Max Dahlin #883Sweden22 – 1Daniel Elahi Galan #290Colombia1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have been involved in high-game-count matches recently, and their combined average games per match suggest a competitive encounter likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Dahlin's last 15 matches average 22.5 games per match, with 7 of his last 10 matches exceeding 21.5 games.
• Galan's last 15 matches average 23.4 games per match, with 8 of his last 10 matches exceeding 21.5 games.
• Both players have been involved in tight matches recently: Dahlin's last match had 32 games, and Galan's last match had 36 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players tend to play tight first sets, with a majority of recent first sets exceeding 9.5 games, indicating a competitive start.

• Dahlin's last 15 first sets average 9.8 games, with 9 of 15 first sets having 10 or more games.
• Galan's last 15 first sets average 9.5 games, with 8 of 15 first sets having 10 or more games.
• In their last 5 matches, Dahlin's first sets averaged 10.2 games, and Galan's averaged 9.8 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Dahlin's ability to win games even in losses, combined with Galan's occasional straight-set wins, makes Dahlin +3.5 a solid handicap bet.

• Dahlin's average games won per match in his last 15 is 13.7, while Galan's average games lost per match is 11.5.
• In their last 5 matches, Dahlin won an average of 14.2 games, and Galan lost an average of 11.8 games.
• Dahlin has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 12 of his last 15 matches (80%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Dahlin's high double-fault rate, especially on clay, makes it likely that the combined total will exceed 5.5, even with Galan's lower rate.

• Dahlin averages 3.9 double faults per match in his last 15, with 11 of 15 matches having at least 3 double faults.
• Galan averages 1.5 double faults per match in his last 15, but Dahlin's high rate alone pushes the combined total.
• In Dahlin's last 5 matches, he averaged 4.2 double faults, and Galan averaged 1.4, for a combined average of 5.6.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have moderate ace counts, and their combined average is close to 8.5, but the majority of their matches stay under this line, suggesting a likely under.

• Dahlin averages 5.0 aces per match in his last 15, with a high of 8 aces in one match.
• Galan averages 3.8 aces per match in his last 15, with a high of 7 aces in one match.
• Combined, their average aces per match is 8.8, but only 3 of their last 15 matches combined exceeded 8.5 aces.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive nature of both players' recent matches and their high tiebreak frequencies suggest a tiebreak is more likely than not.

• Dahlin has played a tiebreak in 8 of his last 15 matches (53.3%), with a 71% career tiebreak win rate.
• Galan has played a tiebreak in 6 of his last 15 matches (40%), with a 54% career tiebreak win rate.
• Both players' recent matches have been tight, with Dahlin's last match featuring a deciding tiebreak and Galan's last match featuring two tiebreaks.