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Predictions graded

Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah #177France2Carol Young Suh Lee #203United States1

Sets 6-4 · 4-6 · 6-3Tue 23 Jun 2026, 16:44 Predictions gradedQ1Grass

Predictions4–357%

Edges0–30%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageTiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah · 26 places

Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

France

French player born in 2005. WTA lists clay as her preferred surface and public sources place her career peak in early February 2026. She won her first WTA singles title in Sao Paulo in 2025.

Current ranking: #177
Peak ranking: #116 · 2026
Current age: 20
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Left handed
Height: —

Carol Young Suh Lee

United States

American player born in 2001, originally from Saipan. Public sources place her best ranking at No. 166 in February 2026. No explicit preferred surface was surfaced in the requested searches, though her documented ITF singles titles are predominantly on hard courts.

Current ranking: #203
Peak ranking: #166 · 2026
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Jun 2026, 01:27 · Europe/Bucharest

Lee’s superior serve, 92% first-set conversion rate, and 6-3, 6-2 H2H win give her a clear edge over Rakotomanga, who is 0-2 on grass with a high double-fault rate.

Bet Lee to win and consider Lee 2-0 at 2.20 for value, but avoid over 21.5 games and Rakotomanga 2-1 due to grass-court dynamics and surface mismatches.

Context

Rakotomanga's career surface wins: 96 on clay, 16 on hard, 16 on indoor hard, 0 on grass.
- In 2026, she lost both grass matches in straight sets, including a 6-2 6-2 defeat to Mayar Sherif.
- Her serve and return stats (54.1% break-point save rate, 6.1% double-fault rate) are vulnerable on faster surfaces.
Lee won 73% of first-serve points compared to Rakotomanga's 53% in that match.
- Rakotomanga won only 31% of return points, while Lee converted 31% of break points.
- The match was on hard court, but Lee's serve dominance translates well to grass.
Lee wins 66.1% of first-serve points versus Rakotomanga's 60.1%.
- Rakotomanga's high double-fault rate (6.1%) often gives opponents free points.
- Lee's career ace count (426 in 159 matches) is nearly double Rakotomanga's (232 in 219 matches).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Carol Young Suh Lee

1.50fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Lee's superior serve stats, higher career win rate, and direct H2H win give her a clear edge, though both lack grass experience.

Set 1 WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Carol Young Suh Lee

1.59fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 62.9%

0.0ppshort

Lee's elite first-set conversion rate and stronger serve give her a moderate edge to take the opener.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Lee's superior serve stats, higher career win rate, and direct H2H win give her a clear edge, though both lack grass experience.
- H2H: Lee won their only meeting 6-3 6-2 on hard court in Sep 2025.
- Lee career win% 71.1% vs Rakotomanga 58.4%; Lee first-set win conversion 92% vs 89%.
- Lee ace rate 4.6% vs 1.6%; double fault rate 3.2% vs 6.1%.
- Rakotomanga 0-2 on grass in 2026; Lee 0-1 but limited grass data for both.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCarol Young Suh LeeEstimated chance62%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both players showing vulnerability on serve and competitive recent match totals, a match exceeding 20.5 games is slightly favored.
- Rakotomanga recent matches average 20.8 total games; Lee 21.3.
- Both players have break-point save rates below 60% (Rakotomanga 54.1%, Lee 58.7%).
- Grass surface tends to produce shorter points but can lead to tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 9 games in recent second sets, supporting a slight lean to over 8.5.
- Rakotomanga's last 5 set2 games: 8, 9, 8, 8, 12 (avg 9.0).
- Lee's last 5 set2 games: 10, 8, 10, 8, 9 (avg 9.0).
- H2H set2 was 8 games (6-2).
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 8.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent set1 game counts for both players hover around 9-10, making over 9.5 a marginal lean.
- Rakotomanga's last 5 set1 games: 8, 13, 6, 8, 8 (avg 8.6).
- Lee's last 5 set1 games: 10, 9, 8, 7, 13 (avg 9.4).
- H2H set1 was 9 games (6-3).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.59
The read
Lee's elite first-set conversion rate and stronger serve give her a moderate edge to take the opener.
- Lee first-set win conversion 92% career; Rakotomanga 89%.
- Lee won first set 6-3 in their only H2H meeting.
- Lee win-on-first-serve 66.1% vs Rakotomanga 60.1%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostCarol Young Suh LeeEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rakotomanga's high double fault rate could push the total over 7.5, but Lee's low rate makes this a coin flip.
- Rakotomanga double fault rate 6.1% (859 DFs in 219 matches, ~3.9 per match).
- Lee double fault rate 3.2% (297 DFs in 159 matches, ~1.9 per match).
- Combined average ~5.8 DFs per match, but grass may increase errors.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-3 6-2Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah#177vCarol Young Suh Lee#203Sep 17, 2025

1 total meetings

Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

5W 10L

6-2 6-2#110Mayar Sherif

6-7(6) 6-3 6-1#267Mia Ristic

6-0 6-2#760Yuliana Lizarazo

6-4 6-4#152Noma Akugue Noha

6-2 5-7 6-3#317Chloe Paquet

6-3 6-1#6Amanda Anisimova

6-4 6-1#27Madison Keys

6-4 2-6 6-4#76Renata Zarazua

6-0 5-7 7-6(2)#230Alice Tubello

6-0 6-4#83Lilli Tagger

2-6 7-6(6) 7-5#38Jaqueline Cristian

3-6 7-6(5) 6-2#184Teodora Kostovic

6-2 6-2#48Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

6-0 7-5#252Sara Sorribes Tormo

6-3 6-3#212Elina Avanesyan

Carol Young Suh Lee

6W 9L

6-4 4-6 6-1#141Lin Zhu

6-3 6-2#316Sloane Stephens

6-2 6-4#250Sada Nahimana

6-1 6-2#191Julia Avdeeva

7-6(7) 4-6 6-3#277Tessa Johanna Brockmann

4-6 6-2 6-3#350Mina Hodzic

6-3 6-3#175Varvara Lepchenko

7-6(4) 6-3#129Suzan Lamens

6-4 6-4#108Moyuka Uchijima

7-6(4) 7-5#267Mia Ristic

6-1 6-2—Gabriela Agra Amorim

7-5 6-2#89Oksana Selekhmeteva

7-6(8) 7-5#178Arantxa Rus

4-6 6-1 6-4#265Tereza Martincova

7-6(7) 4-6 6-2#209Lucie Havlickova