Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #268France11 – 2Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318Brazil2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players consistently push set 1 to 10+ games, with recent form showing tight opening sets.

• Wayenburg's last15 set 1 average games: 9.8 (147 games in 15 sets); Marcondes' last15 set 1 average: 10.1 (152 games in 15 sets).
• In their last 5 matches, both players had set 1 with 10+ games in 4 of 5.
• Marcondes' last15 clay set 1 average is 10.2 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have a high rate of three-set matches and average game counts above 21.5, making Over 21.5 likely.

• Wayenburg's last15 matches averaged 23.1 games per match (163+183 games in 15 matches); Marcondes' averaged 26.5 (212+185).
• Both players have high three-set match frequency: Wayenburg 6/15, Marcondes 7/15 in last15.
• Marcondes' last15 clay matches averaged 26.8 games; Wayenburg's clay matches averaged 23.1.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Set 2 tends to be competitive, but lower confidence due to variability and Wayenburg's slightly lower average.

• Wayenburg's last15 set 2 average: 9.3 games; Marcondes' last15 set 2 average: 9.7 games.
• In their last 5 matches, set 2 had 10+ games in 3 of 5 for Wayenburg and 4 of 5 for Marcondes.
• Marcondes' last15 clay set 2 average is 9.8 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

High three-set frequency for both players, especially Marcondes on clay, supports Over 2.5 sets.

• Wayenburg went to three sets in 6 of last 15 matches (40%); Marcondes in 7 of last 15 (47%).
• Marcondes' last15 clay three-set rate is 50% (7/14); Wayenburg's is 40% (6/15).
• Both players have deciding set win rates near 50% (Wayenburg 47% career, Marcondes 56% career).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.70

The read

Wayenburg's strong start against the top seed and Marcondes' slow starts in qualifying give a marginal edge, but low confidence due to small sample.

• Wayenburg won his only Tampere set 1 7-6(4) vs a top-150 opponent; Marcondes lost set 1 in two of his three qualifying matches.
• Wayenburg's last15 first-set win conversion career is 84%, but recent form shows he lost first set in 3 of last 5 matches.
• Marcondes' last15 clay first-serve points won is 68.1%, slightly below Wayenburg's 70.7% overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have high tiebreak frequency, especially in recent matches, making a tiebreak likely.

• Wayenburg played a tiebreak in 5 of last 15 matches (33%); Marcondes in 6 of last 15 (40%).
• In their last 5 matches, at least one tiebreak occurred in 4 of 5 for Wayenburg and 3 of 5 for Marcondes.
• Marcondes' last15 clay tiebreak rate is 43% (6/14).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Combined ace averages hover around 8, but low confidence due to match variability and clay surface reducing ace counts.

• Wayenburg averages 4.7 aces per match last15; Marcondes 3.3, combined 8.0.
• Wayenburg's last15 clay aces per match: 4.7; Marcondes' clay: 3.3.
• In their last 5 matches, combined aces exceeded 7.5 in 3 of 5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Combined average is just below 6.5, but Wayenburg's high double fault rate could push it over, though confidence is low.

• Wayenburg averages 4.3 double faults per match last15; Marcondes 2.1, combined 6.4.
• Wayenburg's last15 clay double faults: 4.3; Marcondes' clay: 2.2.
• In their last 5 matches, combined double faults exceeded 6.5 in 2 of 5.