

6-4 6-4#681Yurii Dzhavakian

4-6 6-3 6-2#157Stefanos Sakellaridis

6-7(4) 6-4 6-1#203Harry Wendelken

6-3 6-4#844Calvin Mueller

7-5 6-1—Sydney Zick

6-4 6-3—Maximilian Oezcelik

6-3 6-2—Jeremy Schifris

6-1 3-6 7-5—Martin Sabas

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BBBilly BlaydesBlaydes

Last 15

6–2

9 core stats · 1 even

Alexis GautierGautierAG

Billy Blaydes carries the stronger recent form — Alexis Gautier's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In12/15 · 15/1558.6%—58.6%

1st Serve Won12/15 · 15/1570.3%+1.3pp71.6%

2nd Serve Won12/15 · 15/1550.3%+2.7pp47.6%

Aces / Match12/15 · 15/153.4+3.67.0

Double Faults / Match12/15 · 15/152.90.4 fewer3.3

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won12/15 · 15/1541.9%+6.7pp35.2%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted12/15 · 15/1548.9%+11.6pp37.3%

Break Pts Saved12/15 · 15/1564.0%+5.2pp58.8%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won12/15 · 15/1552.1%+3.9pp48.2%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

58.6%1st Serve In12/15 · 15/15—58.6%

70.3%1st Serve Won12/15 · 15/15+1.3pp71.6%

50.3%2nd Serve Won12/15 · 15/15+2.7pp47.6%

3.4Aces / Match12/15 · 15/15+3.67.0

2.9Double Faults / Match12/15 · 15/150.4 fewer3.3

Return · 1–0

41.9%Return Pts Won12/15 · 15/15+6.7pp35.2%

Pressure · 2–0

48.9%Break Pts Converted12/15 · 15/15+11.6pp37.3%

64.0%Break Pts Saved12/15 · 15/15+5.2pp58.8%

Points · 1–0

52.1%Total Pts Won12/15 · 15/15+3.9pp48.2%