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Predictions graded

Priscilla Hon #161Australia0Carol Young Suh Lee #182United States2

Sets 5-7 · 3-6Sun 19 Jul 2026, 09:05 Predictions gradedQ3Hard

Predictions6–186%

Edges4–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantagePriscilla Hon · 21 places

Priscilla Hon

Australia

Australian right-hander from Brisbane who lists hard court as her favorite surface. Reached a career-high No. 94 after her October 2025 breakthrough into the Top 100.

Current ranking: #161
Peak ranking: #94
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 173 cm

Carol Young Suh Lee

United States

American right-hander, age 24, with current ranking No. 182 and career high No. 166. Public sources in this search pass did not surface a reliable stated preferred surface or height.

Current ranking: #182
Peak ranking: #166
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Jul 2026, 22:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Carol Young Suh Lee's dominant hard-court form and superior return stats give her a clear edge over Priscilla Hon, who has struggled on the surface.

The best betting angle is Lee to win 2-0 at 1.83, offering a small positive edge, while the match-winner and total sets markets are overpriced traps.

Context

Lee's last 11 hard-court record: 9-2, with 61.3% of games won.
- Hon's last 10 hard-court record: 4-6, with 43.1% of games won.
- Lee has won 8 of those 11 matches in straight sets; Hon has lost 7 of her last 10 in straight sets.
Lee's hard-court return points won: 46% vs Hon's 40.4%.
- Lee's hard-court break point conversion: 53.2% vs Hon's 40.9%.
- Lee's break point save rate on hard: 70.1% vs Hon's 53.8%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Carol Young Suh Lee

1.30fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Lee's dominant hard-court form (9-2 in last 11) and superior return/break stats give her a clear edge over Hon, who has struggled on hard courts recently.

Set 1 WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Carol Young Suh Lee

1.40fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

Lee's strong first-set record on hard courts contrasts with Hon's frequent early deficits, making Lee the likely set 1 winner.

Total SetswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.40fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

The high frequency of straight-set outcomes in both players' recent hard-court matches supports under 2.5 total sets.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Lee's dominant hard-court form (9-2 in last 11) and superior return/break stats give her a clear edge over Hon, who has struggled on hard courts recently.
- Lee's last 15 hard-court record: 9-2 (81.8%), with 61.3% games won.
- Hon's last 15 hard-court record: 4-6 (40%), with 43.1% games won.
- Lee's return points won on hard: 46% vs Hon's 40.4%.
- Lee's break point conversion on hard: 53.2% vs Hon's 40.9%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCarol Young Suh LeeEstimated chance65%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lee's recent hard-court matches have been relatively short, and Hon's losses often end in straight sets, supporting a total under 20.5 games.
- Lee's last 5 hard-court wins averaged 17.2 total games per match.
- Hon's last 5 hard-court losses averaged 18.6 total games per match.
- Both players had quick qualifying wins yesterday, suggesting efficient scoring.
BetBugs · Total GameslostUnder 20.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lee's consistent ability to win by comfortable margins on hard courts suggests she can cover a -3.5 game handicap against Hon.
- Lee's average game margin in last 5 hard-court wins: +5.6 games.
- Hon's average game margin in last 5 hard-court losses: -5.2 games.
- Lee's return points won on hard: 46% vs Hon's 40.4%.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonCarol Young Suh Lee -3.5Estimated chance52%

