United StatesBrownsburg - USAFinished

Predictions graded

Liam Broady #199United Kingdom0Dhakshineswar Suresh #393India2

Sets 3-6 · 5-7Wed 12 Aug 2026, 23:15 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions5–271%

Edges3–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLiam Broady · 194 places

Liam Broady

United Kingdom

Broady is a 32-year-old British left-hander. He reached a career-high No. 93 on September 25, 2023; the LTA lists hard court as his favourite surface.

Current ranking: #199
Peak ranking: #93 · 2023
Current age: 32
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Left handed
Height: 183 cm

Dhakshineswar Suresh

India

Born March 29, 2000, Suresh is a 196 cm right-hander with a two-handed backhand. In July 2026, he described his transition from college tennis to a full professional schedule and set a target of reaching the top 250.

Current ranking: #393
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Aug 2026, 00:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Dhakshineswar Suresh's dominant hard-court form (10-5 record, 66.7% win rate) and superior serve metrics give him a clear edge over Liam Broady, who has won just 1 of his last 6 on the surface.

The best betting angles are Suresh to win the match at 1.90 (12.4-point edge) and Suresh 2-0 at 3.00 (11.7-point edge), as Broady's recent losses have mostly come in straight sets.

Context

Broady's last15 hard-court record: 1-5 (16.7% win rate).
- Losses came against players ranked 486, 314, 385, 101, and 384.
- His only hard-court win in this stretch was against No. 309 Hayato Matsuoka.
Suresh's last15 hard-court record: 10-5 (66.7% win rate).
- He is averaging 9.3 aces per match and winning 76.2% of first-serve points.
- Recent wins include straight-set victories over Borna Gojo (No. 163) and Billy Harris (No. 162).
Broady's last15 hard-court second-serve points won: 46.1%.
- He is averaging 5.3 double faults per match on hard courts in this window.
- Suresh's return points won on hard courts is 33.1%, which could exploit Broady's second-serve weakness.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Suresh holds a clear recent-form edge on hard courts, winning 66.7% of his last 15 matches compared to Broady's 16.7%, supported by superior serve metrics.
- Suresh's last15 overall record: 10-5 (66.7%) vs Broady's 5-10 (33.3%)
- Suresh's last15 hard-court record: 10-5 (66.7%), Broady's: 1-5 (16.7%)
- Suresh's last15 first-serve points won: 76.2% vs Broady's 70.5%
- Suresh's last15 second-serve points won: 56.5% vs Broady's 49.2%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDhakshineswar SureshEstimated chance65%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have strong first-serve numbers, which often leads to tight opening sets; their recent first-set game averages support an over 9.5.
- Broady's last15 first-set average: 9.7 games, Suresh's: 9.5 games
- Broady's last15 hard-court first-set average: 9.8 games
- Both players have first-serve points won above 70%, limiting breaks
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Suresh's form edge, Broady's recent matches have been competitive, averaging over 24 games, and Suresh's matches also trend toward 23+ games, suggesting a likely over.
- Broady's last15 matches average 24.8 total games, Suresh's average 23.4
- Broady's last15 hard-court matches average 26.5 total games
- Both players have a high rate of close sets: Broady 48.7% games won, Suresh 51.6%
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Suresh's positive game margin and Broady's negative margin suggest Suresh could cover a -3.5 handicap, though the edge is modest.
- Suresh's last15 average game margin per match: +2.0 games
- Broady's last15 average game margin per match: -1.3 games
- Suresh's last15 hard-court average game margin: +2.0 games
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonDhakshineswar Suresh -3.5Estimated chance50%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Suresh has been a strong starter recently, winning 66.7% of first sets in his last 15 matches, while Broady has struggled early, especially on hard courts.
- Suresh's last15 first-set win rate: 10/15 (66.7%), Broady's: 5/15 (33.3%)
- Suresh's last15 hard-court first-set win rate: 10/15 (66.7%), Broady's: 1/6 (16.7%)
- Suresh's last15 first-serve points won: 76.2%, Broady's: 70.5%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonDhakshineswar SureshEstimated chance62%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Suresh's high ace rate (9.3 per match) alone nearly covers the line, and Broady adds 4.1, making over 12.5 likely.
- Suresh's last15 aces per match: 9.3, Broady's: 4.1
- Suresh's last15 hard-court aces per match: 9.3
- Combined average aces per match: 13.4
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 12.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Suresh's matches frequently go to tiebreaks (53% in last 15), and Broady's strong serving on hard courts increases the likelihood of at least one breaker.
- Suresh's last15 matches: 8 of 15 (53%) featured at least one tiebreak
- Broady's last15 matches: 6 of 15 (40%) featured at least one tiebreak
- Both players have first-serve points won above 70%, leading to tight sets
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Broady's hard-court double-fault rate spikes to 5.3 per match, and Suresh adds 3.4, pushing the combined average above the line.
- Broady's last15 double faults per match: 3.0, Suresh's: 3.4
- Broady's last15 hard-court double faults per match: 5.3
- Combined average double faults per match: 6.4
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Broady's recent hard-court form is extremely poor, making his favorite odds a trap.

