Dalibor Svrcina #116Czechia22 – 1Adam Walton #96Australia1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have been involved in tight matches recently, and with no dominant edge, a competitive match exceeding 21.5 games is plausible.

• Walton last15 average games per match 24.8, Svrcina 24.1
• Walton hard-court last15 average games per match 25.3
• Both players have competitive recent matches with multiple three-setters
• No H2H history to suggest quick matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With both players showing decent return stats and no overwhelming serve dominance, the first set is likely to be close, pushing over 9.5 games.

• Walton last15 average games per set 9.8, Svrcina 9.5
• Walton hard-court last15 average games per set 9.2
• Svrcina's last15 break-point conversion 51.1% suggests competitive sets

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Walton's strong serving and high first-set conversion rate, combined with Svrcina's lower first-serve percentage and break-point saving, suggest Walton is likely to take the opening set.

• Walton first-set win conversion career 89% vs Svrcina 85%
• Walton last15 first-serve points won 74.1% vs Svrcina 64%
• Walton hard-court last15 first-serve points won 77%
• Svrcina last15 first-serve in 58.7%, break points saved 52.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Walton's high ace rate on hard courts, combined with Svrcina's moderate ace contribution, makes over 8.5 total aces likely.

• Walton last15 aces per match 6.7, hard-court last15 8.3
• Svrcina last15 aces per match 1.8, but career 438 aces in 401 matches
• Walton's serve-oriented game on hard courts boosts ace count
• Combined average aces per match ~8.5 in last15

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Svrcina's high double-fault rate, especially under pressure, should push the combined total over 6.5.

• Svrcina last15 double faults per match 4.6
• Walton last15 double faults per match 1.9
• Svrcina career double faults 1580 in 401 matches (3.9 per match)
• Combined average double faults per match ~6.5 in last15