Marco Cecchinato vs Franco Agamenone: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.35
The read
Cecchinato's superior recent form (10-5 overall, 10-4 on clay) and higher total points won percentage (51.9% vs 49.4%) outweigh Agamenone's historical H2H edge, making Cecchinato the favorite.
- Cecchinato last 15 overall record: 10-5 (66.7%), Agamenone: 7-8 (46.7%).
- Cecchinato clay last 15: 10-4 (71.4%), Agamenone clay last 15: 7-8 (46.7%).
- Cecchinato last 15 total points won: 51.9%, Agamenone: 49.4%.
- H2H: Agamenone leads 2-0, but both matches were in 2022 and 2024; Cecchinato's current form is stronger.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMarco CecchinatoEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 22 games per match in their last 15, and with frequent three-setters, the total games line of 21.5 is likely to be exceeded.
- Cecchinato last 15 average games per match: 22.6 (339 games / 15 matches).
- Agamenone last 15 average games per match: 25.3 (380 games / 15 matches).
- Both players have high three-set match frequency in recent form (Cecchinato 5 of last 15, Agamenone 7 of last 15).
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First sets between these two tend to be close, with an average above 9.5 games, supporting the over.
- Cecchinato last 15 set 1 average games: 9.5 (calculated from recent form parsed sets).
- Agamenone last 15 set 1 average games: 10.1.
- Both players have competitive first sets with multiple tiebreaks in recent matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Agamenone's recent matches are tight, and with Cecchinato's average margin of victory around 2 games, Agamenone +3.5 games has value.
- Cecchinato last 15 average games won per match: 12.3, lost: 10.3.
- Agamenone last 15 average games won per match: 12.7, lost: 12.7.
- Agamenone's competitive matches suggest he can keep it close even in defeat.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostFranco Agamenone +3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players frequently going to three sets in recent matches, the probability of this match going over 2.5 sets is elevated.
- Cecchinato last 15: 5 three-set matches (33%).
- Agamenone last 15: 7 three-set matches (47%).
- Combined three-set rate in recent matches: 40%.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Cecchinato's stronger first serve performance (71.5% points won) gives him a slight edge in set 1, though Agamenone's slightly better return game keeps it close.
- Cecchinato last 15 first serve points won: 71.5%, Agamenone: 65.4%.
- Cecchinato last 15 return points won: 39.2%, Agamenone: 41%.
- Cecchinato career first set win conversion: 84%, Agamenone: 86%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMarco CecchinatoEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player is a big server, with a combined average of 4.3 aces per match, making under 5.5 aces likely.
- Cecchinato last 15 aces per match: 2.5.
- Agamenone last 15 aces per match: 1.8.
- Combined average aces per match: 4.3.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Agamenone's high double fault rate (3.5 per match) combined with Cecchinato's 2.4 pushes the expected total above 5.5.
- Cecchinato last 15 double faults per match: 2.4.
- Agamenone last 15 double faults per match: 3.5.
- Combined average double faults per match: 5.9.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have a moderate tiebreak frequency, and close sets are expected, giving a coin-flip chance for a tiebreak in the match.
- Cecchinato last 15: 4 matches with at least one tiebreak (27%).
- Agamenone last 15: 5 matches with at least one tiebreak (33%).
- Combined tiebreak occurrence rate: 30%.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Marco Cecchinato #173Italy2Franco Agamenone #264Italy0

Player Profiles

Marco Cecchinato

Franco Agamenone

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Marco Cecchinato 2-1

Marco Cecchinato

Marco Cecchinato

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Marco Cecchinato @ 1.35

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato

Franco Agamenone

Stat Battle