Darja Vidmanova #108Czechia22 – 1Jil Teichmann #130Switzerland1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent matches trend toward longer contests, and their break-point dynamics suggest a close match likely to exceed 21.5 games.

• Vidmanova's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 total games, with 4 of 5 exceeding 21.5 games.
• Teichmann's last 5 matches averaged 21.4 total games, with 3 of 5 exceeding 21.5 games.
• Both players have high break-point conversion rates (Vidmanova 49.7%, Teichmann 47.7%) and moderate save rates, leading to extended sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Vidmanova's recent losses have been narrow, and Teichmann's wins often come by moderate margins, making a +3.5 game handicap for Vidmanova likely to cover.

• Vidmanova's last 5 losses were by margins of 3, 8, 4, 5, and 5 games, with only one exceeding 3.5 games.
• Teichmann's last 5 wins were by margins of 3, 7, 7, 4, and 5 games, but against lower-ranked opponents.
• Vidmanova's competitive record against top-100 players suggests she can keep the match close.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Recent first-set scores for both players frequently reach 10+ games, and their similar serve effectiveness supports a tight opening set.

• Vidmanova's last 5 first sets: 6-4, 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, 6-7(2) — 4 of 5 had 10+ games.
• Teichmann's last 5 first sets: 6-4, 7-5, 3-6, 6-1, 7-5 — 4 of 5 had 10+ games.
• Both players have first-serve win percentages around 63%, indicating competitive service games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive nature of this matchup, with both players showing resilience in deciding sets, makes a three-set match likely.

• Vidmanova's last 5 matches: 3 three-setters, 2 two-setters.
• Teichmann's last 5 matches: 2 three-setters, 3 two-setters.
• Vidmanova has a 59% deciding-set win rate, and Teichmann 53%, indicating both are comfortable in three-set battles.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Teichmann's strong recent first-set record against quality opponents suggests she may start faster than Vidmanova, who has dropped first sets in recent losses.

• Teichmann won the first set in 4 of her last 5 matches, including against Muchova and Samsonova.
• Vidmanova lost the first set in 2 of her last 5 matches, including against Krueger and Gao.
• Teichmann's first-set win conversion rate is 86% career, slightly higher than Vidmanova's 87%, but Teichmann's recent first-set performance is stronger.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

High double-fault rates for both players make over 7.5 likely, especially in a potentially tight three-set match.

• Vidmanova averages 4.4 double faults per match, Teichmann 4.6, combining for 9.0 on average.
• Both players have double-fault rates above 4%, indicating consistent service errors.
• In pressure situations, double faults may increase, and this match is expected to be close.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Combined ace averages and the hard-court surface support a total over 5.5, though Teichmann's lower ace rate adds uncertainty.

• Vidmanova averages 4.3 aces per match, Teichmann 2.8, combining for 7.1 on average.
• In best-of-3 matches, both players' ace rates suggest a total around 6-7 aces.
• Hard courts typically yield more aces than clay, and this is a hard-court event.