Alina Charaeva #117Armenia22 – 1Sinja Kraus #80Austria1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Kraus's dominant recent clay form (8-1 record, 62.6% games won) and Charaeva's weaker clay stats (2-2, 53.1% games won) give Kraus a clear surface-fit edge.

• Sinja Kraus has an 88.9% win rate on clay in her last 15 matches (8-1 record, 9 matches tracked).
• Alina Charaeva has a 50% win rate on clay in her last 15 matches (2-2 record, 4 matches tracked).
• Kraus has won 62.6% of games on clay in her last 15 matches, compared to Charaeva's 53.1%.
• Kraus has a 55% total points won on clay in her last 15 matches, while Charaeva has 50.7%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83

The read

Kraus's clay dominance (6 straight-set wins in last 9) and low average game count (19.3) support an under on total games, especially if she controls the match.

• Kraus's last 9 clay matches averaged 19.3 games per match (174 total games).
• Charaeva's last 4 clay matches averaged 20.3 games per match (81 total games).
• Kraus has won 6 of her last 9 clay matches in straight sets, with an average of 17.8 games in those wins.
• Charaeva's clay matches have been more competitive, but Kraus's dominance suggests a shorter match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Kraus's tendency to dominate early on clay (5 of last 9 first sets with 3 or fewer games lost) suggests a potential under 9.5 games in the first set.

• Kraus's last 9 clay matches averaged 9.7 games in the first set.
• Charaeva's last 4 clay matches averaged 9.5 games in the first set.
• Kraus has won the first set 6-1, 6-2, or 6-3 in 5 of her last 9 clay matches.
• Charaeva's first sets on clay have been tighter, but Kraus's serve and return edge may lead to a quick set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.38

The read

Kraus's high straight-set win rate on clay (67%) and Charaeva's lower set win rate make a 2-0 victory for Kraus the most likely set-betting outcome.

• Kraus has won 6 of her last 9 clay matches in straight sets.
• Charaeva has lost 2 of her last 4 clay matches in straight sets.
• Kraus's set win rate on clay is 80%, while Charaeva's is 44.4%.
• Kraus's recent clay wins include dominant scorelines (6-1, 6-1; 6-4, 6-1).