Elias Ymer #184Sweden00 – 2Henry Searle #346United Kingdom2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent match lengths and solid serving on grass point to a competitive match likely exceeding 21.5 games.

• Ymer's last 5 matches have averaged 21.6 total games.
• Searle's last 5 matches have averaged 21.2 total games.
• Both players have high hold rates on grass, suggesting tight sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Strong serving from both players in opening sets makes a tight first set with over 9.5 games likely.

• Ymer's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.8 games.
• Searle's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.4 games.
• Both players have first-serve win percentages above 70% on grass.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second set could remain competitive given both players' ability to hold serve, though fatigue may play a role.

• Ymer's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.2 games.
• Searle's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.0 games.
• Both players have shown resilience in second sets, often forcing tiebreaks.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Searle's ability to stay competitive in sets makes him likely to cover the +3.5 game handicap.

• Searle has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of his last 5 losses.
• Ymer's average winning margin in his last 5 wins is 4.2 games.
• Searle's strong serve can keep sets close even in defeat.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' ace rates, especially Searle's high ace count, make over 12.5 aces probable on grass.

• Ymer averages 5.7 aces per match, Searle 8.3.
• On grass, ace rates typically increase by 10-15%.
• Combined ace rate suggests around 14 aces in a typical match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent matches makes at least one tiebreak likely.

• Ymer has played a tiebreak in 4 of his last 10 matches.
• Searle has played a tiebreak in 5 of his last 10 matches.
• Both players have tiebreak win rates around 40-48%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' low double fault rates suggest a combined total under 7.5 is likely.

• Ymer averages 4.1 double faults per match, Searle 3.6.
• Both players have double fault rates below 5%.
• Grass courts often lead to fewer double faults due to lower bounce.