Sara Sorribes Tormo #212Spain11 – 2Alina Charaeva #118Armenia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent match trends show a high frequency of matches exceeding 20.5 total games, making the over a solid probability.

• Sorribes Tormo's last 15 matches average 20.1 total games, with 9 of 15 going over 20.5.
• Charaeva's last 15 matches average 22.2 total games, with 10 of 15 going over 20.5.
• On clay, Sorribes Tormo's matches average 20.3 games; Charaeva's clay matches average 19.8 games, but her overall trend is higher.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

The second set tends to be competitive in their matches, with over 9.5 games hitting in a majority of recent outings for both players.

• Sorribes Tormo's last 15 second sets average 9.4 games, with 9 of 15 going over 9.5.
• Charaeva's last 15 second sets average 9.7 games, with 10 of 15 going over 9.5.
• On clay, Sorribes Tormo's second sets average 9.5 games; Charaeva's clay second sets average 9.3 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Sorribes Tormo's strong first-set performance on clay and high conversion rate suggest she is likely to take the opening set against a clay-struggling Charaeva.

• Sorribes Tormo has won the first set in 9 of her last 15 matches (60%), including 7 of 13 on clay.
• Charaeva has won the first set in only 2 of her last 4 clay matches (50%), and overall first-set win rate in last 15 is 53.3%.
• Sorribes Tormo's first-set win conversion rate is 90% career, indicating she closes out matches when winning the opener.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sorribes Tormo's extremely low ace count and Charaeva's reduced ace output on clay make the under 5.5 a strong play.

• Sorribes Tormo averages 0.3 aces per match in her last 15, with a career average of 0.34 aces per match.
• Charaeva averages 4.5 aces per match in her last 15, but only 2.0 on clay in the last 4.
• Combined, their clay ace averages sum to 2.2 per match, well under 5.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Charaeva's high double fault rate, especially on clay, combined with Sorribes Tormo's steady count, pushes the total over 6.5 in most scenarios.

• Sorribes Tormo averages 1.7 double faults per match in her last 15, but 1.8 on clay.
• Charaeva averages 5.1 double faults per match in her last 15, with 4.8 on clay.
• Combined, their clay double fault averages sum to 6.6 per match.