Prediction history

Dhakshineswar Suresh has been highly reliable when projected to win

In 4 matches where Dhakshineswar Suresh was predicted to win, he fulfilled the prediction 3 times. The average estimated probability was 60%, with an expected 2.4 fulfilled predictions, so he exceeded expectations. The only miss came against Bruno Kuzuhara at a 65% probability, which is at the top of his historical range of 55–65%.

Recent evidence for Dhakshineswar Suresh4 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

24 Jul·Bloomfield Hills - USA

#436Dhakshineswar Suresh2-1#322Andres Martin

BetBugsDhakshineswar Suresh to win·62%

Matched

24 Jul 2026

Bloomfield Hills - USA

#436Dhakshineswar Suresh2-1#322Andres Martin

Dhakshineswar Suresh to win

62%probability

Dhakshineswar Suresh won

Matched

22 Jul·Bloomfield Hills - USA

#436Dhakshineswar Suresh2-0#155Billy Harris

BetBugsDhakshineswar Suresh to win·55%

Matched

22 Jul 2026

Bloomfield Hills - USA

#436Dhakshineswar Suresh2-0#155Billy Harris

Dhakshineswar Suresh to win

55%probability

Dhakshineswar Suresh won

Matched

20 Jul·Bloomfield Hills - USA

#446Dhakshineswar Suresh1-2#622Bruno Kuzuhara

BetBugsDhakshineswar Suresh to win·65%

Missed

20 Jul 2026

Bloomfield Hills - USA

#446Dhakshineswar Suresh1-2#622Bruno Kuzuhara

Dhakshineswar Suresh to win

65%probability

Bruno Kuzuhara won

Missed

1 Jul·Cary - USA

#475Dhakshineswar Suresh2-0#158Liam Draxl

BetBugsDhakshineswar Suresh to win·58%

Matched

1 Jul 2026

Cary - USA

#475Dhakshineswar Suresh2-0#158Liam Draxl

Dhakshineswar Suresh to win

58%probability

Dhakshineswar Suresh won

Matched

Previous match context available

Liam Broady

5W 10L

6-4 7-5#486Ozan Baris

7-5 5-7 6-4#314Jay Dylan Hara Friend

6-2 7-5#385Yuta Shimizu

6-4 5-7 7-6(4)#101Aleksandar Vukic

6-3 7-6(6)#42Alex Michelsen

6-3 7-6(2)#243Andre Ilagan

7-6(4) 6-3#101Aleksandar Vukic

2-6 7-5 7-6(5)#384Jack Kennedy

6-1 6-2#309Hayato Matsuoka

7-6(6) 4-6 7-5#224August Holmgren

7-5 6-2#87Zachary Svajda

6-2 6-4#237Raul Brancaccio

6-3 3-6 6-2#382Ioannis Xilas

6-4 6-2#63Daniel Merida Aguilar

5-7 6-3 6-3#186David Jorda Sanchis

Dhakshineswar Suresh

10W 5L

7-6(2) 7-6(4)#584Aidan Kim

6-3 6-3—Sebastian Godoy

7-6(4) 7-6(3)#664Ryan Colby

6-2 6-7(5) 6-2#42Alex Michelsen

3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(6)#340Andres Martin

6-2 6-4#163Borna Gojo

6-2 6-4#162Billy Harris

6-7(5) 6-3 6-4#615Bruno Kuzuhara

6-4 6-2#1664Brandon Perez

6-4 6-0#210Rio Noguchi

4-6 7-6(2) 7-6(4)#194Moez Echargui

6-3 6-4#792Keshav Chopra

7-6(3) 6-3#1391Ronald Hohmann

6-4 4-1 ret.#216Braden Shick

7-6(5) 6-4#209Liam Draxl

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

LBLiam BroadyBroady

Last 15

3–5

9 core stats · 1 even

Dhakshineswar SureshSureshDS

Dhakshineswar Suresh carries the stronger recent form — Liam Broady's route runs through return.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In59.0%—59.7%

1st Serve Won70.5%+5.7pp76.2%

2nd Serve Won49.2%+7.3pp56.5%

Aces / Match4.1+5.29.3

Double Faults / Match3.00.4 fewer3.4

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won38.1%+5.0pp33.1%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted33.1%+1.5pp31.6%

Break Pts Saved58.2%+5.7pp63.9%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won49.7%+0.8pp50.5%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

59.0%1st Serve In—59.7%

70.5%1st Serve Won+5.7pp76.2%

49.2%2nd Serve Won+7.3pp56.5%

4.1Aces / Match+5.29.3

3.0Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer3.4

Return · 1–0

38.1%Return Pts Won+5.0pp33.1%

Pressure · 1–1

33.1%Break Pts Converted+1.5pp31.6%

58.2%Break Pts Saved+5.7pp63.9%

Points · 0–1

49.7%Total Pts Won+0.8pp50.5%

Liam Broady #199United Kingdom0Dhakshineswar Suresh #393India2

Player Profiles

Liam Broady

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Dhakshineswar Suresh 2-0

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games2 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Liam Broady @ 1.80

Dhakshineswar Suresh has been highly reliable when projected to win

Liam Broady

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Stat Battle