Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Kopriva's superior recent form against elite opposition, H2H win, and fresher physical preparation give him a clear edge on grass.
- Kopriva leads H2H 1-0, winning 7-5 7-5 on hard in Jan 2025.
- Kopriva's recent form includes wins over top-20 players (Rublev, Darderi) and a competitive loss to Zverev (3-6 6-4 2-6) on grass in June 2026.
- Dzumhur's grass record is thin: 18 career wins, 2-0 in 2026 but against lower-ranked qualifiers (Svajda #69, Kukushkin #302).
- Kopriva is a direct entrant, avoiding qualifying workload; Dzumhur played two extra matches on-site.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVit KoprivaEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Competitive recent matches and a tight H2H suggest a match exceeding 21.5 games, with neither player likely to dominate easily.
- Dzumhur's last 5 completed matches averaged 21.6 games; Kopriva's averaged 22.4.
- H2H match had 24 games (7-5 7-5).
- Both players have break-point save rates around 57%, indicating potential for extended games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Dzumhur's recent losses have been close, and Kopriva's wins often come against weaker opposition; Dzumhur should cover +3.5 games.
- Dzumhur's last 5 losses: by 4, 3, 5, 5, 4 games (avg margin 4.2).
- Kopriva's last 5 wins: by 8, 6, 10, 5, 3 games (avg margin 6.4, but includes blowouts vs lower-ranked).
- H2H margin was 4 games total.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostDamir Dzumhur +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
The H2H and Dzumhur's tendency for tight first sets point to over 9.5 games, even if Kopriva has had some lopsided sets recently.
- H2H first set was 7-5 (12 games).
- Dzumhur's last 5 first sets: 6-3, 6-2, 4-6, 4-6, 6-7 (avg 9.8 games).
- Kopriva's last 5 first sets: 3-6, 1-6, 6-0, 6-1, 6-3 (avg 8.2 games, but includes blowouts; vs Zverev on grass was 9 games).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent second sets have been competitive, and the H2H suggests a tight second set is likely if the match stays close.
- H2H second set was 7-5 (12 games).
- Dzumhur's last 5 second sets: 6-3, 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 (avg 9.0 games).
- Kopriva's last 5 second sets: 6-4, 4-6, 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 (avg 9.8 games).
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Kopriva's trend of fast starts and Dzumhur's recent first-set struggles suggest Kopriva is likely to take the opener.
- Kopriva won the first set in his only grass match this year (vs Zverev) and in 4 of his last 5 wins.
- Dzumhur lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches, including against lower-ranked opponents.
- Kopriva's first-set win conversion rate is 87% career, indicating strong starts.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonVit KoprivaEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
While a straight-set win is possible, the competitive nature of both players and recent three-set frequency suggest a 50% chance of a decider.
- Dzumhur has gone to three sets in 3 of his last 10 matches; Kopriva in 5 of his last 10.
- H2H was straight sets but close (7-5 7-5).
- Both have deciding-set win rates around 54-60%, showing they can push matches deep.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Both players have elevated double-fault rates, and the H2H showed a high total; over 5.5 is likely given their serving vulnerabilities.
- Dzumhur double-fault rate: 3.3%; Kopriva: 4.0%.
- In H2H, they combined for 14 double faults (6 and 8).
- Recent matches: Dzumhur averaged 2.8 DF per match; Kopriva 3.1.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Market price1.85Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Grass-court conditions and Kopriva's slightly higher ace rate make over 7.5 aces plausible, though not a strong certainty.
- Kopriva averages 4.0 aces per match (ace rate 4%); Dzumhur 2.6%.
- On grass, ace rates typically increase; Kopriva had 1 ace in 3 sets vs Zverev on grass.
- Combined, they average ~6-7 aces per match, but grass could push it higher.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Damir Dzumhur #105Bosnia & Herzegovina0Vit Kopriva #64Czechia2

Player Profiles

Damir Dzumhur

Vit Kopriva

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 21.5

Over 9.5

Vit Kopriva

Over 5.5

Over 2.5

Damir Dzumhur +3.5

Vit Kopriva

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

Damir Dzumhur

Vit Kopriva