Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Marcondes' superior career stats and higher ranking (328 vs 565) give him a clear edge, despite limited grass data for both.
- Marcondes has a 64% career win rate vs Planinsek's 57%.
- Marcondes holds a 42% career return points won vs Planinsek's 40%.
- Marcondes has a 52% tiebreak win rate vs Planinsek's 40%.
- Marcondes has a 44% break point conversion rate vs Planinsek's 39%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostIgor Ribeiro MarcondesEstimated chance65%

Games3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match lengths and both players' tendency to play close matches point to a total exceeding 21.5 games.
- Planinsek's last 5 matches averaged 21.6 games, with 3 of 5 going over 21.5.
- Marcondes' last 5 matches averaged 25.6 games, with 4 of 5 going over 21.5.
- Both players have high deciding-set rates (Planinsek 59%, Marcondes 55%), increasing the chance of a three-setter.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Planinsek is likely to keep the match competitive, covering a +3.5 game handicap in most scenarios.
- Planinsek's last 5 losses were by margins of 8, 4, 5, 5, and 8 games, with 3 of 5 within 3.5 games.
- Marcondes' last 5 wins were by margins of 7, 0, 3, 6, and 6 games, with 2 of 5 within 3.5 games.
- Planinsek's 59% deciding-set rate suggests he keeps matches close even in defeat.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonFilip Jeff Planinsek +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First sets have often been competitive for both, and strong serving could push the set over 9.5 games.
- Planinsek's last 5 first sets: 3, 7, 6, 6, 6 (avg 5.6 games, but 3 of 5 were 6+).
- Marcondes' last 5 first sets: 6, 7, 7, 4, 7 (avg 6.2 games, all 6+ except one 4).
- Both players have strong first-serve win percentages (Planinsek 73%, Marcondes 67%), which can lead to tight sets.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been variable, but Marcondes' ability to win second-serve points may lead to longer games.
- Planinsek's last 5 second sets: 1, 6, 3, 5, 4 (avg 3.8, but 2 of 5 were 5+).
- Marcondes' last 5 second sets: 7, 6, 6, 1, 4 (avg 4.8, with 3 of 5 6+).
- Marcondes' second-serve win rate (51%) is slightly better than Planinsek's (48%), which could extend rallies.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Marcondes' slightly better first-set conversion and higher quality recent wins suggest he is more likely to start strong.
- Marcondes has an 87% first-set win conversion rate vs Planinsek's 85%.
- Marcondes' recent form includes a win over #98 Jaime Faria, while Planinsek's best recent win is over #435 Bor Artnak.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostIgor Ribeiro MarcondesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players frequently go to deciding sets, making a three-set match likely.
- Planinsek has a 59% deciding-set win rate, indicating he often pushes matches to three sets.
- Marcondes has a 55% deciding-set win rate, also showing a tendency for three-setters.
- In their last 5 matches, Planinsek played 3 three-setters, Marcondes played 4 three-setters.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Grass courts typically increase ace counts, and both players have moderate ace rates that could push the total over 7.5.
- Planinsek has a 7.9% ace rate, averaging ~4 aces per match in recent Bo3 matches.
- Marcondes has a 4.8% ace rate, averaging ~3 aces per match.
- Combined, they average around 7 aces per match, with potential for more on grass.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 7.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Grass surfaces may increase double faults slightly, making over 5.5 a reasonable expectation.
- Planinsek has a 4.0% double fault rate, averaging ~2.5 double faults per match.
- Marcondes has a 3.2% double fault rate, averaging ~2 double faults per match.
- Combined, they average around 4.5 double faults, but grass can lead to more errors.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Filip Jeff Planinsek #5652Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #328Brazil0

Player Profiles

Filip Jeff Planinsek

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 2-1

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 1 landed

Games3 of 4 landed

Sets0 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Filip Jeff Planinsek 2-0 @ 3.80

Filip Jeff Planinsek

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes