Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Leolia Jeanjean: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Jeanjean's higher ranking, better recent quality wins, and slight grass edge give her a clear advantage in this Bo3 qualifying match.
- Jeanjean is ranked 133 vs Gorgodze's 219, a significant gap in current ability.
- Jeanjean has a 1-0 grass record in 2026, while Gorgodze is 1-1 on grass this year.
- Jeanjean's recent form includes wins over top-100 players (Tomljanovic, Parry, Haddad Maia) in the last 2 months.
- Gorgodze's last 5 matches: 2 wins (vs lower-ranked opponents) and 3 losses, with a heavy loss to Rakhimova (65).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLeolia JeanjeanEstimated chance65%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches trend toward longer contests, making over 20.5 games likely in this Bo3 encounter.
- Gorgodze's last 5 matches averaged 21.6 total games, with 4 of 5 going over 20.5.
- Jeanjean's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 total games, with 4 of 5 going over 20.5.
- Both players have competitive recent matches, often going to deciding sets or tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 20.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first-set data shows a tendency for close, extended openers, supporting a slight lean toward over 9.5 games.
- Gorgodze's last 5 first sets: 6-2, 2-6, 7-6, 4-6, 2-6 (avg 9.8 games).
- Jeanjean's last 5 first sets: 4-6, 1-6, 6-7, 1-6, 7-6 (avg 9.6 games).
- Both players have been involved in tight first sets recently, with 3 of 5 for each going over 9.5.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The second set has frequently been closely contested in both players' recent matches, suggesting a decent chance of exceeding 9.5 games.
- Gorgodze's last 5 second sets: 7-6, 6-1, 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 (avg 9.8 games).
- Jeanjean's last 5 second sets: 6-2, 6-4, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 (avg 9.6 games).
- Second sets in their recent matches have often been competitive, with 3 of 5 for each going over 9.5.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Jeanjean's high first-set conversion rate and Gorgodze's recent slow starts make Jeanjean the favorite to take the opening set.
- Jeanjean's first-set win conversion rate is 88% career, indicating strong starts.
- Gorgodze's first-set win conversion is 81%, but she has lost the first set in 3 of her last 5 matches.
- Jeanjean won the first set in her last grass match (vs You) and in 3 of her last 5 overall.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLeolia JeanjeanEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With both players showing a tendency for three-set matches recently, there is a near-even chance this match goes the distance.
- Gorgodze's last 5 matches: 3 went to 3 sets, 2 were straight sets.
- Jeanjean's last 5 matches: 3 went to 3 sets, 2 were straight sets.
- Both players have a deciding set win rate around 44-61%, indicating they are competitive in three-setters.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean's elevated double fault rate, combined with Gorgodze's steady contribution, should push the total double faults over 7.5.
- Jeanjean's double fault rate is high at 5.8%, while Gorgodze's is 2.6%.
- In her last grass match, Jeanjean had 5 double faults in 3 sets (vs You).
- Gorgodze's recent matches show she averages around 2-3 double faults per match, but Jeanjean's high rate makes over 7.5 likely in a Bo3.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean's superior ace rate on grass should drive the total aces over 5.5, especially if the match extends to three sets.
- Jeanjean's ace rate is 3.3% vs Gorgodze's 1.4%, giving Jeanjean a clear edge in ace production.
- In her last grass match, Jeanjean hit 4 aces in 3 sets (vs You).
- Gorgodze's low ace rate suggests she will contribute few aces, but Jeanjean alone could push the total over 5.5 in a competitive match.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent matches suggests a roughly even chance of at least one tiebreak occurring.
- Gorgodze's tiebreak win rate is 48% career, and she has played 2 tiebreaks in her last 5 matches.
- Jeanjean's tiebreak win rate is 59% career, and she has played 4 tiebreaks in her last 5 matches.
- Both players have been involved in tight sets recently, increasing the likelihood of a tiebreak.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Ekaterine Gorgodze #219Georgia0Leolia Jeanjean #133France2

Player Profiles

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Leolia Jeanjean

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 20.5

Leolia Jeanjean

Leolia Jeanjean

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Leolia Jeanjean