Alex Marti Pujolras #461Spain00 – 2Abel Forger #6812

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent second-set trends indicate a slightly higher chance of over 9.5 games, though not a strong signal.

• In Marti Pujolras's last 5 matches, the second set averaged 9.8 games.
• Forger's second sets in his last 5 matches averaged 10.2 games.
• Both players have similar second-set competitiveness, often extending sets beyond 9 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Low ace rates and clay surface dynamics make a low total ace count likely, with under 6.5 a solid expectation.

• Marti Pujolras averages 2.2% ace rate; Forger averages 4.2%.
• In a typical Bo3 match, Marti Pujolras serves about 6-8 aces per match? Actually, with low ace rates, combined aces likely under 6.5.
• Both players have moderate first-serve percentages (~63%) and rely more on rallying than aces on clay.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

With moderate serve stats and decent return games, breaks are common, reducing the likelihood of a tiebreak.

• Marti Pujolras has a 54% career tiebreak win rate; Forger has 52%.
• In their last 15 matches, Marti Pujolras played a tiebreak in only 3 matches; Forger in 4 matches.
• Both players have break point conversion rates near 45-48%, suggesting breaks are more likely than tiebreaks.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined double fault rates suggest a total above 5.5 is more likely than not, though variance is high.

• Marti Pujolras has a 6.8% double fault rate; Forger has 6.4%.
• In a typical Bo3 match, these rates translate to roughly 3-4 double faults per player, pushing the total over 5.5.
• Both players have moderate second-serve win percentages (44-47%), which may lead to more double faults under pressure.