Luca Van Assche #48France11 – 2Titouan Droguet #119France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

With both players frequently going to three sets and averaging over 22 games per match in recent form, the total games are likely to exceed 22.5.

• Van Assche's last15 matches average 24.0 total games per match (360 games / 15 matches).
• Droguet's last15 matches average 21.9 total games per match (329 games / 15 matches).
• Both players have high three-set match frequencies: Van Assche 9/15, Droguet 6/15 in last 15.
• H2H matches have averaged 22.7 games, with two of three going over 22.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Droguet's competitive recent matches and close H2H history suggest he will keep the match within 3.5 games, even if he loses.

• Van Assche's average games won margin in last15 is +2.7 (206-166), but Droguet's is +0.3 (166-163).
• Droguet has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 12 of his last 15 matches (80%).
• H2H matches have been close: 7-5 in third, 6-4 6-4, 7-6 6-3.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With both players showing a high frequency of three-set matches in their recent form, the match is likely to go the distance.

• Van Assche's last15 matches: 9 three-setters (60%).
• Droguet's last15 matches: 6 three-setters (40%).
• Combined, 15 of 30 recent matches (50%) went to three sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Droguet's higher ace count (5.2 per match) and the hard-court surface should push the total aces over 8.5, especially if the match goes three sets.

• Van Assche averages 2.8 aces per match in last15, Droguet averages 5.2.
• Combined average aces per match: 8.0.
• Droguet's hard-court ace rate in his only recent hard match was 8 aces.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Van Assche's high double fault rate (4.3 per match) combined with Droguet's 2.3 per match makes over 6.5 double faults likely.

• Van Assche averages 4.3 double faults per match in last15, Droguet averages 2.3.
• Combined average double faults per match: 6.6.
• Van Assche's double fault rate is high (4.3 per match), and Droguet's is moderate.