Oriol Roca Batalla #342Spain00 – 2Francesco Passaro #219Italy2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40

The read

Roca Batalla's superior recent form (9-6 vs 6-9) and stronger return game (41.3% vs 34% return points won) give him a clear edge on clay, despite Passaro's 2-1 H2H lead.

• Last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, 55.5% games won, 52.5% total points won.
• Passaro last 15 on clay: 6-9 record, 47.6% games won, 49% total points won.
• H2H: Roca Batalla won 6-4 6-0 in June 2026; Passaro won two other meetings, both tight.
• Roca Batalla return points won 41.3% vs Passaro 34% in last 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Passaro's matches average 23.3 games, and two of three H2H meetings went over 21.5 games, indicating a likely competitive contest.

• Last 15 average games per match: Roca Batalla 19.9, Passaro 23.3.
• H2H matches: 22, 16, 22 games.
• Both players have 50%+ deciding set rates, suggesting competitive matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Set2 averages are near 9.5, and Passaro often pushes sets deep even when trailing, supporting a slight over lean.

• Last 15: Roca Batalla set2 average 9.3 games, Passaro 9.7 games.
• H2H set2 games: 10, 6, 9.
• Passaro's second-set competitiveness improves after losing first set in recent matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Roca Batalla's positive game margin and dominant recent H2H win give him a slight edge to cover -1.5 games.

• Last 15 average game margin: Roca Batalla +1.1, Passaro -1.1.
• Roca Batalla won 6-4 6-0 in most recent H2H.
• Roca Batalla's return points won edge (41.3% vs 34%) suggests break advantages.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Roca Batalla's higher career first-set conversion and slightly better recent set-winning trend support a narrow edge in the opener.

• Roca Batalla first set win conversion career: 86%.
• Passaro first set win conversion career: 81%.
• Roca Batalla won first set in 3 of last 5 matches; Passaro in 2 of last 5.