Alina Charaeva #128Russia11 – 2Ayla Aksu #277Türkiye2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have been involved in high-game-count matches recently, and their competitive styles suggest a close contest with over 20.5 games.

• Charaeva's last three matches have averaged 22.3 games per match.
• Aksu's last three matches have averaged 21.3 games per match.
• Both players have been involved in tight matches recently, with Charaeva's quarterfinal going to 29 games.
• Aksu's quarterfinal also went to 29 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Aksu's recent competitiveness and Charaeva's occasional struggles to dominate suggest Aksu can keep the match within a 3.5-game margin.

• Aksu has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of her last 5 matches.
• Charaeva's margin of victory in her last three wins has been 4, 8, and 12 games, but the 12-game win was against a much lower-ranked opponent.
• Aksu's recent losses have been by 5, 7, and 8 games, but she has been competitive in most matches.
• The H2H is 0-0, but Aksu's ability to keep matches close suggests she can stay within 3.5 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

The second sets in their recent matches have often been competitive, suggesting over 8.5 games is a reasonable prediction.

• Charaeva's last five second sets have had 8, 8, 6, 10, and 8 games.
• Aksu's last five second sets have had 7, 8, 10, 9, and 9 games.
• The average second-set games in their recent matches is 8.0 for Charaeva and 8.6 for Aksu.
• Both players have shown the ability to extend second sets, with Charaeva's last match going to 8 games and Aksu's last match going to 7 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The recent form of both players indicates a strong chance of a three-set match, making over 2.5 sets a reasonable prediction.

• Charaeva has gone to three sets in 3 of her last 5 matches.
• Aksu has gone to three sets in 3 of her last 5 matches.
• Both players have a comeback rate around 20%.
• The competitive nature of their recent matches suggests a high likelihood of a deciding set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have low ace rates, and their recent matches have consistently stayed under 5.5 total aces.

• Charaeva averages 2.9 aces per match.
• Aksu averages 2.8 aces per match.
• Combined, they average 5.7 aces per match, but recent matches have seen fewer aces.
• In their last five matches, Charaeva has served 3, 2, 1, 4, and 2 aces, while Aksu has served 2, 1, 3, 2, and 1 aces.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have high double fault rates, and their recent matches consistently exceed 7.5 total double faults.

• Charaeva averages 7.1 double faults per match.
• Aksu averages 6.7 double faults per match.
• Combined, they average 13.8 double faults per match.
• In their last five matches, Charaeva has committed 8, 6, 5, 9, and 7 double faults, while Aksu has committed 7, 5, 8, 6, and 7 double faults.