Dalila Jakupovic #35700 – 1Elina Avanesyan #224Armenia1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

Avanesyan's superior recent clay form (11-4 vs 8-7) and stronger return game (52.5% return points won) give her a clear edge over Jakupovic, who has struggled against higher-ranked opponents.

• Avanesyan last 15 on clay: 11-4 record, 62.9% sets won, 55.9% games won
• Jakupovic last 15 on clay: 8-7 record, 50% sets won, 50.8% games won
• Avanesyan return points won 52.5% vs Jakupovic 46.8% in last 15
• Career clay win%: Avanesyan 153-? (60.2% overall) vs Jakupovic 260-? (52.3% overall)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With both players averaging close to 9 games in second sets recently, the second set is likely to be competitive and exceed 8.5 games, though Avanesyan's straight-set wins could shorten it.

• Jakupovic last 15: average 9.1 games in second set
• Avanesyan last 15: average 8.9 games in second set
• H2H second set: 9 games (6-3)
• Both players have similar second-set game averages around 9

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Avanesyan's high first-set win conversion rate and recent trend of starting strong (won first set in 4 of last 5) suggest she is likely to take the opening set against Jakupovic.

• Avanesyan first-set win conversion career: 86%
• Jakupovic first-set win conversion career: 85%
• Avanesyan last 5 matches: won first set in 4 of 5
• Jakupovic last 5 matches: won first set in 3 of 5

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Avanesyan's recent dominance in straight-set wins and Jakupovic's straight-set losses tilt the match toward an under 2.5 sets outcome, though Jakupovic's resilience keeps it a low-confidence call.

• Avanesyan last 15: 8 of 11 wins in straight sets
• Jakupovic last 15: 5 of 7 losses in straight sets
• H2H went to 3 sets, but current form suggests Avanesyan can close in two

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average well under 2.5 aces per match in recent and career data, making a low total aces count highly likely in this clay-court matchup.

• Jakupovic last 15: 1.1 aces per match
• Avanesyan last 15: 0.4 aces per match
• Career aces: Jakupovic 767 in 1012 matches (0.76 per match), Avanesyan 234 in 364 matches (0.64 per match)
• Both players rely on rally tolerance over big serving on clay

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The combined double fault average of 6.9 per match, driven by Avanesyan's high rate, suggests the total will exceed 6.5 in this encounter.

• Jakupovic last 15: 2.8 double faults per match
• Avanesyan last 15: 4.1 double faults per match
• Combined average: 6.9 double faults per match
• Avanesyan's high double fault rate (career 861 in 364 matches) is a consistent pattern