Sets3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Lee's strong start tendency on hard courts contrasts with Hon's frequent early deficits, making Lee the likely set 1 winner.
- Lee has won the first set in 8 of her last 11 hard-court matches.
- Hon has lost the first set in 7 of her last 10 hard-court matches.
- Lee's first-set win conversion career: 92%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonCarol Young Suh LeeEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Lee's ability to close matches efficiently on hard courts and Hon's vulnerability in straight-set losses point to a 2-0 victory for Lee.
- Lee has won 8 of her last 11 hard-court matches in straight sets.
- Hon has lost 7 of her last 10 hard-court matches in straight sets.
- Lee's break point save rate on hard: 70.1% vs Hon's 53.8%.
BetBugs · Set BettingwonCarol Young Suh Lee 2-0Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
The high frequency of straight-set outcomes in both players' recent hard-court matches supports under 2.5 total sets.
- Lee's last 11 hard-court matches: 8 ended in straight sets.
- Hon's last 10 hard-court matches: 7 ended in straight sets.
- Both players had short qualifying matches yesterday, reducing fatigue risk.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The low frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent hard-court matches suggests a tiebreak is unlikely.
- Lee's last 11 hard-court matches: only 2 featured a tiebreak.
- Hon's last 10 hard-court matches: only 2 featured a tiebreak.
- Both players have low tiebreak occurrence rates on hard courts.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault average is exactly at the over/under line, making this a coin-flip prediction with low confidence.
- Lee averages 3.0 double faults per match on hard courts in last 15.
- Hon averages 2.6 double faults per match on hard courts in last 15.
- Combined average double faults: 5.6, right at the line.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Priscilla Hon

4W 11L

6-3 ret.#534Karman Kaur Thandi

6-2 6-2#235Nao Hibino

4-6 6-4 6-3#109Polina Kudermetova

6-0 6-2#28Alexandra Eala

7-5 6-2#193Jessika Ponchet

6-7(5) 6-4 7-5#164Susan Bandecchi

6-1 6-4#113Mananchaya Sawangkaew

6-4 7-6(6)#308Sakura Hosogi

6-2 6-2#295Yuki Naito

6-1 6-7(2) 6-3#93Katie Volynets

7-5 7-6(4)#104Darja Vidmanova

7-5 7-6(3)#83Renata Zarazua

6-0 6-2#15Jasmine Paolini

6-2 2-6 6-4#83Renata Zarazua

6-4 6-4#237Cadence Brace

Carol Young Suh Lee

9W 6L

7-5 6-1#256Kyoka Okamura

6-3 6-3#98Hanne Vandewinkel

1-6 6-1 6-2#239Xinyu Gao

6-1 6-1#222Francisca Jorge

6-3 6-2#416Anastasia Kulikova

7-6(1) 6-4#318Rina Saigo

6-4 7-6(3)#729Sonja Zhiyenbayeva

6-4 1-6 6-2#245Han Shi

6-4 6-2#235Nao Hibino

6-4 6-2#416Anastasia Kulikova

6-0 6-3#300Viktoria Morvayova

6-4 4-6 6-3#168Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

6-4 4-6 6-1#130Lin Zhu

6-3 6-2#315Sloane Stephens

6-2 6-4#262Sada Nahimana

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

PHPriscilla HonHon

Last 15

2–7

9 core stats · 0 even

Carol Young Suh LeeLeeCL

Carol Young Suh Lee carries the stronger recent form — Priscilla Hon's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In60.6%+1.2pp61.8%

1st Serve Won60.6%+5.3pp65.9%

2nd Serve Won44.9%+4.2pp49.1%

Aces / Match3.1+0.42.7

Double Faults / Match2.50.6 fewer3.1

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won38.5%+5.0pp43.5%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted39.1%+11.4pp50.5%

Break Pts Saved54.8%+11.3pp66.1%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won46.6%+5.2pp51.8%

Serve · 2–3

60.6%1st Serve In+1.2pp61.8%

60.6%1st Serve Won+5.3pp65.9%

44.9%2nd Serve Won+4.2pp49.1%

3.1Aces / Match+0.42.7

2.5Double Faults / Match0.6 fewer3.1

Return · 0–1

38.5%Return Pts Won+5.0pp43.5%

Pressure · 0–2

39.1%Break Pts Converted+11.4pp50.5%

54.8%Break Pts Saved+11.3pp66.1%

Points · 0–1

46.6%Total Pts Won+5.2pp51.8%