Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagal: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Balshaw's dominant clay form (27-5 in 2026) and current 6-match winning streak give him a clear surface-fit edge over Nagal, who has a losing clay record this season.
- Balshaw is 27-5 on clay in 2026 vs Nagal's 10-11 on clay in 2026.
- Balshaw has won his last 6 matches, all on clay, dropping only 2 sets.
- Nagal has lost 3 of his last 5 matches, with 2 straight-set losses.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFelix BalshawEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nagal's recent matches have been high-scoring (avg 25.4 games), and both players' break-point efficiency suggests multiple breaks, pushing the total over 21.5.
- Balshaw's last 5 matches averaged 21.6 total games.
- Nagal's last 5 matches averaged 25.4 total games.
- Both players have high break-point conversion rates (Balshaw 44%, Nagal 44%).
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent first sets have averaged close to 10 games, and their serve stats suggest a competitive opener, making over 9.5 games likely.
- Balshaw's last 5 first sets averaged 9.8 games.
- Nagal's last 5 first sets averaged 9.6 games.
- Both players have first-serve win percentages around 64-71%.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nagal's tendency to extend matches (3 three-setters in last 5) and both players' second-set averages above 9.5 games support the over.
- Balshaw's last 5 second sets averaged 9.4 games.
- Nagal's last 5 second sets averaged 10.2 games.
- Nagal has played three 3-setters in his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nagal's recent close losses and Balshaw's moderate winning margins suggest Nagal can stay within 3.5 games, even in a losing effort.
- Nagal's last 5 losses were by an average of 5.6 games, but 3 were by 3 games or fewer.
- Balshaw's last 5 wins were by an average of 5.4 games.
- Nagal has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 3 of his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonSumit Nagal +3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Balshaw's strong start trend (5 of last 6 first sets won) and elite career first-set conversion rate suggest he will take the opener against Nagal, who has dropped first sets in 3 of his last 5.
- Balshaw has won the first set in 5 of his last 6 matches.
- Nagal has lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Balshaw's first-set win conversion rate is 96% career.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostFelix BalshawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nagal's recent pattern of three-setters (4 of last 5) and Balshaw's occasional three-set matches suggest a decent chance of a deciding set.
- Nagal has gone to 3 sets in 4 of his last 5 matches.
- Balshaw has gone to 3 sets in 2 of his last 5 matches.
- Nagal's deciding-set win rate is 48% career.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Balshaw's significantly higher ace rate (7.7%) should push the total aces over 5.5, even with Nagal's low ace output.
- Balshaw's ace rate is 7.7% vs Nagal's 2.2%.
- Balshaw averages ~4.6 aces per match based on career stats.
- Nagal's low ace rate suggests Balshaw will contribute most aces.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' double-fault rates suggest a combined average near 4.6 per match, and a close contest could push the total over 5.5.
- Balshaw's double-fault rate is 4.2%, Nagal's is 3.5%.
- Balshaw averages ~2.5 double faults per match, Nagal ~2.1.
- Combined average double faults per match is ~4.6.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have recent tiebreak history and similar tiebreak win rates, making a tiebreak in this competitive match a coin-flip possibility.
- Balshaw has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 6 matches.
- Nagal has played a tiebreak in 2 of his last 5 matches.
- Balshaw's tiebreak win rate is 52%, Nagal's is 56%.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Felix Balshaw #320France0Sumit Nagal #285India2

Player Profiles

Felix Balshaw

Sumit Nagal

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Felix Balshaw

Felix Balshaw

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Result0 of 1 landed

Games2 of 4 landed

Sets0 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Felix Balshaw

Sumit Nagal