Vit Kopriva #64Czechia11 – 2Ignacio Buse #33Peru2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Buse's superior recent clay form and return stats, combined with his match rhythm advantage, give him a moderate edge over Kopriva.

• Buse has a 77.8% win rate on clay in the last 15 matches (7-2), while Kopriva is at 40% (4-6).
• Buse's clay return points won is 43.9% vs Kopriva's 38.6% in the last 15 matches.
• Buse's break point conversion on clay is 55.6% vs Kopriva's 38.2% in the last 15 matches.
• Buse has more recent match play, with a Gstaad match on 14 July, while Kopriva last played on 30 June.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Recent clay first-set game averages for both players and their H2H history point to a competitive opening set.

• Kopriva's last 10 clay first sets averaged 9.8 games.
• Buse's last 9 clay first sets averaged 9.4 games.
• In their three clay H2H matches, the first set averaged 10.3 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players' recent clay matches trend toward higher game totals, and their H2H on clay supports a competitive match.

• Kopriva's last 10 clay matches averaged 22.3 total games per match.
• Buse's last 9 clay matches averaged 22.9 total games per match.
• Three of their four H2H matches went over 21.5 games, with the only under being a 13-game match on grass.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets on clay have been competitive for both, though the averages are just above the line, making this a lower-confidence pick.

• Kopriva's last 10 clay second sets averaged 9.2 games.
• Buse's last 9 clay second sets averaged 9.1 games.
• In their three clay H2H matches, the second set averaged 9.7 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Buse's strong first-set record on clay in recent matches suggests a slight edge, though H2H history tempers confidence.

• Buse has won the first set in 7 of his last 9 clay matches (77.8%).
• Kopriva has lost the first set in 6 of his last 10 clay matches (60%).
• In their H2H, Kopriva won the first set in 3 of 4 matches, but the most recent was on grass.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Historical H2H double fault counts are elevated, and both players' serving vulnerabilities on clay support a higher total.

• Kopriva averages 2.7 double faults per match on clay in the last 15, Buse averages 1.7.
• Combined average is 4.4, but H2H matches have seen 22, 13, 8, and 8 double faults.
• Kopriva's double fault rate is higher under pressure, and Buse's first serve percentage is only 56% on clay.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

H2H history shows higher ace totals than their individual averages, but clay surface and recent form make this a coin-flip.

• Kopriva averages 2.8 aces per match on clay in the last 15, Buse averages 2.6.
• Combined average is 5.4, but H2H matches have seen 8, 11, 8, and 8 aces.
• Clay typically reduces ace counts, but both players can serve above their averages in this matchup.