GermanyBonn - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Olle Wallin #384Sweden2Vincent DullingerGermany1

Sets 4-6 · 6-2 · 6-2Sun 26 Jul 2026, 10:35 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions4–357%

Edges3–260%

Player Profiles

Olle Wallin

Sweden

Wallin reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 368 on 13 July 2026. The 24-year-old Swede is 191 cm and plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand; no reliably sourced preferred surface was found.

Current ranking: #384
Peak ranking: #368 · 2026
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Vincent Dullinger

Germany

The official ITF profile lists Dullinger as a 19-year-old German and records an ITF junior career high of No. 280 on 13 January 2025. Reliable senior-ranking, handedness, height and preferred-surface information was not found.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 19
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Jul 2026, 15:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Olle Wallin’s superior recent clay form, stronger serve/return metrics, and higher career win rates make him the clear favorite against Vincent Dullinger.

The best pre-match value was on Wallin to win the match and the second set, while the Over 2.5 sets market was overpriced. Dullinger’s three-set resilience could keep the match competitive, but Wallin’s edge in deciding sets (61% vs. 38%) should prove decisive.

Context

Wallin's last 15 clay matches: 11-4 record (73.3%), all tracked in the window.
- Wins over #235 Ferreira Silva and #262 Cretu, and a tight three-set loss to #75 Royer.
- Dullinger's last 15 clay matches: 10-5 record, but losses to #390 Perot and #408 Bernet.
Dullinger's career deciding-set win rate is 38% (5-8 record).
- Wallin's career deciding-set win rate is 61%, showing he is more reliable in tight matches.
- Dullinger has played 8 three-set matches in his last 15, winning only 5.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Game HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Vincent Dullinger +3.5

1.65fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

Dullinger's competitive matches and Wallin's tendency for close wins suggest Dullinger will cover a +3.5 game handicap.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Wallin's stronger recent form against better competition and superior career stats give him a clear edge on clay.
- Wallin won 11 of last 15 matches (73.3%) on clay, all tracked in the window.
- Wallin's recent form includes wins over higher-ranked opponents (e.g., #235 Ferreira Silva, #262 Cretu) and a tight loss to #75 Royer.
- Dullinger's last 15 clay record is 10-5 (66.7%), but his opponents were mostly unranked or lower-tier; he lost to #390 Perot and #408 Bernet.
- Wallin holds a career 64.3% win rate and 61% deciding-set win rate vs. Dullinger's 56.1% and 38%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOlle WallinEstimated chance65%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players frequently going to three sets and Dullinger's matches averaging over 25 games, the total is likely to exceed 21.5.
- Wallin's last 15 matches averaged 21.9 games (329 total games / 15 matches).
- Dullinger's last 15 matches averaged 25.1 games (377 total games / 15 matches).
- Both players have a high percentage of three-set matches recently: Wallin 6 of 15 (40%), Dullinger 8 of 15 (53%).
- Dullinger's matches average 143 minutes, indicating longer, more competitive contests.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Dullinger's competitive matches and Wallin's tendency for close wins suggest Dullinger will cover a +3.5 game handicap.
- Dullinger's last 15 matches: average games per match 25.1, with 8 three-setters.
- Wallin's last 15 matches: average games per match 21.9, with 6 three-setters.
- In Dullinger's 5 losses in the window, only one was by more than 3.5 games (6-2 6-2 vs. Ratti).
- Wallin's wins often come in tight sets; his average margin of victory in straight-set wins is about 4 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostVincent Dullinger +3.5Estimated chance60%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Wallin's high first-set win conversion and better serve/return numbers in recent matches make him the favorite to take the opening set.
- Wallin's first-set win conversion rate is 92% career, indicating he starts matches strongly.
- In the last 15 matches, Wallin won the first set in 10 of 15 (67%), while Dullinger won the first set in 8 of 15 (53%).
- Wallin's first-serve points won (70.4%) and return points won (44.4%) in the recent window are superior to Dullinger's (65.6% and 41.6%).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostOlle WallinEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Both players have a high frequency of three-set matches in their recent form, making Over 2.5 sets a value pick.
- Wallin's last 15 matches: 9 two-set, 6 three-set (40% three-set rate).
- Dullinger's last 15 matches: 7 two-set, 8 three-set (53% three-set rate).
- Combined, 14 of 30 recent matches (47%) went to three sets.
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Olle Wallin

11W 4L

3-6 7-6(3) 6-4#75Valentin Royer

6-4 6-1#681Samir Hamza Reguig

7-5 6-3#821Maximilian Neuchrist

6-0 6-3—Matei Varbanciu

6-1 6-4#224Guido Ivan Justo

6-4 6-3#235Frederico Ferreira Silva

7-5 6-1#262Cezar Cretu

3-6 6-4 6-1#302Sergey Fomin

6-7(3) 7-5 6-2#837Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

6-4 3-6 6-4#409Max Hans Rehberg

6-4 6-2—Harold Huens

6-4 6-0—Justas Trainauskas

6-3 6-1—Noah Martens

6-4 6-4#366Norbert Gombos

6-3 6-7(8) 6-3#593Imanol Lopez Morillo

Vincent Dullinger

10W 5L

7-6(4) 4-6 6-4#390Raphael Perot

3-6 7-5 6-4#560Alec Beckley

6-4 2-6 6-3#846Francesco Ferrari

7-6(7) 7-5—Nik Mikovic

6-3 6-0—Luka Petrovic (SLO)

6-2 6-2#367Lucio Ratti

7-5 5-7 6-4—Jeremy Gschwendtner

6-3 0-6 6-0—Nicolo Toffanin

7-5 2-6 10-7—Niccolo Baroni

7-6(3) 6-4—Yanick Schneider

4-6 6-2 6-3#620Marlon Vankan

6-0 2-6 10-7—Manvydas Balciunas

6-1 6-4—Matiej Reiter

6-3 6-4#408Henry Bernet

7-5 6-3—Patrik Munkhammar

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

OWOlle WallinWallin

Last 15

7–1

9 core stats · 1 even

Vincent DullingerDullingerVD

Olle Wallin carries the stronger recent form — Vincent Dullinger's route runs through serve.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In15/15 · 12/1558.2%+1.6pp59.8%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 12/1570.4%+4.8pp65.6%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 12/1557.1%+9.9pp47.2%

Aces / Match15/15 · 12/154.9+2.42.5

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 12/151.81.6 fewer3.4

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won15/15 · 12/1544.4%+2.8pp41.6%

Pressure · 1–0 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 12/1549.2%+3.1pp46.1%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 12/1557.4%—57.8%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won15/15 · 12/1554.1%+3.9pp50.2%

Serve · 4–1

58.2%1st Serve In15/15 · 12/15+1.6pp59.8%

70.4%1st Serve Won15/15 · 12/15+4.8pp65.6%

57.1%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 12/15+9.9pp47.2%

4.9Aces / Match15/15 · 12/15+2.42.5

1.8Double Faults / Match15/15 · 12/151.6 fewer3.4

Return · 1–0

44.4%Return Pts Won15/15 · 12/15+2.8pp41.6%

Pressure · 1–0 · 1 even

49.2%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 12/15+3.1pp46.1%

57.4%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 12/15—57.8%

Points · 1–0

54.1%Total Pts Won15/15 · 12/15+3.9pp50.2%