Semen Pankin vs Manas Manoj Dhamne: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Pankin's superior recent form (10-5 vs 5-10) and stronger hard-court metrics (51% total points won, 66.7% hard win rate) give him a clear edge, though Dhamne's lone hard-court win in the last 15 is a small sample.
- Pankin last15 overall record 10-5 (66.7%), Dhamne 5-10 (33.3%)
- Pankin last15 hard record 6-3 (66.7%), Dhamne hard sample only 1 match (win)
- Pankin last15 total points won 51% vs Dhamne 48.7%
- Pankin career hard win% 76-24 (76%), Dhamne 77-36 (68%)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSemen PankinEstimated chance65%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players averaging nearly 24 games per match in their last 15 and Dhamne's tendency for tight sets (multiple recent tiebreaks), the match is likely to exceed 21.5 games even in straight sets.
- Pankin last15 average games per match 23.9, Dhamne 23.9
- Both players' recent matches often feature close sets (e.g., Pankin 7-5, 6-4; Dhamne multiple tiebreaks)
- Dhamne last15 clay matches averaged 24.4 games, hard sample too small
- No H2H data, but both have competitive recent form against similar-level opponents
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Pankin's edge, Dhamne's competitive first sets (9.7 avg) and Pankin's recent trend of longer openers (3 of last 5 over 9.5) make a tight first set likely.
- Pankin last15 hard first-set average games 9.8, Dhamne hard sample 9.0 (1 match)
- Dhamne last15 overall first-set average games 9.7
- Both players have strong first-set win conversion, suggesting competitive starts
- Pankin's last 5 matches: 3 of 5 first sets had 10+ games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been competitive for both players recently, with Pankin seeing 10+ games in 3 of his last 5, suggesting another close set is probable.
- Pankin last15 hard second-set average games 9.6, Dhamne hard sample 7.0 (1 match)
- Dhamne last15 overall second-set average games 9.3
- Both players have similar second-set game counts in recent matches
- Pankin's last 5 matches: 3 of 5 second sets had 10+ games
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Pankin's strong first-serve performance (68.5% points won) and superior break-point saving (66.1% vs 58.7%) should help him start fast, leveraging his high career first-set win conversion.
- Pankin first-set win conversion career 89%, Dhamne 93%
- Pankin last15 first-serve points won 68.5% vs Dhamne 60.4%
- Pankin last15 break points saved 66.1% vs Dhamne 58.7%
- Pankin won first set in 8 of last 10 wins
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostSemen PankinEstimated chance62%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined ace average of 5.9 per match, with Pankin's higher hard-court ace rate (4.3), supports over 5.5 total aces, though Dhamne's low sample adds uncertainty.
- Pankin last15 aces per match 3.5, Dhamne 2.4
- Combined average aces per match 5.9
- Pankin last15 hard aces per match 4.3, Dhamne hard sample 2.0 (1 match)
- Both players' serve styles on hard courts can produce aces
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With a combined average of 6.1 double faults per match and Dhamne's higher rate (3.4), over 5.5 is likely, though hard-court data for Dhamne is limited.
- Pankin last15 double faults per match 2.7, Dhamne 3.4
- Combined average double faults per match 6.1
- Dhamne last15 clay double faults 3.5, hard sample 2.0 (1 match)
- Both players have moderate double-fault rates, especially Dhamne
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Semen Pankin #424Russia1Manas Manoj Dhamne #372India2

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Semen Pankin

Manas Manoj Dhamne

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Semen Pankin

Semen Pankin

Semen Pankin 2-0

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Result0 of 1 landed

Games1 of 3 landed

Sets0 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

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Manas Dhamne @ 1.65

Semen Pankin

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