Clement Chidekh #205France22 – 0Ivan Ivanov #6540

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Chidekh's higher ranking, stronger recent Nottingham form, and superior serve/return stats give him a clear edge over the 17-year-old Ivanov.

• Chidekh ranking 205 vs Ivanov 654, significant gap
• Chidekh 2026 grass record 4-4, Ivanov 4-2 but vs weaker opponents
• Chidekh recent form: 2 wins in Nottingham this week, both straight sets
• Ivanov last 5 matches: 4 wins but all vs lower-ranked players, loss to Piros (169)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Given both players' recent straight-set wins and grass-court efficiency, a relatively quick match under 21.5 games is likely.

• Chidekh's last two matches: 18 and 29 games, but 29 was a three-setter
• Ivanov's last four wins: 19, 22, 24, 19 games
• Both players have efficient service games on grass

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Chidekh's strong first-set record and Ivanov's occasional slow starts suggest a potential 6-3 or 6-4 set, keeping it under 9.5 games.

• Chidekh's last two first sets: 6-3, 4-6
• Ivanov's last four first sets: 6-3, 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
• Grass often produces tight sets but Chidekh's serve may dominate

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

If Chidekh leads, he often closes comfortably; Ivanov's second sets have been decisive, supporting under 9.5 games.

• Chidekh's last two second sets: 6-3, 6-4
• Ivanov's last four second sets: 6-4, 6-3, 6-1, 6-3
• Both players tend to close out matches efficiently

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Chidekh's elite first-set conversion rate and strong start in recent matches make him likely to take the opener.

• Chidekh first set win conversion 90% career
• Ivanov first set win conversion 87% but vs lower-level competition
• Chidekh won first set in both Nottingham matches this week

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Chidekh's dominant recent straight-set wins and Ivanov's occasional set drops support a 2-0 outcome.

• Chidekh won last two matches in straight sets
• Ivanov dropped a set in 2 of his last 5 wins
• Chidekh's serve/return edge suggests ability to close in two

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have moderate tiebreak rates and recent matches have been decided without tiebreaks, making 'No' likely.

• Chidekh tiebreak win rate 53%, Ivanov 50%
• Only 1 of Chidekh's last 5 matches had a tiebreak
• Ivanov had 1 tiebreak in last 5 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

On grass, combined ace rates suggest a total above 7.5 is plausible, especially if match extends.

• Chidekh ace rate 3.7%, Ivanov 2.5%
• Grass surface boosts ace counts
• Chidekh averages ~3-4 aces per match, Ivanov ~2-3

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Chidekh's higher double fault rate and grass-court pressure could push the combined total over 5.5.

• Chidekh double fault rate 4.8%, Ivanov 3.1%
• Chidekh averages ~3-4 DFs per match, Ivanov ~2
• Grass can lead to more double faults under pressure