Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Passaro's superior clay pedigree, direct H2H win, and higher-quality recent opposition give him a clear edge.
- Passaro won the only H2H meeting 7-6(2) 6-3 on clay in June 2025.
- Passaro holds a 169-53 career clay record (76.1% win rate) vs Roca Batalla's 570-250 (69.5%).
- Passaro's recent form includes wins over top-100 opponents (Prizmic, Moller) in early 2026.
- Roca Batalla's last 5 matches: 4 wins vs lower-ranked opponents, but loss to Dalla Valle (rank 377).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFrancesco PassaroEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches trend toward higher game totals, and the H2H suggests a competitive scoreline.
- H2H match had 22 games (7-6, 6-3).
- Roca Batalla's recent matches average 20.8 games, with 4 of last 5 exceeding 20 games.
- Passaro's recent matches average 22.1 games, with 4 of last 5 exceeding 21 games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's competitive recent form and the close H2H suggest he can keep the match within a 3.5-game margin.
- H2H margin was 4 games (7-6, 6-3).
- Roca Batalla's recent losses have been by 6, 3, and 4 games.
- Passaro's recent wins have been by 5, 6, 5, and 6 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonOriol Roca Batalla +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Both players have been involved in tight first sets recently, and the H2H first set was extended.
- H2H first set went to a tiebreak (13 games).
- Roca Batalla's last 5 first sets: 9, 9, 13, 13, 12 games.
- Passaro's last 5 first sets: 9, 10, 9, 13, 10 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been consistently competitive, with most reaching at least 9 games, suggesting a slight edge for over.
- H2H second set had 9 games (6-3).
- Roca Batalla's last 5 second sets: 9, 9, 7, 10, 9 games.
- Passaro's last 5 second sets: 9, 10, 9, 9, 9 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Passaro's tendency to start fast and his H2H first-set success support him taking the opener.
- Passaro won the first set 7-6 in their only H2H meeting.
- Passaro's first-set win conversion rate is 82% career, indicating strong starts.
- Roca Batalla's first-set win conversion is 86%, but he has lost the first set in 2 of his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostFrancesco PassaroEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player is a big server, and on clay, ace counts tend to be low, making under 7.5 likely.
- Roca Batalla's ace rate is 4.1% (career), averaging ~2-3 aces per match.
- Passaro's ace rate is 5.1% (career), averaging ~3-4 aces per match.
- H2H had 5 aces total (Passaro 5, Roca Batalla 0).
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have a high frequency of tiebreaks in recent matches, and the H2H included one, making a tiebreak likely.
- H2H featured a first-set tiebreak.
- Roca Batalla has played 4 tiebreaks in his last 15 matches (27%).
- Passaro has played 5 tiebreaks in his last 15 matches (33%).
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both players averaging around 3-4 double faults per match, the combined total is likely to exceed 5.5.
- Both players have a 3% double fault rate, averaging ~3-4 per match each.
- H2H had 8 double faults total (4 each).
- Recent matches for both show consistent double fault counts around 3-4.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Oriol Roca Batalla #320Spain2Francesco Passaro #178Italy0

Player Profiles

Oriol Roca Batalla

Francesco Passaro

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Francesco Passaro

Over 9.5

Francesco Passaro

Oriol Roca Batalla 2-0

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 1 landed

Games2 of 4 landed

Sets0 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla

Francesco Passaro