Dali Blanch #306United States00 – 2Tommaso Compagnucci #358Italy2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Compagnucci's superior return stats and recent H2H win on the same surface give him a slight edge, though Blanch's higher ranking and solid form keep it close.

• Compagnucci leads H2H 1-0, winning 6-4 7-6(3) on clay in this same tournament (2026-07-27).
• Compagnucci's last15 record on clay is 10-5 (66.7%) vs Blanch's 9-6 (60%).
• Compagnucci has a higher return points won (45.2% vs 42.3%) and break point conversion (47.3% vs 36.4%) in the last 15 matches.
• Blanch's recent form includes losses to higher-ranked opponents (Gentzsch #186, Kaouk unranked, Kopp #286) while Compagnucci's losses are to lower-ranked players (Planinsek #592, Donald #455).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players' recent match averages and their tight H2H suggest a match likely exceeding 21.5 games, with a high probability of at least one tight set.

• Blanch's last 15 matches average 21.8 games per match (327 total games / 15 matches).
• Compagnucci's last 15 matches average 21.4 games per match (321 total games / 15 matches).
• Their only H2H match had 23 games (6-4 7-6).
• Both players have similar games won percentages (Blanch 54.4%, Compagnucci 55.5%) indicating competitive matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H and recent first-set trends show a tendency for competitive starts, with both players holding serve effectively enough to push the set over 9.5 games.

• In their H2H, the first set had 10 games (6-4).
• Blanch's last 15 matches: 7 of 15 first sets had 10+ games (including tiebreaks).
• Compagnucci's last 15 matches: 8 of 15 first sets had 10+ games.
• Both players have first serve points won around 65-69%, making breaks less frequent.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets have been competitive in recent matches for both, and the H2H second set was a tiebreak, suggesting a decent chance of another extended set.

• In their H2H, the second set had 13 games (7-6).
• Blanch's last 15 matches: 8 of 15 second sets had 10+ games.
• Compagnucci's last 15 matches: 7 of 15 second sets had 10+ games.
• Both players have similar second serve points won (Blanch 50.1%, Compagnucci 48.5%), which can lead to longer sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Compagnucci's strong first-set record and H2H evidence suggest he may start better, though Blanch's first-serve effectiveness could keep it tight.

• Compagnucci won the first set 6-4 in their only H2H meeting.
• Compagnucci has a higher first set win conversion rate (92% career) vs Blanch (79% career).
• In last 15 matches, Compagnucci's first serve points won is 65.7% vs Blanch's 69.3%, but Compagnucci's return points won is higher (45.2% vs 42.3%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace average slightly exceeds 6.5, but Compagnucci's low ace count and the clay surface reduce confidence in a high total.

• Blanch averages 4.6 aces per match in last 15, Compagnucci 2.4.
• Combined average is 7.0 aces per match.
• In their H2H, Blanch had 2 aces (Compagnucci's aces not recorded).
• Blanch's ace rate is higher on clay (4.6 per match) and he has a powerful serve.