Mananchaya Sawangkaew #164Thailand22 – 1Mary Stoiana #131United States1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83

The read

With evenly matched return stats and multiple three-set matches in recent form, this match is likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Sawangkaew last 5 matches avg total games: 20.6, Stoiana last 5 avg: 21.6
• Both players have 50% career break point conversion rates
• Stoiana 3-set matches in last 15: 6, Sawangkaew 3-set matches: 4

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Set-2 games often extend when players are evenly matched, and recent averages support a slight lean toward over 9.5.

• Sawangkaew last 5 set-2 avg games: 9.2, Stoiana last 5 set-2 avg: 9.8
• Stoiana has played 6 three-set matches in last 15, extending set-2 games
• Both players have break point conversion rates near 50%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have strong first-set records, but Stoiana's recent set-1 consistency on grass gives her a slight advantage.

• Stoiana first-set win conversion 88% career, Sawangkaew 88% career
• Stoiana won first set in 4 of last 5 matches, Sawangkaew in 3 of last 5
• Stoiana grass 2026: 6-2, Sawangkaew grass 2026: 5-2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With both players showing resilience and frequent three-set matches, this contest has a solid chance of going the distance.

• Stoiana 3-set matches in last 15: 6, Sawangkaew: 4
• Both players have deciding set win rates near 55%
• Stoiana comeback rate 27%, Sawangkaew 28%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sawangkaew's high double fault rate combined with grass-court conditions makes over 7.5 double faults probable.

• Sawangkaew double fault rate 6.3%, Stoiana 3.9%
• Sawangkaew career double faults 1297 in 331 matches (3.9 per match), Stoiana 373 in 152 matches (2.5 per match)
• Grass surface can lead to more double faults due to lower bounce

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sawangkaew's higher ace rate and the grass surface should push total aces over 5.5, though Stoiana's low ace output tempers confidence.

• Sawangkaew ace rate 3.9%, Stoiana ace rate 1.9%
• Sawangkaew career aces 797 in 331 matches (2.4 per match), Stoiana 185 in 152 matches (1.2 per match)
• Grass surface typically increases ace counts