Federico Bondioli #346Italy00 – 2Max Alcala Gurri #229Spain2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bondioli's tendency for extended matches and both players' resilience in tight sets suggest a match exceeding 21.5 games.

• Bondioli's last 15 matches: average 25.9 games per match
• Alcala Gurri's last 15 matches: average 20.7 games per match, but 3 of last 5 went over 21.5
• Both players have high deciding-set rates: Bondioli 51%, Alcala Gurri 49%
• Bondioli's matches often go long: 7 of last 15 exceeded 21.5 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Bondioli's competitive matches and Alcala Gurri's occasional blowouts suggest Bondioli can keep it close, covering +3.5 games.

• Bondioli's last 15 matches: average game differential -0.4, but 10 of 15 within 3.5 games
• Alcala Gurri's last 15 matches: average game differential +4.8, but 4 of last 5 wins by 4+ games
• Bondioli's tight matches: 7 of last 15 decided by 3 games or fewer

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bondioli's tendency for extended first sets pushes the expected total over 9.5.

• Bondioli's last 15: average set1 games 9.9, Alcala Gurri's last 15: average set1 games 8.7
• Combined average set1 games: 9.3, but Bondioli's matches often start tight
• Bondioli's last 5 set1: 10, 12, 9, 13, 8 games