Clement Chidekh #205France22 – 1Maxime Janvier #572France1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

Chidekh's superior overall record, H2H dominance, and better grass-court experience give him a clear edge despite recent form struggles.

• Chidekh leads H2H 2-0, both on indoor hard, winning in straight sets in 2024 and three sets in 2025.
• Chidekh's career win rate is 64.5% vs Janvier's 49.4%, and Chidekh has a 90% first-set win conversion.
• Chidekh's recent form (last 15): 5-10, but includes wins over top-300 opponents; Janvier is 5-10 with losses to lower-ranked players.
• On grass in 2026, Chidekh is 2-4, Janvier has no grass matches in 2026 and only 4 career grass wins.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Janvier's competitive recent performances and close H2H margins suggest he will cover the +3.5 game handicap.

• Janvier's recent losses have been close: 4 of his last 5 losses were by 4 games or fewer.
• Chidekh's wins have often been tight: only 2 of his last 5 wins were by more than 3 games.
• H2H matches were decided by 4 and 5 games, respectively.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Recent match data and H2H history suggest a competitive match likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Both players have been involved in tight matches recently: Chidekh's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 games, Janvier's averaged 22.4.
• H2H matches averaged 22.5 games, with one going to three sets.
• Janvier's serve stats (71.6% first-serve points won) can keep sets close, while Chidekh's return game (43% return points won) can extend rallies.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Recent first-set trends and H2H data indicate a tight opening set likely to exceed 9.5 games.

• Chidekh's recent first sets: 4 of last 5 had 10+ games.
• Janvier's recent first sets: 3 of last 5 had 10+ games.
• H2H first sets: 9 and 9 games, both over 9.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Both players have been involved in many three-set matches recently, increasing the likelihood of a deciding set.

• Chidekh's recent matches: 4 of last 5 went to three sets.
• Janvier's recent matches: 3 of last 5 went to three sets.
• H2H in 2025 went three sets, indicating competitive dynamic.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Janvier's big serve and the grass surface should push the total aces over 8.5.

• Janvier averages 6.6 aces per match (career ace rate 6.6%), and Chidekh averages 3.7%.
• In H2H, Janvier hit 16 aces across 2 matches (8 per match).
• Grass surface typically increases ace counts due to faster conditions.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined double fault rates and H2H history suggest a total above 5.5 is likely.

• Chidekh's double fault rate is 4.7%, Janvier's is 5.2%.
• In H2H, both players recorded 8 double faults across 2 matches (4 per match each).
• Both players have moderate double fault rates that can accumulate in a three-set match.