Xiyu Wang #96China22 – 0Polina Kudermetova #108Uzbekistan0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Wang's stronger return game and recent H2H win give her a slight edge, though Kudermetova's better hard-court record in the last 15 keeps this close.

• Last 15 overall: Wang 9-6 record, 56.3% games won; Kudermetova 9-6 record, 49.7% games won.
• Hard-court last 15: Wang 1-2 (33.3%) with 51.9% games won; Kudermetova 5-3 (62.5%) with 49.2% games won.
• H2H: Wang won 6-3 6-3 on clay in May 2026, with superior return points won (50% vs 39%) and fewer double faults.
• Wang's last-15 return points won 51.5% vs Kudermetova's 42.2%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Wang's superior return game and H2H first-set success support a slight edge in set 1, but Kudermetova's strong first-serve points won makes this a low-confidence call.

• Wang's first-set win conversion career: 87%; Kudermetova: 90%.
• Wang's last-15 first-serve points won 55.7% vs Kudermetova's 67.6%, but Wang's return points won 51.5% vs 42.2%.
• H2H: Wang won first set 6-3.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kudermetova's strong serving, especially on hard courts, should push the combined ace total over 4.5.

• Kudermetova last-15 aces per match: 3.5; Wang: 0.6.
• Kudermetova hard-court last-15 aces per match: 2.9; Wang hard-court: 0.7.
• Combined average aces per match: 4.1, but Kudermetova's higher ace rate on hard courts pushes total up.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kudermetova's high double fault rate, especially on hard courts, makes the combined total likely to exceed 7.5.

• Kudermetova last-15 double faults per match: 6.5; Wang: 2.0.
• Kudermetova hard-court last-15 double faults per match: 7.0; Wang hard-court: 4.0.
• Combined average double faults per match: 8.5 on hard courts.