Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Zdenek Kolar: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Seyboth Wild's superior recent form (66.7% win rate in last 15, all on clay) and higher break point conversion rate (50% vs 40.7%) give him a moderate edge over Kolar, who has struggled against top-200 opponents recently.
- Seyboth Wild has a 10-5 record in his last 15 matches (66.7%), all on clay, while Kolar is 6-9 (40%) in his last 15.
- Seyboth Wild's last 5 matches: 3-2 with wins over Makk, Marysko, Majdandzic; losses to Fuele and Svrcina. Kolar's last 5: 2-3 with wins over Palosi and Pokorny; losses to Cerundolo, Daniel, Gentzsch.
- Seyboth Wild's clay return points won in last 15: 41% vs Kolar's 40.9%, but Seyboth Wild's break point conversion is 50% vs Kolar's 40.7%.
- Career clay win percentage: Seyboth Wild 230-? (54.8% overall), Kolar 341-? (56.3% overall), but Seyboth Wild's recent clay form is stronger.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonThiago Seyboth WildEstimated chance58%

Games0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given the competitive nature of both players' recent matches and similar games won averages, Kolar is likely to keep the match within 3.5 games, even if he loses.
- Seyboth Wild's average games won per match in last 15: 11.3 (170/15), Kolar's: 11.1 (166/15).
- In Seyboth Wild's wins, average margin: 6.2 games; in losses, average margin: -4.8 games.
- Kolar's losses in last 15: average margin -4.3 games, but 4 of 9 losses were by 2 games or fewer.
- H2H in 2023: Kolar won 6-3, 6-2, but current form suggests a closer match.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostZdenek Kolar +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players showing competitive return stats and a tendency for three-set matches in recent outings, the match is likely to exceed 21.5 games, especially if it goes to a deciding set.
- Seyboth Wild's last 15 matches average 20.2 games per match (303 games / 15 matches), but many were straight-set wins; his recent three-set matches (vs Fuele, Makk, Hardt) averaged 29.3 games.
- Kolar's last 15 matches average 22.2 games per match (333 games / 15 matches), with 6 of 15 going to three sets.
- Both players have similar return points won (41% vs 40.9%) and break point conversion rates, suggesting competitive games.
- H2H in 2023 was a straight-set win for Kolar (6-3, 6-2), but current form suggests a closer contest.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive with both players holding serve at a decent rate, pushing the total games over 9.5, though a 6-3 or 6-2 set is possible.
- Seyboth Wild's last 5 first sets: 7-5, 2-6, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 (average 9.4 games).
- Kolar's last 5 first sets: 6-4, 4-6, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 (average 9.8 games).
- Both players have first serve points won around 64-69% on clay, indicating potential for holds.
- No extreme dominance in serve/return to suggest a quick set.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Assuming a competitive match, the second set is likely to be close, with potential for a tiebreak or a 7-5 set, pushing the total over 9.5 games.
- Seyboth Wild's last 5 second sets: 6-4, 6-3, 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 (average 9.2 games).
- Kolar's last 5 second sets: 6-3, 6-3, 6-0, 6-3, 6-4 (average 8.8 games).
- If the match is competitive, the second set often sees closer games as the trailing player fights back.
- Both players have similar second serve points won (55.7% vs 50.1%), which could lead to breaks.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seyboth Wild's higher set win percentage (64.7% vs 47.1%) and tendency to start strongly in recent matches suggest a slight edge in the first set, though confidence is low due to limited direct first-set data.
- Seyboth Wild's first set win conversion in career: 83% when winning first set, but no direct first-set win% in last 15 provided.
- In last 15 matches, Seyboth Wild won 64.7% of sets, Kolar 47.1%.
- Seyboth Wild's recent matches show strong starts: won first set in 3 of last 5 matches (vs Makk, Marysko, Majdandzic).
- Kolar lost first set in 3 of last 5 matches (vs Cerundolo, Daniel, Gentzsch).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonThiago Seyboth WildEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Seyboth Wild's ace rate (5.1 per match) alone nearly covers the over, and with Kolar contributing occasionally, the total aces are likely to exceed 6.5.
- Seyboth Wild averages 5.1 aces per match in last 15, Kolar 1.8.
- Combined average: 6.9 aces per match.
- Seyboth Wild has hit 7+ aces in 5 of his last 14 matches with ace data.
- Kolar's ace count is low, but Seyboth Wild's serving can push the total over.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 6.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kolar's high double fault rate (3.3 per match) combined with Seyboth Wild's occasional double faults makes over 4.5 double faults likely.
- Seyboth Wild averages 1.6 double faults per match in last 15, Kolar 3.3.
- Combined average: 4.9 double faults per match.
- Kolar has 3+ double faults in 10 of his last 15 matches.
- Seyboth Wild's double fault rate is low, but Kolar's high rate pushes the total over.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Thiago Seyboth Wild #284Brazil2Zdenek Kolar #153Czechia0

Player Profiles

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Zdenek Kolar

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Thiago Seyboth Wild

Thiago Seyboth Wild 2-0

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Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Zdenek Kolar

Stat Battle