Cary - USAFinished

Predictions graded

Liam Broady #209United Kingdom1Jack Kennedy #414United States2

Sets 6-2 · 5-7 · 6-7Wed 1 Jul 2026, 13:22 Predictions gradedSecond RoundHard

Predictions2–625%

Edges2–250%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLiam Broady · 205 places

Liam Broady

United Kingdom

Former world No. 93, reached on 2023-09-25. He returned to Challenger-title level with the Miyazaki title on April 6, 2026 and was listed at No. 209 in June 2026.

Current ranking: #209
Peak ranking: #93 · 2023
Current age: 32
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 183 cm

Jack Kennedy

United States

18-year-old American who reached junior No. 3 on 2026-01-05 and won the 2025 US Open boys' doubles title. He broke through at pro level in April 2026 with his first ITF title and a Savannah Challenger final.

Current ranking: #414
Peak ranking: #411 · 2026
Current age: 18
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 170 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Jun 2026, 15:46 · Europe/Bucharest

Broady's vast hard-court experience and strong recent form make him a heavy favorite over the inexperienced Kennedy.

Back Broady to win in straight sets and the match to finish under 21.5 games, with value on the moneyline and set 1 winner markets.

Context

Broady is 19-8 on hard courts in 2026 (70% win rate).
- He won his last match 6-1, 6-2 against Hayato Matsuoka (rank 346) in this tournament.
- Broady has over 300 career hard-court wins, showing deep surface experience.
Kennedy's career hard-court record is 6-6, compared to 27-10 on clay.
- In 2026, he is 1-0 on hard courts but 18-5 on clay.
- His last hard-court match before this tournament was a loss in April 2025.
Broady wins 68.3% of first-serve points, Kennedy wins 61.9%.
- Broady's ace rate is 5%, Kennedy's is 2.3%.
- Kennedy's double-fault rate (4.2%) is higher than Broady's (3.2%).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Broady's extensive hard court success and current form give him a significant surface-fit edge over Kennedy, who lacks hard court pedigree.
- Broady is 19-8 on hard courts in 2026 (70% win rate), while Kennedy is 1-0 on hard in 2026 but only 4-4 in 2025.
- Broady holds a career 301-? hard court wins vs Kennedy's 6 career hard court wins.
- Broady's recent form includes a dominant 6-1 6-2 win over Matsuoka (rank 346) in the previous round of this tournament.
- Kennedy's last match was a 6-4 6-4 win over Uchida (rank 257), but his hard court experience is very limited.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLiam BroadyEstimated chance78%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Broady's recent first sets have been efficient, and Kennedy's first-set struggles increase the likelihood of a quick set.
- Broady's last 5 first sets: 6-1, 6-7, 5-7, 2-6, 6-3 (average 8.6 games).
- Kennedy's last 5 first sets: 6-4, 2-6, 7-6, 6-2, 7-6 (average 9.8 games).
- In Broady's last 10 matches, 6 first sets have been under 9.5 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches have been relatively short, and Broady's dominance on hard courts suggests a quick match.
- Broady's last 5 wins averaged 17.4 total games per match.
- Kennedy's last 5 losses averaged 18.6 total games per match.
- In Broady's last 10 matches, 7 have finished under 21.5 games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostUnder 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have had short second sets recently, and Broady's control on hard courts should keep the set under 9.5 games.
- Broady's last 5 second sets: 6-2, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4, 6-3 (average 8.2 games).
- Kennedy's last 5 second sets: 6-4, 0-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-2 (average 8.0 games).
- In Broady's last 10 matches, 7 second sets have been under 9.5 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Broady's strong start tendency and high first-set win rate make him the clear favorite to take the opening set.
- Broady has won the first set in 7 of his last 10 matches.
- Broady's career first-set win conversion rate is 88%.
- Kennedy has lost the first set in 4 of his last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLiam BroadyEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Broady's serve advantage and Kennedy's second-set struggles point to Broady taking the second set.
- Broady has won the second set in 6 of his last 10 matches.
- Kennedy has lost the second set in 5 of his last 6 matches.
- Broady's win-on-first-serve percentage (68.3%) is significantly higher than Kennedy's (61.9%).
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerlostLiam BroadyEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Broady's strong first-set performance and Kennedy's tendency to lose in straight sets support a 2-0 victory for Broady.
- Broady has won 8 of his last 10 matches in straight sets when victorious.
- Kennedy has lost 4 of his last 6 matches in straight sets.
- Broady's first-set win conversion rate is 88% career, and he won the first set 6-1 in his last match.
BetBugs · Set BettinglostLiam Broady 2-0Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Broady's ability to win sets comfortably on hard courts and Kennedy's limited hard court experience make a tiebreak unlikely.
- Broady's career tiebreak win percentage is 50%, Kennedy's is 67%.
- In Broady's last 10 matches, only 2 featured a tiebreak.
- Kennedy's last 10 matches had 4 tiebreaks, but Broady's strong first-set performance reduces the likelihood.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Broady's higher ace rate and Kennedy's lower return points won percentage (44%) could lead to a combined ace total over 5.5.
- Broady averages 5 aces per 100 points (ace rate 5%), Kennedy averages 2.3 aces per 100 points.
- Broady has hit 2594 career aces in 960 matches (2.7 per match), Kennedy has 107 in 61 matches (1.75 per match).
- In Broady's last 5 matches, he averaged 3.4 aces per match.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

Liam Broady

7W 8L

6-1 6-2#346Hayato Matsuoka

7-6(6) 4-6 7-5#143August Holmgren

7-5 6-2#66Zachary Svajda

6-2 6-4#248Raul Brancaccio

6-3 3-6 6-2#362Ioannis Xilas

6-4 6-2#84Daniel Merida Aguilar

5-7 6-3 6-3#184David Jorda Sanchis

6-3 6-0#272Cezar Cretu

6-2 4-6 6-3#168Daniil Glinka

6-3 6-0#413Daniel Dutra Da Silva

7-5 6-4#190Gianluca Cadenasso

6-3 6-4#179Alexis Galarneau

6-4 6-0#339Matthew Dellavedova

6-7(6) 6-3 6-2#149Tristan Schoolkate

6-2 6-1#316Beibit Zhukayev

Jack Kennedy

11W 4L

6-4 6-4#257Kaichi Uchida

6-2 6-0#461Alex Marti Pujolras

7-6(2) 2-6 7-5#858Keaton Hance

6-2 6-3—David Naharro

7-6(6) 7-5—Ilias Zimmermann

4-6 6-2 6-4#261Daniel Rincon

6-2 4-6 7-5#425Johan Nikles

7-5 5-7 7-6(5)#588Emilien Demanet

6-7(2) 6-3 7-5—Noah Lopez

6-3 6-0#135Nishesh Basavareddy

7-6(2) 6-3#288Kilian Feldbausch

7-5 7-5#267Nick Hardt

6-3 6-7(3) 6-0#720Kei Nishikori

5-7 6-0 6-1#283Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-2 2-6 6-4#236Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva